Be Like That!

Be Like That!                                                                      09 January 2026

With villas still outpacing apartments when it comes to property price rises, ValuStrat estimates that the emirate’s residential property has risen by almost 20% over the past twelve months. Over the period, and with a January 2021 base index of 100, villa values surged 25.1%, to 323.9 points, while apartments posted a more modest 14.2 per cent annual rise, 185.9 points. The ValuStrat Price Index for Dubai’s residential market rose to 240.4 points in December 2025, an increase of 19.8% on the year and 1.3% on the month. Such figures surely consolidate Dubai’s position as a safe haven and major global real estate hub.

The index also confirmed the fact that Dubai’s freehold villas are now valued 211% above post-pandemic 2021 levels and 89% higher than the 2014 market peak. Leading villa locations include Jumeirah Islands, (37.2% annual growth), Palm Jumeirah (35.9%), Green Community West (23.6%), and The Meadows (23.4%). Meanwhile Victory Heights and Mudon also recorded gains of 19.5% and 10.7%, respectively. When it comes to apartments, the leading locations for price increases were Remraam (21.8%), Dubai Silicon Oasis (20.7%), The Greens (20.0%), Dubailand Residence Complex (19.5%), and Town Square (18.9%); on the lower side were International City (9.7%), Discovery Gardens (11.2%), and Business Bay (12.4%) – all posting more modest increases. Overall, apartment prices are now 85% above post-pandemic levels and are 2.0% higher than their 2014 peak.

Weighted average capital values citywide stood at US$ 1.00 million, with villas averaging US$ 3.92 million and apartments at US$ 537k, with villas at an average of US$ 831 per sq ft, while apartments averaged US$ 402 per sq ft.

Off-plan sales transactions accounted for 76% of all December deals with registrations 30.0% higher on the year, compared to ready-home transactions down 9.7% on the month but still nudging 3.0% higher on the year. The three leading off plan locations accounted for 28.8% of the total – Marjan (11.3%), Dubai Investment Park Second (9.9%), and Jumeirah Village Circle (7.6%). For ready homes, the four leaders, accounting for 25.3% of the total, were Jumeirah Village Circle, (10.9%), Business Bay (6.3%), Dubai Marina (4.6%), and Downtown Dubai (3.5%). There were twenty-seven ready properties sold, (those valued at over US$ 8.17 million – AED 30 million), including ten going for more than US$ 13.62 million, (AED 50 million). Most were located in Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Hills Estate, Al Barari, Jumeirah Islands, District One, and Emirates Hills.

The six most active developers were Binghatti (19.5%), Emaar (13.2%), Damac (5.6%), Danube (3.7%), Azizi (2.5%), and Nakheel (2.4%), reflecting strong competition in both luxury and mid-market segments.

Meraas has unveiled plans for a major residential expansion in Dubai Design District, spanning eighteen million sq ft, with a combination of residential, cultural, retail and hospitality properties. The real estate developer, a member of Dubai Holding Real Estate, said the expansion supports the emirate’s ambition to become a global hub for design, culture and innovation, in line with the Dubai Economic Agenda D33, and expects interest from both local and international property buyers. On completion, D33 will be seen as a creative, canal-front residential neighbourhood, designed for ‘creative professionals, investors and families seeking design-led urban living.’ A key feature of the new neighbourhood is the Design Line, a shaded, pedestrian-first spine, that connects the entire district. The masterplan shows five distinct areas:

  • canal-front residences with boutique hospitality
  • an urban core combining homes with curated retail and dining
  • a cultural quarter overlooking the d3 Bowl
  • a wellness-focused residential zone with parks and sports facilities
  • a creative hub featuring galleries, studios and loft-style spaces.

The two-day PropTech Connect Middle East 2026 will take place starting on 04 February at the Grand Hyatt, hosted by the Dubai Land Department. This will be the first regional edition of the real estate technology event. Its hosting supports the objectives of the Dubai Economic Agenda, D33, which places digital transformation and innovation, in the real estate sector, at the core of efforts to double the size of Dubai’s economy, enhance its global competitiveness, attract high-quality investments, and strengthen the emirate’s position as a global hub for business and the digital economy. Furthermore, it will also align with the Dubai Real Estate Sector Strategy 2033, led by the Dubai Land Department, which aims to promote empowering technology in the property space, enhance data centralisation, improve market efficiency and transparency, and deliver an integrated experience for customers. The event is expected to attract more than three thousand participants from around the world and over 1.5k companies across the real estate ecosystem. There will be more than two hundred global speakers from leading real estate, investment, and technology institutions, whilst featuring more than sixty panel discussions.

Following a change in Friday prayer time, to 12.45pm, and effective today, 09 January, the UAE has announced revised Friday timing for government schools, as listed below:

  • Kindergarten

8am – 11.30am

  • Cycle 1 (two schedules)

7.10am – 10.30am

8am – 11.30am

  • Cycles 2 and 3

Boys: 7.10am – 10.30am

Girls: 8am – 11.30am

The Knowledge and Human Development Authority had earlier announced that all private schools and early childhood centres, operating within private schools, must end the school day no later than 11.30am on Fridays. For students in Grade 6 (Year 7) and above, schools may seek approval to offer online learning on Fridays, subject to parental consultation and KHDA approval.

Dubai World Trade Centre has announced its events calendar for H1 that will feature seventy-one international exhibitions and conferences across myriad sectors including security, healthcare, food, energy, mobility, tourism, technology and culture. The calendar supports Dubai’s Economic Agenda D33 and strengthens the city’s position in business tourism and cross-sector collaboration. The events will be housed across its main venue and the expanded Dubai Exhibition Centre (DEC), increasing Dubai’s capacity to stage large-scale international events.

The Q1 calendar includes:

  • 12 – 14 January Intersec (held alongside Light Intelligent Building ME)
  • 13 – 15 January FESPA ME
  • 18 – 20 January World Of Coffee
  • 19 – 21 January AEEDC Dubai
  • 26 -30 January Gulfood (will be co-hosted at DWTC and DEC)
  • 04 – 05 February                            Aircraft Interiors ME and MRO ME,
  • 04 — 05 February                           Breakbul k ME and World Shisha Show
  • 04 – 08 February                           The Dubai 2026 World Stamp Exhibition
  • 09 – 12 February                             World Health Expo – formerly Arab Health
  • 10 – 13 February                            WHX Labs – formerly Medlab ME
  • 10 – 12 February                            Dubai Entertainment, Amusement & Leisure Expo 
  • 11 – 12 February                           IFX Expo Dubai
  • 18 Feb – 19 March                        Ramadan will see DWTC host The Majlis offering Iftar services
  • 24 – 26 March                                 DUPHAT                                                                                           31Mar – 02 April                             Gulf Print & Gulf Pack and Dubai Derma 22

Emirates SkyCargo is planning a further addition of ten Boeing 777 freighters this year to increase flexibility, and support rising global demand across sectors such as e-commerce, pharmaceuticals, and perishables; its current fleet is at eleven Boeing 777Fs and five wet-leased Boeing 747s. This is on the back of IATA data that shows resilience in the air cargo market, with annual growth of 4.1% posted in October – marking eight consecutive months of growth – and a new monthly record for traffic. Its current network covers forty-two destinations, with SkyCargo signing new interline partnerships with Astral Aviation in Africa and Teleport in SE Asia, last year.

On the first eleven days of 2026, DXB expects to welcome some 3.4 million passengers, with daily traffic consistently exceeding 300k travellers, with Emirates also pointing to high outbound volumes during the same period. It also advises passengers to arrive at the airport at least four hours before departure, use remote check-ins or use options such as Emirates City Check-In, in DIFC or Ajman, or opt for Home Check-In services in Dubai and Sharjah to avoid queues. Last week, Emirates, warned that the post-holiday period will see busy arrival halls, longer immigration queues, and increased road traffic, as families, professionals, and students return to the UAE after overseas breaks. The airport broke its daily record when 324k passengers passed through the airport on 03 January.

The UK first launched its Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA) scheme in October 2023, starting with Qatari nationals, before expanding it to Gulf countries, including the UAE, in February 2024. Passengers travelling to the UK face new digital entry rules, with Emirates warning that travellers without an approved ETA will not be allowed to board flights from 25 February. The ETA is a digital permission to travel, required for visitors who do not need a visa for short stays of up to six months The UK Home Office noted that “visitors from eighty-five nationalities, including the US, Canada, and France, who do not need a visa, will not be able to legally travel to the UK without an ETA from 25 February”.

A new global study by long-haul travel specialists Travel Bag has found that Abu Dhabi and Dubai have been named the safest cities in the world for solo travellers. The report, which analysed thirty-six destinations, was based on user perceptions of safety, theft, assault, and property crime, using daytime and nighttime safety scores from the Numbeo Crime Index, along with factors such as affordability, transport costs and traveller acceptance. Dubai ranked second with scores of ninety-one by day and eighty-three at night. With its low crime rate, twenty-four-hour lifestyle, and well-lit public spaces, the city allows solo visitors to explore areas such as Dubai Marina, night beaches, and shopping districts with confidence.

The top five safest cities were:

  1. Abu Dhabi               UAE                 – 92 | 87
  2. Dubai                       UAE                 – 91 | 83
  3. Chiang Mai              Thailand          – 93 | 81
  4. Muscat                    Oman              – 89 | 76
  5. Queenstown            New Zealand   – 86 | 74

 

Solo travel is booming worldwide, with 76% of Gen Z and Millennials saying they plan to travel alone this year, with safety being the top concern. While the UAE dominated on safety, Hanoi in Vietnam was named the best overall destination for solo travellers in 2025, scoring highly for daytime safety, low travel costs and a friendly atmosphere. There a pint of beer costs just US$ 0.95, while public transport averages US$ 0.34, making it one of the most affordable capitals in the world. Colombo and Kandy came in second and third.

According to the Startup Friendly Cities Index 2026, Dubai was rated third, behind San Francisco and Zurich, but ahead of London, Paris and New York. The new global index that measures how well cities support entrepreneurs and early-stage businesses, is published by global platform Multipolitan. This result indicates that the emirate continues to enhance its position as a global hub for entrepreneurship, driven by fast company set-up processes, digital infrastructure and policies designed to attract international talent. The index assesses startup eco-systems in sixty countries, following which it ranks twenty-eight cities, using five key measures – startup activity, digital connectivity, young talent, quality of life and business agility.

The Top 10 Startup-Friendly Cities 2026 are:

1. San Francisco

2. Zurich

3. Dubai

4. Singapore

5. New York City

6. Los Angeles

7. Seoul

8. London

9. Hong Kong

10. Paris

An agreement signed this week sees Parkin managing parking facilities at six Spinneys and Waitrose supermarkets, in a bid to ease congestion and improve access at these busy retail locations. The parking operator will use its automated access and enforcement systems at the selected stores, with the first two hours free and thereafter standard hourly charges will apply, in a move aimed at improving space availability and turnover; customers will be able to pay via their phones.

Buyers will benefit from the new Civil Transactions Law, that has introduced more transparent regulations for sales contracts, given more time for filing claims related to hidden defects and enhanced remedies for defective goods; in the case of latent defects, buyers used to have six months to claim, now it will be one year, and even longer if a contractual guarantee is agreed. The triple aims appear to be modernising sale transactions, reducing disputes and aligning the law with contemporary commercial practices. The new law also sees the clarification of sale contracts, including clearer regulation of sale by sample and sale by model, and will provide greater protection for people lacking full legal capacity, particularly in cases of grossly undervalued real estate sales. The sale contract reforms form part of a broader update to the Civil Transactions Law, aimed at improving clarity, fairness and trust in the legal system.

A new regulation issued by the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs sees Emirati citizens traveling to Georgia having to show health and accident insurance policies upon arrival. It further adds that the insurance documents must be valid for the entire duration of the traveller’s stay, can be issued in either English or Georgian, with a minimum required coverage of US$ 11.15k. It also added that the policies must be issued by reputable insurance providers, whether international or Georgian, or arranged through airlines. The policy took effect on 01 January.

The UAE has taken over the presidency of the Middle East and North Africa Financial Action Task Force for 2026, led by Hamid Saif Al Zaabi. MENAFATF, which includes twenty-one member states, with a combined GDP of over US$ 3 trillion, plays a key role in combatting money laundering, terrorist financing, and related threats across the region. This year, the regional organisation is set to prepare for its third round of mutual evaluations under updated global standards set by the Financial Action Task Force. Its triple aims this year are to modernise governance frameworks, expand international cooperation, and address emerging financial crime risks. Key priorities also include studying emerging risks linked to virtual assets, fintech, AI, beneficial ownership transparency and asset recovery.

The UAE’s regulated stablecoin ecosystem is steadily gaining ground, with announcements this week from RAKBANK and Network International. The Central Bank of the UAE has approved, in principle, for the bank to issue an AED-backed stablecoin, (with the proposed stablecoin being backed one-to-one by UAE dirhams held in segregated, regulated accounts, supporting full redemption at par value). The payments firm has moved to enable stablecoin payments across merchant platforms through AE Coin, becoming the first payments platform in the UAE to enable regulated stablecoin payments at scale through AE Coin, following a MoU with Al Maryah Community Bank. The partnership will integrate AE Coin into Network’s point-of-sale and e-commerce systems, allowing merchants to accept stablecoin payments across physical and digital channels.

With its Tier 1 Third-Country Central Counterparty recognition by the European Securities and Markets Authority granted, Dubai Clear, a subsidiary of Dubai Financial Market and Nasdaq Dubai, has become the first CCP in the Middle East and North Africa region to achieve ESMA Tier 1 status. This award enhances the country’s financial market infrastructure credibility and confirms the emirate’s emergence as a globally recognised centre for internationally aligned post-trade services. It also enables Dubai Clear and Nasdaq Dubai to attract market participants and institutions from EU countries as clearing members, strengthening cross-border connectivity between both markets in Dubai and European capital markets. It reflects the strength and maturity of Dubai’s regulatory environment and its alignment with international best practices in risk management and market oversight, whilst reinforcing Dubai’s long-term commitment to transparency, financial stability, and world-class market infrastructure.

The DFM opened the week on Monday 05 January on 6,114 points, and having shed twenty points, (0.3%), the previous week, closed one hundred and twelve points higher (0.8%), to close the week on 6,226 points, by 09 January 2026. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.04 lower the previous week, gained US$ 0.06 to close on US$ 3.92 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.76 US$ 7.79, US$ 2.36 and US$ 0.45 and closed on US$ 0.78, US$ 8.00, US$ 2.57 and US$ 0.46. On 09 January, trading was at one hundred and forty-six million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and twenty million dollars, compared to one hundred and ninety-six million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and twenty-seven million dollars, on 02 January.

By 09 January 2026, Brent, US$ 0.90 (1.5%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 3.31, (5.5%), to close on US$ 63.60. Gold, US$ 213 (4.7%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 173 (4.7%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,497 on 09 January. Silver was trading at a record US$ 79.92 – US$ 7.90 (11.0%) higher on the week.  

Last Sunday, OPEC+ – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman – kept oil output unchanged, having raised oil output targets by around 2.9 million bpd in 2025, equal to almost 3% of world oil demand, to regain market share; over the year, Brent fell 16.8% to US$ 60.91. Sunday’s meeting reaffirmed the position that was agreed last November, which had been to pause output hikes for January, February and March due to relatively low demand in the northern hemisphere winter. Sunday’s brief online meeting affirmed that policy and interestingly did not discuss Venezuela. Its next meeting is scheduled for 01 February.

On Tuesday, Donald Trump announced that Venezuela’s interim leaders had agreed to US-managed marketing of thirty to fifty million barrels of crude, followed by US Energy Secretary Chris Wright announcing that Washington will control sales of Venezuelan oil “indefinitely”. He added that “we’re going to market the crude coming out of Venezuela, first this backed up stored oil, and then indefinitely, going forward, we will sell the production that comes out of Venezuela into the marketplace”.

For the first time since the onset of the pandemic, UK new car sales topped two million, driven largely by rising demand for EVs; sales came in 3.5% higher on the year, but were still slightly down on the 2019 pre-pandemic figure of 2.31 million units. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders posted that EVs accounted for around 23% of the total 2025 registrations, as fully electric car sales rose by almost 25% to a record level.

Not before time, Ford Motor has decided to allow drivers to take both their eyes off the road and hands off the wheel when driving their new midsize EV truck as from 2028; the entry price will be in the region of US$ 30k. It announced that Level 3 driver-assistance systems, which are being developed by a specialised team in California, will initially only be available on Ford’s new electric vehicle platform and only when operating on certain highways; this would be available at an additional, yet unknown, cost. It is expected that the technology will be expanded to other Ford vehicles later. The carmaker would not comment which model, from the platform, would first get the advanced driver-assistance software.

It has been a long time coming but finally Tesla, with sales declining for the second consecutive year, has lost its crown, as the world’s top EV maker, to China’s BYD; last year, its sales outside of China rose to a record one million vehicles, (an eye-watering 150% surge on the year with a further 60% hike forecast for 2026 to 1.6 million). Tesla said it delivered 418.22k vehicles in Q4, (15.6% lower on the year); during the year it delivered 1.64 million units – 8.4% lower on the year. Tesla’s problems have not been helped by increasing competition, the expiration of US tax credits and recent damage to its brand by its owner’s political rhetoric. Its ‘fall from grace’ has been widely felt in the European markets, where BYD has continued to widen the sales gap with its US competitor. After Donald Trump ended the US$ 7.5k federal tax credit for EVs, in September, demand has softened. It is estimated that global sales surged 28% last year, with the Chinese leading brand outselling Tesla for the first time on an annual basis. It does seem that much of Tesla’s focus lays on its near future projects – especially robo-taxis and self-driving cars – to justify its steep valuation. Its share value at the start of 2025 was US$ 411, before almost halving to US$ 222 last March, whilst ending the year on US$ 450.

Elon Musk’s latest foray into the financing market sees his AI startup xAI raising US$ 20.0 billion in its latest funding round, as it accelerates development of its Grok AI models, in a crowded market with competition from the likes of OpenAI, Google, Perplexity and Anthropic. The fact that this latest funding round was oversubscribed continues to show that investors are still hungry to get involved in the sector despite the current lack of returns on the mega investments already made. The oversubscribed round drew investment not only from Nvidia, (who will support xAI’s computing infrastructure expansion by supplying its highly prized AI chips and software), but also from Valor Equity Partners, Stepstone Group, Fidelity Management & Research Company, Qatar Investment Authority, MGX and Baron Capital Group. Last year, it launched the deployment of what it claims are the world’s largest AI supercomputers, whilst its Colossus I and II data centres in Memphis now house over one million high-performing GPUs, the AI chips from Nvidia that are supercharging AI development.

It is reported that Glencore and Rio Tinto are in preliminary discussions about a possible combination of some or all of their businesses, which could include an all-share merger. The mega miners had previously talks in late 2024 but decided to go their own ways then.US-listed shares of Glencore shares in New York surged 6.0% on the news, whilst Rio Tinto headed in the other direction, with their share value down 6.3% on the Australian Stock Exchange.

There are reports thatTGI Fridays is finalising plans to buy back a slimmed-down version of the UK casual dining chain that could result in hundreds losing their jobs. Sugarloaf TGIF Management, which only took control of TGI Fridays two months ago, is preparing to implement a pre-pack administration of the business that will involve the closure of a significant proportion of the estate’s forty-nine restaurants. (A pre-pack insolvency involves a buyer being lined up for a company or its assets without its financial liabilities, immediately after the appointment of administrators takes place). The hospitality industry was badly impacted by moves in Rachel Reeves’ October 2024 and last November’s budgets that saw additional employers’ national insurance and other tax hits.

In a US$ 1.35 billion plus deal, Oakley Capital has agreed to buy a majority stake in Global Loan Agency Service, which specialises in the provision of loan administration and bond trustee services, and has become a fast-growing player in the global finance industry: GLAS was founded in 2011 by Mia Drennan and Brian Carne. It is understood that La Caisse, the Canadian pension fund giant previously known as CDPQ, was a co-investor and that the agreement to purchase is from Levine Leichtman Capital Partners, another private equity group.

In a US$ 1.082 million deal, Bridgepoint, the London-listed buyout firm, has agreed to buy a controlling stake in Interpath Advisory, from fellow private equity firm HIG Europe. The buyer, which is also the owner of Burger King’s British operations, had been involved in a hotly fought auction with some other big players such as Blackstone, Onex, PAI Partners and Permira. Interpath was spun out of KPMG UK in 2021, driven by the changing regulatory climate in the audit profession, following the collapse of companies such as BHS and Carillion, prompting a number of disposals by ‘big four’ firms to divest their consultancy units. Interpath is currently involved in some high-profile liquidations/restructuring such as Claire’s, TGI Friday’s and Russell & Bromley; in 2024, it was used by Sir Jim Ratcliffe’s Ineos Sports to help cut costs at Manchester United FC. Since HIG Europe acquired the business, four-and-a-half years ago, Interpath has doubled its EBITDA, with latest reports posting a 26% increase in revenue to almost US$ 200 million. Its chief executive, Mark Raddan, noted that “although we’re only four years old, we have a clear vision to become one of the world’s leading advisory firms and have made enormous strides towards that goal”. He and other senior executives are expected to retain a stake in the firm following the completion of the Bridgepoint deal.

Because of Spire Healthcare’s disappointing share performance, that has seen more than 25% wiped off its book value in 2025, to give a market cap of US$ 902 million, there has been increased shareholder pressure to sell the business; this is despite the company’s real estate assets alone have been valued at more than US$ 1.88 billion. The Board has already begun to explore options for maximising shareholder value. It is reported that the UK’s biggest private hospital operator has handed prospective suitors, including private equity firms, a 20 January deadline to pursue a takeover of the company. As well as running a network of private GP practices, and providing occupational health services to hundreds of corporate clients, it runs thirty-eight hospitals and more than fifty clinics, medical centres and consulting rooms across the UK. The healthcare group’s shareholders rejected a US$ 3.55-a-share offer from Australia’s Ramsay Healthcare in 2021, saying it undervalued the business. Its stock closed 2025 at US$ 2.25 per share.

Helped by a better-than-expected Christmas trading environment, Next reported that full-price sales rose by 10.6% in the nine weeks to 27 December, with UK sales up 5.9% and international sales 38.3%. Accordingly, the retails giant now expects full-year profits of US$ 1.56 billion for the twelve months to the end of January – 13.7% higher on the year. This is the fifth time, over the past twelve months, that Next has upgraded profit forecasts, starting the financial year with a US$ 1.42 billion expectation. Over the period, it has seen its market cap surge by 37%. It is not so bullish on the 2026 outlook, forecasting 4.5% sales growth as “continuing pressures on UK employment are likely to filter through into the consumer economy as the year progresses”.

Others are not faring as well. Reports indicate that the carnage on UK shop floors continues with the latest facing the chop being Claire’s and The Original Factory Shop – both owned by the investment firm Modella Capital and both on the brink of collapse – with the loss of over two thousand, five hundred jobs. Both, with a combined portfolio of some three hundred outlets, have filed notices of intention to appoint administrators which will give them breathing space from creditors. It seems they are the latest casualties of government policies, with a significantly increased tax burden on the retail industry and demands from landlords to take back swathes of shops. It does seem that both will carry on trading while seeking buyers.

Further bad news point to the fact that data from Sensormatic Solutions showing that retail footfall on 23 December, the last full shopping day before Christmas, fell 13.1%, compared to 2024. There are many who now feel that the sector will worsen into the new year.

Berlin-based ‘GetYourGuide’ is reportedly interested in a secondary share offering at a multibillion-euro valuation. The travel experiences marketplace is in discussions with investment banks, but no final decision has been made. Latest figures show that its revenue had grown to US$ 1.18 billion, (eur 1.0 billion) and that the company had posted a profit for the first time and that in one quarter last year, it had booked more than ten million experiences on its platform. Its last foray into the capital market was in 2023 when the Singaporean state fund Temasek and private equity giant KKR participated in a US$ 265 million equity and debt funding round, and that valued it at US$ 2.0 billion; any new secondary share sale is likely to be priced at a premium to that valuation.

Online shopping sales in the Republic of Korea jumped 6.8%, from a year earlier, to a record high in November, driven by strong demand for food-related services. The value of online shopping transactions stood at US$ 16.75 billion – 6.8% higher on the year – and the highest level since official records started in 2017. Promotions helped with increases of 13.7% in the sales of food services and 8.5% on travel and transportation services. There was a 7.9% jump in purchases made through smartphones, tablets and other mobile devices. However, there was a 4.9% decline in the online sales of home appliances and electronics, largely due to a decrease in promotional events offered by online shopping malls.

In December, Korea’s KOSPI posted that foreign ownership, as a share of total market capitalisation, reached its highest level in almost six years, supported by a rally in the equity market. Foreigners now account for 32.9% of the total market cap, after they bought a net US$ 2.4 billion worth of local shares in December; the previous month saw foreign interests holding 29.6% of the total market cap. It is also reported that foreign investors purchased a net US$ 3.12 billion worth of shares in the electronics sector in December. In the bond market, foreign investors bought a net US$ 6.1 billion worth of bonds last month The conclusion must be that this sharp rise in foreign investment is down to overseas confidence that the Korean economy – and its chipmakers – will benefit from robust global demand for memory chips.

In his New Year message, Singapore’s Prime Minister, Lawrence Wong, confirmed that the country’s economy grew by ‍a “stronger-than-expected” ‍4.8% in 2025. He also noted that “this is a ‌better outcome than we expected, given ⁠the circumstances, but we must be realistic: sustaining this pace of ⁠growth will be challenging”, adding that “fractured trade and geopolitical tensions are ‍not transient problems, but permanent features ​of a fragmented world”.

Malaysia’s economy is expected to get a boost – this following Prime Minister’s Anwar Ibrahim announcement of key measures supporting businesses that include a lower service tax rate on rental for SMEs, a one-year penalty-free transition period for e-invoicing, and the full settlement of excess tax refunds for the 2023 and 2024 assessment years. Not surprising, the initiatives have been welcomed by the business community, across the board, that will see a reduction in operating expenses, an improvement in cash flow and an easing in cost-of-living pressures.

According to data from London-based aviation analytics firm Cerium, Philippine Airlines, with an 83.12% on time performance rate, has, for the first time, clinched the top spot as the most punctual airline in the Asia-Pacific region. PAL, (founded in 1941 as Asia’s oldest continuously operating commercial airline), was followed by Air New Zealand, Japan’s All Nippon Airways and Singapore Airlines securing fourth. In August 2025 alone, PAL bagged the top spot in Asia Pacific punctuality, beating heavyweight rivals Singapore Airlines and Qantas with an 89.37% on-time record. Cirium considers a flight “on time” if it arrives or departs within 14 minutes and 59 seconds of schedule, drawing from over six hundred real-time flight data sources for accuracy.​

By the end of December 2025, China’s foreign exchange reserves rose 0.34%, on the month, to US$ 3.3579 trillion. According to the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, factors, such as macroeconomic data and monetary policies in major economies, were the leading drivers behind the US dollar index declining and mixed movements in global financial asset prices.

To further consolidate its leading position as a global AI innovation hub, the People’s Republic of China aims to grow its core AI industry, beyond US$ 142.5 billion, within two years, whilst adding to its 5.3k companies, currently accounting for 15% of the global total. The plan, which will comprise nine major initiatives targeting different sectors of the AI industry, prioritises technological breakthroughs through coordinated research efforts, boosting high-quality data supply and expanding applications across sectors. It also includes measures to attract top talent, mobilise long-term capital and support open-source ecosystems, with three other targets. They are building a domestically produced AI computing cluster, (with a capacity of over 100k chips), adding more than ten newly listed AI-related companies and cultivating over twenty unicorn firms in this sector.

Last week’s blog reported on the fact that Australia’s banks’ watchdog appeared to have closer relationships with some of the entities it oversees to the detriment of the stakeholders it is supposed to protect.  It was reported that CBA was able to convince the bank watchdog to push back the announcement, until after its 2024 annual general meeting, despite it having been caught in a massive breach of spam law. This week, it seems that the Australian Communications and Media Authority had been involved in changing a draft media statement announcing action against Sportsbet after lobbying from the gambling giant. It seems it had pressured ACMA to ‘water down’ an enforcement announcement after the watchdog had found Sportsbet continuing to text and email tens of thousands of customers even though they had already tried to unsubscribe from marketing messages. Indeed, ACMA should only alter quotes if they were incorrect or unsupportable, but this was not the case here. Another example of the watch dog probably barking too close to the companies it regulates.

According to latest figures issued by Cotality, its December Home Value Index rose at its smallest increase since July, at 0.7%; however, the annual increase, at 8.6%, ensured that the Australian national median dwelling value rose by US$ 47.78k. There are signs that the bull market, evident since May 2022, may soon be ending, attributable with market sentiment that the recent rate-cutting exercise may be over. In May 2022, interest rates were at 0.35%, only to rise 4.0% over the next eighteen months to 4.35% by November 2023. Over the next fifteen months, rates remained flat until February 2025 when rates started their fall, starting with a 0.25% reduction; since then, there has been four cuts with the current rate at 3.6%. The fact that rates may now have ended their downward trend has spooked the housing market that is influenced by the direction of rate reductions; two other factors have had their input – cost of living pressures and deteriorating housing affordability. Both leading cities, Sydney and Melbourne, saw property markets going backwards, by 0.1%, for the first time since January last year – an indicator that prices had started losing momentum, with the trend probably continuing into the new year.  Other monthly rises were:

  • Adelaide and Perth           both up 1.9%
  • Darwin and Brisbane        both 1.6%
  • Hobart                              0.9%
  • Canberra                           0.2%

This comes after 2025 witnessed its strongest year in home values post Covid, after 2021, home values then surged 24.5%. There are various factors driving these impressive figures. One is the 5% deposit scheme which is helping to push up demand especially in the under US$ 670k, (AUD one million), deposit scheme. (The Scheme enables eligible first home buyers to purchase a home with a deposit as low as 5%, and single parents or legal guardians with a deposit as low as 2%). The country also has relatively affordable housing scattered across the country, including in sections of Perth, Adelaide, Hobart and SE Queensland. Although Sydney is still largely unaffordable for those on average incomes, with a median house price of US$ $1.0 million, the combined capital cities have a median dwelling price of US$ 663k and the regions US$ 491k. Nationally, the median dwelling price is US$ 603k.

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has announced restrictions on home loans to limit the number of ‘high risk’ large loans being issued to customers; this is just one move indicating that the banks will be tightening up on mortgage approvals. It means only 20% of all new loans approved can have the total amount borrowed at more than six times the borrower’s annual household income. Furthermore, interest rates have a big impact on prices – with any move upwards curtailing interest and the opposite effect when rates head lower. Inflation and/or wage levels have an impact on the affordability side of the equation.  The fact that not enough new dwellings are hitting the market also has an impact on the supply side which can be a reason for rising prices.

Eurostat November figures showed that the euro area seasonally adjusted unemployment rate came in at 6.3%, down 0.1% from October’s results but 0.1% higher, at 6.2%, on the year. Meanwhile, the November EU unemployment rate was flat, on the month, at 6.0% but 0.2% higher, on the year. The statistical office of the European Union estimated that 13.23 million persons in the EU, of whom 10.94 million in the euro area, were unemployed in November 2025. On the month and year, EU figures were 97k lower and 416k higher with the euro area posting figures 71k lower and 253k higher.

As job opportunities are comparatively low, there was no surprise to see the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rising slightly last week, ending 27 December, with initial claims for state unemployment benefits increasing by 8k, to a seasonally adjusted 208k.

The US Department of Commerce noted that the country’s October trade deficit narrowed sharply, plunging 38.9%, on the month, to its lowest level of US$ 29.4 billion. Imports fell 3.2% during the month, to US$ 331 billion, as exports were 2.5% higher at US$ 302 billion.

According to Calastone, UK outflows from equity funds topped US$ 9.0 billion last year – a record since the fund data provider first compiled figures eleven years ago in 2015; no surprise to see the main driver being investor uncertainty prior to the 29 November budget spooking investors to look elsewhere. December was the seventh month in a row of consecutive monthly outflows, at a net US$ 253 million, bringing the H2 total funds withdrawn from equities to US$ 14.3 billion.

A week ago, Nationwide posted December housing data that indicated UK house prices had slipped 0.4% in what was ‘a slow month’. Halifax reported softer figures, showing a 0.6% decline in the month bringing the average UK property to be valued at just over US$ 400k – only 0.3% higher on the year. Industry analysts, who were looking at a 0.2% hike in December, were left disappointed. Amanda Bryden, head of mortgages at Halifax, commented that “while this may feel like a subdued close to the housing market in 2025, overall activity levels were resilient over the last year and broadly in line with the pre-pandemic average”.

According to the Centre for Policy Studies, it does seem that the embattled Chancellor is “quietly hammering” workers with stealth taxes, as a result of her two budgets. Although she had not directly increased employee income tax and direct employee national insurance, she did extend a freeze on them until 2031. This will inevitably result in many being dragged into a higher tax bracket, in line with an increase in their wages over the next five years. By this manoeuvre, the Treasury expects to raise almost US$ 31.0 billion to help the government “deliver on the country’s priorities”, like cutting NHS waiting lists and debt. However, the CPS estimates that by 2031 a person earning US$ 67.12k today will be US$ 678 worse off in 2031, despite a salary increase of US$ 8,054 over that period. In contrast, pensioners and those on welfare are set to be better off. Thanks to the triple lock guaranteeing increases in line with inflation, earnings or 2.5%, whichever is higher, a pensioner could expect to be at least US$ 411 better off in real terms in 2030-31. If people relying on the state pension are exempted from paying income tax, even once the payment crosses the personal allowance threshold, they could be US$ 721 better off. And increases to the standard rate of universal credit will mean someone on unemployment benefits will be US$ 389 better off. It is true that the Chancellor said that she was “asking everyone to make a contribution” to fund public services, but it does seem that the workers are paying more than their fair share.

Despite her promise that High Street hospitality businesses would benefit from “permanently lower tax rates” after the budget, it is estimated that pubs face an average tax rise of 76% over three years, thanks to Rachel Reeves’s decision to remove a Covid-era relief and to launch a review into rateable property values. The year has just begun but it seems highly likely that she will shortly be introducing her twelfth economic U-turn as political and popular pressure is forcing her to do something that will save pubs from crushing tax increases. It appears that an increasing number of Labour MPs has begun to organise a rebellion against the Chancellor’s business rates changes. The hospitality industry say her changes will lead to many businesses going to the wall, as pubs in particular face sharp tax rises. The Treasury is putting together a US$ 402 million package to support pubs and avoid large increases in business rates. However, this manoeuvre has only led to more industry calls for support, including hotels and the live entertainment industry, which are also in line for increases in business rates thanks to the government’s new decision to launch a review of how businesses are valued for tax purposes.

Following voluntary restrictions being introduced last October, a new online and TV ban on the advertising of unhealthy food comes into full effect on 06 January. Ads promoting “less healthy” food and drinks, that are high in saturated fat, salt and sugar, are banned on UK TVbetween 5.30am and 9.00pm, and online at any time. Products, included in the thirteen-category range, include soft drinks, chocolates and sweets, pizzas, cakes and ice creams, but also breakfast cereals and porridges, sandwiches, sweetened bread products and yoghurts. Adverts for plain oats and most porridge, muesli and granola will not be affected, but some less healthy versions, with added sugar, chocolate or syrup, could face restrictions. The government estimates the ad ban will prevent around 20k cases of childhood obesity – a mere drop in the ocean when there are over 12.7 million under sixteens in the country, of which perhaps at least 20% are clinically obese. The pity is that for many of them, there is no need to Be Like That!

Posted in Categorized | Leave a comment

Paradise City! 02 January 2026

2025 was yet another record year for the Dubai property market with figures from the Dubai Land Department showing a 30.64% surge in sales to US$ 185.96 billion, as transactions jumped 18.82% to 214.9k. The three main drivers behind the 2025 figures have been rising global capital inflows, much improved end-user demand and a steady improvement of the Dubai economy. There has also been a marked shift that now sees families staying longer in Dubai, than in past years, so that many are now choosing to buy rather than rent, adding to a overall increased demand for housing.

Sales volumes surged through 2025, driven by global capital inflows, rising end-user demand and a steady expansion of the wider economy. The bull market has been on-going for five years and sees little chance of changing in 2026, but basic economics indicate that this cannot continue ad infinitum. However, at the end of the year, the sector consolidated its position as one of the world’s leading property markets, driven by strong demand from local and international investors. Q4 sales, at US$ 51.08 billion, and 28.9% higher, were the highest ever quarterly return, with record monthly results of US$ 17.66 billion, US$ 17.50 billion and US$ 15.92 billion in December, November and October. Mortgage transactions reached US$ 48.84 billion, via 50.97k deals, while gifts totalled US$ 15.59 billion, across 9.56k transactions, during the year.

As the general market is becoming increasingly price sensitive, this trend does not seem to apply to the luxury/ultra luxury sectors that prefer branded residences, prime villas, and waterfront homes, mainly because supply has yet to fully catch up with demand. Such locations include Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Bay Island, Emirates Hills, Al Wasl, Dubai Hills Estate and Mohammed Bin Rashid City. Many of the buyers in the ultra-high-net-worth sector have taken to Dubai for various reasons including a better lifestyle, political stability, world-class facilities and long-term residency options. That demand has helped push the luxury segment beyond its post-pandemic boom phase into what many analysts now view as a more mature global asset class.

The top ten selling locations during 2025 were:

Business Bay                                       US$ 10.44 billion

Jumeirah Village Circle                       US$ 6.68 billion

Al Yalayis 1                                         US$ 6.47 billion

Dubai Investment Park Second          US$ 6.31 billion

Palm Jumeirah                                    US$ 5.83billion

Airport City                                         US$ 5.57billion

Burj Khalifa                                         US$ 5.53 billion

Meydan                                               US$ 5.13 billion

Al Yufrah 1                                         US$ 5.10 billion

Palm Jebel Ali                                     US$ 4.78 billion

Reports indicate that Dubai is involved in currently building four of the world’s ten tallest skyscrapers, including second place Burj Azizi (at a height of seven hundred and twenty-five mt and with one hundred and thirty-one floors). Expected completion is in 2028. Burj Binghatti Jacob & Co Residences comes in at fifth place, at a height of five hundred and ninety-five mt. Located in Business Bay, it will have one hundred and four floors, with seven basement levels, and will become the world’s tallest residential building. Completion is slated for October 2027. In seventh place is Tiger Sky Tower Dubai, at five hundred and thirty-two mt, with a reported US$ 1.0 billion budget. It will boast the world’s highest infinity pool and the world’s highest restaurant – plus with a “lush green rainforest area” inside – and have a rooftop park. Construction started in May 2024 and is expected to be ready between 2028 – 2029. Six Senses Residences Dubai Marina, at five hundred and seventeen mt, takes eighth place and will become the world’s tallest standalone residential tower. It will feature one hundred and twenty-two floors and two hundred and fifty-one residences, with prices starting at US$ 1.58 million for a two-bedroom apartment. Expected completion is set for 2028.

The other six buildings in the top ten are:

 

1          Jeddah Tower                         Saudi Arabia               one thousand mt plus

3          Merdeka 118                          Kuala Lumpur             six hundred and seventy-nine mt

4          Goldin Finance 117                 Tianjin China               five hundred and ninety-seven mt

6          Senna Tower                           Balneario Brazul         five hundred and forty-four mt

9          The Line                                  Tabuk Saudi Arabia    five hundred mt

10        Greenland Jinmao                   Nanjing China             five hundred mt

In line with its twin targets of consolidating procedures and ensuring the clarity of the approved fees, within an organised legal framework, Dubai Courts will regulate the fees of the Private Notary Public, associated with the services provided, as from today, 02 January.  It also aims to protect the rights of service recipients, associated with those services. The adoption of the fee schedule will ensure the compliance of Private Notary Public offices with the approved regulatory and legislative frameworks, contribute to enhancing service quality, and accelerate the completion of transactions. The fees of the Private Notary Public, for the authorised service, were set at US$ 27, (AED 100), for the electronic registration of the parties’ details in the Dubai Courts system for each party to the instrument, in addition to US$ 27 for each signature on the instrument, and US$ 272 for each transfer, in the event that the Private Notary Public moves outside his place of work to carry out the transaction.

Following an earlier court ruling, the Dubai Attorney General filed an appeal in the interest of the law, seeking judicial clarification on fairness in family-related financial arrangements. After due consideration, the Dubai Court of Cassation issued a landmark ruling affirming that equality must be observed when distributing gifts, or similar financial benefits, among children and wives, unless there is a clear and legitimate reason to justify unequal treatment. According to the judgment, it is the responsibility of the trial judge to assess whether such a legitimate interest exists. In cases where unjustified inequality is established, the court ruled that compensation may be ordered from the estate to remedy the harm suffered by the disadvantaged party. The decision provides clear legal guidance and reinforces fairness and balance in family financial dealings under UAE law.

Impressive annual 2025 figures from the world’s largest international airline show that Emirates transported 55.6 million passengers on 180.6k flights, equivalent to circling the earth 29.29k times. During the calendar year, when it celebrated its fortieth anniversary in October, seventy-three new aircraft were ordered. EK welcomed the first of its Airbus 350 planes and has now has sixteen aircraft, (from its first order), currently operating to eighteen city destination. This year, Emirates continued its expansion in Asia, with the launch of daily non-stop flights to Shenzhen and Hangzhou in mainland China, in addition to operating services to Da Nang in Vietnam and Siem Reap in Cambodia via Bangkok. At November’s Dubai Airshow, the carrier rolled out Starlink satellite internet connectivity across two hundred and thirty-two aircraft, starting with Boeing 777s. It also launched Emirates Courier Express, promising any delivery within three days maximum, which currently serves ten international markets, with further expansion on-going. Its award-winning Emirates Skywards celebrated its twenty-fifty anniversary and now boasts thirty-seven million members across one hundred and ninety nations; it still attracts an average of 78k new members every month. In the years, it has distributed nearly four hundred billion reward miles, with members currently redeeming more than eight hundred flight rewards daily, with one upgrade processed every minute.

In its forty-second year, Dubai Duty Free posted a 9.9% hike in 2025 revenue to a record US$ 2.38 billion which included ten record-breaking months, with December taking the biscuit. Last month alone, sales, 12.3% higher, reached US$ 253 million – the highest monthly figure ever recorded; the figures were boosted by the traditional 20 December anniversary sales, when there is a 25% discount on offer – this year that day recorded sales of US$ 19 million. Although final passenger numbers for 2025 are yet to be released, sales growth exceeded passenger traffic by an estimated 5%.

This week, Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Chairman of the Ports, Customs, and Free Zone Corporation, inaugurated its new headquarters in Dubai Maritime City. He noted that it had been designed as a symbol of progress as well as PCFC’s vision to strengthen Dubai’s position as a global business hub. The new building, with a standalone parking structure with over seven hundred spaces, will house over 1.5k employees and will serve more than three hundred clients and visitors daily.

Following launches in cities including London, Cannes and Saint-Tropez, Saddle Café has opened its latest outlet in the Swiss ski resort, Courchevel. Spanning forty sq mt, the Courchevel café has seating for nine guests, catering to both sit-down customers and those stopping briefly between ski runs or shopping trips. Saddle Café, founded in Dubai in 2017 will be serving its speciality coffees along with freshly prepared crepes, gourmet sandwiches, pistachio milkshakes and açai smoothies; the menu will also include other items such as rich hot chocolate, warming chai and steel-cut oat porridge, designed to suit colder winter conditions. It will also retail collection items – including branded apparel and limited-edition mugs – along with winter accessories such as gloves. The chain’s founder, Mohamed Matar Al Falasi, noted that the Courchevel move represented both pride and opportunity, and a fitting setting to share Saddle’s approach to hospitality, design and coffee culture.

Startling figures from the UK’s Office for National Statistics see that 195k people, under the age of thirty-five, have left the country and moved overseas in the year to 30 June 2025, driven by many factors including rising rents, higher taxes, a tough job market, a hostile business friendly environment and rising crime rates. It appears that Dubai could be the number one target for many of these leavers escaping from an increasingly depressing economic climate, rising debt, fewer graduate vacancies and a government that seems to have lost the plot along the way. Dubai, not only offers year-round sun, but a progressive government, a booming job market, tax-free salaries, world class infrastructure and a business-friendly environment.

The Roads and Transport Authority posted that a total of 2.837 million passengers used Dubai’s public transport during the New Year’s Eve  celebrations – a 13.4% increase compared to a year earlier.

With thirty-one Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements signed, and fourteen already in force, Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, UAE’s Minister of Foreign Trade, has been in Egypt, with a high-level government delegation, in negotiations to secure a CEPA with that country. Technicalities of the agreement are being sorted, including product rules of origin, regulations for factories operating in free zones, trade in services, and digital commerce. The UAE minister met with his Egyptian counterpart, Hassan Al-Khatib, to review the progress being made, whilst expressing. a strong commitment to further expand and deepen their bilateral economic relations. Last year, non-oil trade between the two nations, increased by 21.0% to US$ 8.4 billion.

The approved fuel prices, by the Ministry of Energy, are determined every month, according to the average global price of oil, whether up or down, after adding the operating costs of distribution companies. January has seen monthly decreases for petrol, (between 6.26% to 6.73%), whilst diesel prices moved 10.55% lower. The breakdown for a litre of fuel prices in January 2026 is as follows:

   Jan 26Dec 25MthlyJan 25YTD 
 US$US$US$ 
 Super 980.6890.736-6.39%0.711-3.09% 
 Special 950.6590.703-6.26%0.681-3.23% 
 E Plus 910.6380.684-6.73%0.662-3.63% 
 Diesel 0.6950.777-10.55%0.73-4.79% 

The DFM opened the week on Monday 29 December on 6,114 points, and having gained two hundred and ninety-seven points, (5.1%), the previous four weeks, closed twenty points lower (0.3%), to close the week on 6,114 points, by 02 January 2026. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.13 higher the previous week, shed US$ 0.04 to close on US$ 3.86 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.76 US$ 7.89, US$ 2.60 and US$ 0.45 and closed on US$ 0.76, US$ 7.79, US$ 2.36 and US$ 0.45. On 02 January, trading was at one hundred and ninety-six million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and twenty-seven million dollars, compared to one hundred and seventy-two million shares, with a value of US$ fifty-two million dollars, on 26 December.

The bourse had opened the year on 4,063 points and, having closed on 31 December at 6,047, was 1,984 points (48.8%) higher YTD. Emaar had started the year with a 01 January 2025 opening figure of US$ 2.24, and had gained US$ 1.59, to close 2025 at US$ 3.83. Four other bellwether stocks, DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started 2025 on US$ 0.67, US$ 4.70, US$ 1.65 and US$ 0.43 and closed on 31 December 2025 at US$ 0.74, US$ 7.59, US$ 2.53 and US$ 0.45.  

By 02 January 2026, Brent, US$ 1.09 (1.8%) higher the previous week, shed US$ 0.90, (1.5%), to close on US$ 60.29. Gold, US$ 411 (10.0%) higher the previous four weeks, shed US$ 213 (4.7%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,324 on 02 January. Silver was trading at a record US$ 72.02 – US$ 5.27 (7.9%) higher on the week.  

Brent started the year on US$ 74.81 and shed US$ 12.58 (16.8%), to close 31 December 2025 on US$ 60.91. Gold started the year trading at US$ 2,624, and by the end of December, the yellow metal had gained US$ 1,594 (60.7%) and was trading at US$ 4,341. Silver was trading at US$ 70.60 – US$ 27.45 (94.7%) higher YTD from its 01 January price of US$ 28.99.

As it starts the new year, and with a regular budget of US$ 3.45 billion, (6.5% higher on the year), the United Nations is facing financial problems, as it prepares to shrink its workforce by 19%; the one hundred and ninety-three-member General Assembly approved the spending plan after weeks of negotiations. Excluding the likes of peacekeeping missions and specialised agencies such as UNESCO and the WHO, this budget only applies to core UN operations.  

2025 was a year when global sovereign wealth funds amassed a record US$ 15 trillion in assets under management in a year of tech stocks surging in value. Global SWF estimated that, in total, SVWs invested US$ 66.0 billion into AI and digitalisation last year, led by ME entities, with Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Investment Co, Kuwait Investment Authority and Qatar Investment Authority’s investing US$ 12.9 billion, US$ 6.0 billion and US$ 4.0 billion in 2025.

The main seven Gulf wealth funds accounted for 43% of all capital invested by state-owned investors globally at a record US$ 126 billion. The standout contributor was Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund’s US$ 36.2 billion, with its acquisition of Electronic Arts Inc, making up the bulk of that figure. Notwithstanding that deal, Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala was the most active sovereign wealth fund, investing a record US$ 32.7 billion over forty transactions. The US stands out with US$ 13.2 trillion in assets under management by state-owned investors, followed by China with US$ 8.2 trillion and the UAE at US$ 2.9 trillion. Over the year, the US was the leading destination for state-owned investments, with 2025 investments 91.3% higher at US$ 131.8 billion, whist investments into China were 58.2%, lower at US$ 4.3 billion.

Beyoncé has become the fifth global musician to be declared a billionaire by Forbes, following in the shoes of Taylor Swift, Rihanna, Bruce Springsteen and her husband Jay-Z. Her 2023 Renaissance World Tour grossed nearly US$ 600 million, making her one of the biggest pop music icons in the world alongside Taylor Swift. The ratings agency estimated that her ‘Cowboy Carter’ tour – which included guest appearances from Jay-Z, two of their three children and former Destiny’s Child bandmates – sold over US$ 400 million in ticket sales and a further US$ 50 million in merchandise, whist a film she produced of her concert performance posted  US$ 44 million in gross box office sales, of which she picked up 50% to add to her coffers. A special halftime show for Netflix’s first Christmas Day NFL game amassed an estimated US$ 50 million, on top of US$ 10 million for a string of Levi’s commercials,

The US Department of Justice has announced that Walt Disney has agreed to pay a US$ 10 million civil penalty as part of a settlement to resolve allegations it violated child privacy laws in some videos uploaded to YouTube, as ‘Made for Kids’, by failing to properly label some videos it uploaded. This allowed the entertainment giant to collect personal data from children younger than thirteen years old and use that information for targeted advertising. The law requires websites, apps and other online services, aimed at children under thirteen, to notify parents about what personal information they collect and obtain verifiable parental consent before collecting such information. The case had been referred to the DOJ by the Federal Trade Commission.

Hundreds of travellers and New Year’s Eve revellers have been left stranded after a power supply problem halted Eurostar trains between London, Paris, Amsterdam and Brussels. The company advised people not to come to the station unless they already have a ticket to travel or postpone their journeys until another time. It seems that an overhead power supply problem and a failed Le Shuttle train, (which transport vehicles between England and France), were the problems.

The Revel Collective, which also owns twenty-two Peach Pubs and bars trading under the Revolucion de Cuba name, is in danger of its shareholders being wiped out unless an early deal is reached. The company trades from sixty-two locations but is facing the prospect of collapse if it does not finalise transactions to sell its assets. It has set a deadline for bids by 09 January in an urgent move to conclude a deal and save the enterprise. Neos Hospitality, one of the UK’s leading operators of late-night drinking venues, is among the parties which had expressed interest in buying some of The Revel Collective’s sites. The company also announced the suspension of trading in its shares.

It appears that UK’s biggest household gas and electricity supplier, Octopus Energy Group, could be selling up to 20% of its stake in its software arm, Kraken Technologies, which is valued at between US$ 9.0 billion to US$ 10.0 billion; it has already lined up a syndicate of investors including D1 Capital Partners, a leading investor in technology businesses, the fund management giant Fidelity and an arm of Canada’s Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. The company has engaged Goldman Sachs to handle the Kraken demerger. WithKraken valued at US$ 10.0billion, the whole group, including the retail supply business, could be worth more than US$ 20.0 billion – double the value it was estimated to be worth just twelve months ago.

Everyman Media Group’s chief executive, Alex Scrimgeour, has left his position, with immediate effect, to be replaced on an interim basis by non-executive director Farah Golant; he had held that position since January 2021, after heading French restaurant chain Cote Brasserie since 2015. This news follows three weeks after the cinema chain, with forty-nine venues across the UK, issued a trading update where it cut its forecasts for revenue and earnings, sending its shares down 20%; it expects lower forecasts of 5.8% for 2025 revenues, at US$ 154.7 million, and for underlying earnings of 15.6% at US$ 22.7 million. Although Chairman Philip Jacobson praised Mr Scrimgeour for having “played a pivotal role in the team that successfully led the business through its recovery from Covid, more than doubling revenue”, its share price had slumped 76% during his five-year tenure.

In October 2024, the Commonwealth Bank was fined US$ 5.0 million by the Australian Communications and Media Authority for bombarding customers with some one hundred and seventy million messages, with no way of unsubscribing. CBA was caught pushing rewards programs, insurance, credit and loan products and bank promotions onto millions of customers, including some who had never consented to them or had asked for them to be removed. It is reported that CBA was able to convince the bank watchdog to push back the announcement until after its 2024 annual general meeting, despite it having been caught in a massive breach of spam laws. This freed the bank’s senior managers from having to face embarrassing headlines or hostile questions from shareholders at the AGM. It also escaped damaging news headlines, prior to the AGM, that would have pointed to the bank being one of the worst corporate spammers in the country. The regulator is under pressure over its close relationships with some of the companies it oversees, and, to the neutral observer, it does seem that this watchdog has lost its bite as it often jumps to the piper’s tune – and not for the first time.

Indeed, this year, the bank has again received a ‘Choice’s’ Shonky award for refusing to transfer US$ 180 million after the Australian Securities and Investment Commission had found many of the major banks had kept customers, who were on Centrelink income in fee charging accounts, when they should have automatically been transferred into low or no fee accounts. Whilst most banks agreed to repay the money, CBA refused; weeks later, it declared a US$ 6.67 billion, (AED 10.0 billion), profit. The Shonky award has been in existence for twenty years, and this was the fourth time, the bank has been a ‘beneficiary’.

Although the Royal Mail can trace its history back to 1516 – allowing the UK to claim to be the first country in the world to deliver letters – Denmark, after four hundred and one years, is the first nation to end its letter delivery service after 401 years, with PostNord noting that there had been a “major decline” in letter sending, in favour of electronic means of communication. The number of letters being sent in Denmark has dropped by 99% this century in the past 25 years – from 1.5 billion in 2000 to 110 million last year. Consequently, the cost of a postage stamp, for a standard letter, had risen to US$ 6.84. PostNord said that about a third of the current workforce will be retrenched and that it will now focus solely on its profitable parcel delivery service. 67% of its 1.5k red post-boxes were sold at an average price of US$ 472, within three hours; two hundred more will be auctioned and the rest will go to museums.

In the first eleven months of 2025, China reported an annual 3.6% hike in the number of cross-regional passenger trips at 61.87 billion, with operational freight and highway freight volumes rising 3.5% to 53.54 billion tonnes, and 3.6% to 39.49 billion tonnes, over the same period. The country’s port container throughput grew 4.4% to reach 16.75 billion tonnes, with domestic and foreign trade cargo throughput moving 4.5% and 4.1% higher respectively.

For the first time ever, the Republic of Korea posted an annual export figure of over US$ 700 billion to become only the sixth country to reach that total after the US, Germany, China, Japan and the Netherlands; years earlier it had become the seventh country to hit the US$ 600 billion mark – a sign that it has been posting faster export growth compared with other major competitors. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources attributed the strong performance to robust shipments of semiconductors, along with key products such as automobiles, ships and bio-related goods, as well as record levels of exports by the country’s SMEs.

Prime Minister Sanai Takaichi’s administration has approved a 2026 budget, starting next April, of US$ 783 billion – a record for Japan’s economy and 6.2% higher than the previous year. She has had to solve two conflicting economic problems to meet the growing concerns of rising public debt, (and having to go carefully on issuing new gilts), along with continuing a proactive fiscal policy; new government bond issues will rise by 3.5% to US$ 189.71 billion whilst tax revenues at a record US$ 536.17 billion are set to increase by 7.6%, and help fund  the increased spending, but they will not fully offset rising debt serving costs, allied with a higher spend on social welfare and defence. Meanwhile, reliance on debt is set to decline to 24.2% – the lowest level since 1998. The budget will be presented to parliament next month.

Last Friday, a judge found former Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak guilty in four charges of abuse of power and twenty-one charges of money laundering and jailed him for fifteen years. This was his second major trial for misappropriating US$ 570 million from the nation’s sovereign wealth fund 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB). The verdict comes after seven years of legal wrangling and involved evidence from seventy-six witnesses called to the stand. The disgraced seventy-two-year-old was already in jail relating to another case involving 1MDB – a mega global scandal involving politicians, film stars and financiers that saw some US$ 4.5 billion siphoned off from the fund. In 2020, he had been found guilty of embezzlement and was convicted of abuse of power, money laundering and breach of trust over US$ 10 million transferred from SRC International – a former unit of 1MDB – into his private accounts; he was sentenced to twelve years in prison. The latest case concerns a larger sum of money received by his personal bank account in 2013, with the disgraced politician claiming that he had believed the money was a donation from the late Saudi King Abdullah. The political fall-out from 1MDB was that in 2018, Najib’s Barisan Nasional coalition, which had governed the country since its 1957 independence, lost power after sixty-one years. It would probably be a different Malaysia today, if the scandal had been covered up.

Syria has unveiled a series of redesigned banknotes which began circulating yesterday, 01 January 2026, alongside the old currency for a ninety-day transition period. The new Syrian pound has removed two zeros, from the old denomination, to try and restore confidence in the economy after years of corruption and mismanagement under the five-decade despotic rule of Hafez al-Assad and his son Bashar al-Assad, as part of a sweeping monetary reform aimed at stabilising the national currency. The redenomination will convert every one hundred old pounds into one new pound, effectively simplifying transactions without changing underlying values. Central Bank Governor Abdul Qader Husariya said the step was part of a comprehensive institutional strategy to restore confidence and achieve sustainable growth. It comes at a time when the currency is really struggling. Before the 2011 troubles, the pound was trading at fifty to the greenback – now it hovers around the eleven thousand level.

Major trouble is brewing in Iran, as hundreds of students, (from four of Tehran’s universities), join shopkeepers and bazaar merchants in protests over the country’s soaring cost of living. The rial lost nearly 50% of its value against the US dollar in 2025, with inflation reaching 42.5% in December and the price of food rising as much as 72%. The demonstrations are the first major protests since Israeli and US strikes on Iran in June, which prompted outpourings of patriotic solidarity. The country is still reeling from Trump’s 2018 sanctions, during his first term, that ended an international deal over the country’s nuclear programme. In September, the UN reimposed sanctions on the country. Iran is still under intense international pressure, with Trump warning that he may approve another round of Israeli airstrikes if Tehran resumes work on ballistic missiles or a nuclear weapons programme. Whether the current unrest is enough to ruffle the country’s clerical rulers remains to be seen, but it sems highly likely that 2026 will see more of the Iranian troubles in the news.

In retaliation to the US selling arms to Taiwan, the Xi-Ping administration has announced sanctions targeting ten individuals, (being the founder of defence firm Anduril Industries and nine senior executives from the sanctioned firms), and twenty US defence firms, including Boeing’s St. Louis branch, Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation and L3Harris Maritime Services. The US State Department announced their displeasure at this move saying it strongly objected to the Chinese action, which freezes any assets the companies and individuals hold in China and bars domestic organisations and individuals from doing business with them. It was only last week that Washington announced a US$ 11.1 billion arms package to Taiwan – the largest ever US weapons package for the island. It must be remembered that China views democratically-governed Taiwan as part of its own territory, with its foreign ministry commenting that “the Taiwan issue is the core of China’s core interests and the first red line that cannot be crossed in China-US relations”, and that “any provocative actions that cross the line on the Taiwan issue will be met with a strong response from China”. Watch this space!

The following table traces how certain indices have performed over the years. Gold and silver have had record years, with 65.44% and 144.6% surges, to US$ 4,341.10 and US$ 70.60 respectively. It is hard to see them both repeating their performances this year and they will do well to record just single digit advances in 2026. Brent, at US$ 60.91, is 29.1% down on its December 2022 level and is looking at another tough year but could top US$ 70 sometime in 2026. Following two years of double-digit growth in 2022 and 2023, iron ore has hit the buffers, with declines of 23.1% and 5.6% posted in 2024 and 2025; the metal could keep its head above water in 2026. Following a stellar 70.5% surge in 2024, it was no surprise to see a smaller, (8.1%), rise, to US$ 348.5 in 2025; notwithstanding supply constraints, expect coffee prices to push slightly higher this year, as global consumption climbs steadily head north. For the fourth consecutive year, cotton prices have fallen; on the year, by 6.0%, to US$ 64.30 and over the past five years by 43.0%. Prices will flatten in 2026. Over the three years to December 2024, copper prices had declined by 10.8% but in 2025 managed to change the trend posting an impressive 42.7% rise to US$ 5.68. It could well see low double-digit price increases this year. In 2024, the strength of the US$ came to the forefront in Q4, with annual rises, for sterling, the Ozzie dollar, the euro and rouble of 1.73%, 9.24%, 6.24% and 18.18% at US$ 1.251, US$ 0.619, US$ 1.036 and US$ 0.009. This was all reversed in 2025, with the four currencies improving by 7.5%, 7.8%, 13.2% and 44.4% to US$ 1.35, US$ 0.67, US$ 1.17 and US$ 0.013 against the weakening greenback. 2026 will probably see a further decline in the dollar, as the Trump administration make US imports cheaper.

As had been the case in 2024, all five bourses continued to move higher, with all posting double digit gains. The local DFM, having posted a 27.0% jump in 2024, was 17.2% higher last year; it will probably hit double figure gains in 2026 but slightly lower than its 2025 return. The FTSE 100 posted a welcome 21.5% rise in 2025 following a 23.3% jump in 2024; it will have to work hard not to lose some of its biggest companies to US and European bourses, and if successful should see a rise of under 10.0% in 2026. Like its London counterpart, the S&P 500 posted a double-digit growth of 16.4% but down on the 23.3% hike recorded in 2024. Having registered a 14.7% increase in its market cap, the Shanghai CSI300 posted a 17.7% rise, to 4,630, in 2025; more of the same is expected this year. Yet again, Bitcoin was an accident waiting to happen; having peaked in 2025 at US$ 121.4k, and having started the year on US$ 93.3k, it ended the year on US$ 87.5k. There is every chance, it will hit at least US$ 105k during 2026 but will probably end the year below US$ 100k.

   %age31-Dec31-Dec31-Dec31-Dec31-Dec31-Dec
  UnitRise202520242023202220212020
Gold oz65.44%4,341.102,62420741,8301,8311,895
Iron Ore lb-5.57%97.84103.61134.7121.3106.7155.7
Oil -Brent bl-18.58%60.9174.8177.285.9177.7851.8
Coffee lb8.61%348.45320.84188.2174226.75128.25
Cotton lb-5.97%64.3068.3881.283.4112.6578.12
Silver oz144.46%70.6028.8824.124.1823.3626.41
Copper lb42.71%5.683.983.93.824.463.52
AUD  7.75%0.670.6190.6820.6810.7260.77
GBP  7.51%1.351.2511.2731.21.01.3531.359
Euro  13.22%1.171.0361.1051.0731.1371.218
Rouble  44.44%0.010.0090.0110.0140.0130.014
FTSE 100  21.51%9,9318,17377337,4527,4036,481
CSI300  17.66%4,6303,93534313,8724,9405,212
S&P 500  16.37%6,8455,88247693,8404,7663,756
DFMI  17.21%6,0475,1594,0163,3363,1962,492
ASX 200  10.54%9,0198,15975907,0397,8446,587
Bitcoin  -6.43%87,51593,53342539.2168564801129,043

2025 Dubai Forecasts

  • In 2024, there had been a 4.664% hike to 3.825 million. The latest available official population figure for Dubai was 4.044 million on 13 November 2025, so a year end estimate would be 4.080 million – 255k, (6.666%) higher on the year. This year, it is estimated that with a 6.0% increase, Dubai’s population will rise to 4.325 million by 31 December 2026
  • By the end of 2024, there were 857.0k residential units – 696.1k apartments and 160.9k villas – a 81.2:18.8 ratio; no official 2025 figures are available but estimates range from 50k to 70k, so assuming 60k, there will be 48.7k apartments and 11.3k villas added to the portfolio by the end of 2025, giving a total 744.8k apartments and 172.2k villas – 917k residential units. Assuming that there will be a further 90k residential units handed over in 2026, (73.1k apartments and 16.9k villas), the new portfolio will be 1.007 million units – (817.7k apartments and 189.3k villas). This blog uses a 5.3:4.1 villa:apartment occupancy so that by the end of 2026 there will be enough accommodation to house 3.352 million in apartments and 1.003 million in villas – a total of 4.355 million – almost in line with the 4.325 million forecast population.  However, estimates are that some 10% of housing will either be empty, used as second homes, Airbnb, renovation etc and therein lies the problem that can only be solved by increased supply
  • there will be a marked increase in the number of “new” residents moving to Dubai from overseas and the northern emirates (with an estimated one million a day adding to the traffic problems and increasing pressure on the emirate’s infrastructure and facilities)
  • there is no doubt that property prices have skyrocketed since the pandemic and average prices will continue to move higher – in 2025, expect a lower double-digit growth; there could be a small adjustment at the bottom end of the market
  • by the end of 2025, the UAE government had signed thirty-one Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements, with countries and international blocs,  with fourteen are already in force. This year, it will sign at least twenty new CEPAs in a bid to achieve the administration’s aim of targeting US$ 1.09 trillion in total trade value by 2031 and doubling the size of the wider economy by 2030
  • having jumped 89.2% in the previous five years to 31 December 2025, including last year’s growth of 17.2% to 6,047 points, the DFM will maintain its upward momentum into the new year, with a similar growth pattern in 2026 closing at 5,150 points
  • having delivered the highest level of profit before tax (US$ 6.20 billion), and revenue (US$ 39.6 billion), last fiscal year, ending 31 March 2025, expect Emirates to deliver enhanced figures with revenue rising by more than 7% and a double-digit profit growth
  • DXB will record a record number of passengers reaching ninety-four million in 2026
  • Dubai’s debt, of around US$ 111 billion, will remain steady at around 22% of GDP, (down from 70% in 2021), helped by several factors including its strong resurgence post-Covid, asset sales of several GREs, increased dividends from associated companies, the introduction of corporation tax and a further surge in tourism
  • Dubai’s GDP grew 4.4% in H1, with the GDP reaching US$ 65.67 billion. By the end of 2026, the emirate could well be posting growth levels of over 5.2%, driven by the non-oil sector. To date, it appears that the effects of geopolitical tensions have been minimal
  • further growth in the hospitality sector will see higher hotel revenues at US$ 8.4 billion, occupancy rates topping 81% in 2026, with guest numbers increasing to 19.2 million
  • two more government-related companies listed on the DFM
  • one Dubai family IPO to be listed on the DFM

2024 Global Forecasts

  • in 2025, the global economy slowed to 2.6%, not helped by geo-political problems, with 2026 seeing similar growth numbers
  • interest rates will nudge slowly lower
  • G20 headline inflation eased in 2025 – down from the 6.1% level in 2023. This year more of the same with levels of between 3% – 4%
  • global debt stands at record levels of around US$ 300 trillion, as concerns mount about debt sustainability. In 2026, the situation will only worsen impacting the poorer nations who, yet again, will bear the brunt, with the poor becoming poorer and the rich richer
  • geopolitical tensions will not go away but just move from location to location, with West Africa, Iran, Taiwan, Cambodia and Yemen places to watch. Hopefully there will be more effort to end the Ukraine crisis. Wherever these problems occur, they will damage the health of global economies including those of the US and China
  • many developed nations should heed the words of the German Chancellor – “the welfare state as we know it today can no longer be financed by our economy”
  • expect to see either the UK PM or Chancellor and the French President Emmanuel Macron out of office this year
  • there will be minimal growth in the EU with Germany, (and maybe France and Italy) expected to go into recession sometime in 2026
  • Australia, India, Brazil and parts of Europe will be hit by a mix of floods and record high temperatures which will impact global economic growth
  • oil prices will hover around US$ 65 during another year of volatile trading that will see production two million bpd higher
  • despite all the talk circulating around climate control, 2026 global coal demand is projected to have grow again – probably in the region of 1%. China, India and ASEAN countries consume more than 75% of total demand, (compared to 35% at the beginning of the century). Despite all the rhetoric, coal production continues to move higher, with China leading the way by a country mile
  • the so-called “Magnificent 7” – Alphabet, (62.4%) Amazon, (7.0%), Apple, (6.1%), Meta,(12.5%) Microsoft, (14.7%), Nvidia, (37.8%) and Tesla, (15.4%) – grew an average 22.3% in 2025, having gained 63% in value 2024 and 75% in 2023, another good year is expected in 2026 but slightly down compared to 2025. (They account for about 34.3% of the S&P 500 market cap)
  • the UK economy continues to struggle, with relatively high, sticky inflation, a labour market nudging lower, weak demand and high energy costs (especially compared to many countries in Europe), along with continuing domestic/global economic uncertainty. The prognosis is not good.

Although we are sheltered somewhat here in Dubai, whatever happens in 2026 remains to be seen but one thing is for sure – we are a lot better off than many others. The emirate continues to be a beacon for peace, prosperity, security and business confidence and one of the best places on the planet in which to work, live and enjoy life! Paradise City!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

It’s A Rich Man’s World!

It’s A Rich Man’s World!                                     26 December 2025

For the penultimate week of 2025, total real estate transactions touched 4.23k, with a total sales value of US$ 3.84 billion, with an average price per sq ft of US$ 490. New projects launched included Damac Islands 2 – Tahiti 2, (Al Yelayiss 1), Palace Residences Hillside B, (Hadaeq Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid), and Silviana Park Living, (Al Barsha South Fifth). Meanwhile Binghatti dominated the off-plan apartments sector, with Vintage, Titania and Amberhall, followed by Breez by Danube and Empire Lake Views, with respective sales of one hundred and thirty-five, one hundred and two, seventy-five, sixty-four and fifty-two; prices per sq ft were US$ 518, US$ 490, US$ 463, US$ 954 and US$ 409. In the off-plan villa sector the leading five were The Valley, (six sales) Anya, (5), Wadi Al Safa 3, (4), The Acres (4) and South Bay, (4) with prices per sq ft of US$ 518, US$ 463, US$ 817, US$ 381 and US$ 327.

Mashriq Elite Real Estate Developments has officially started construction on its inaugural residential project in Dubai Islands – ‘Floarea Breeze’; the waterfront development will feature forty-eight luxury apartments and four exclusive townhouses. It will comprise a range of twelve one B/R, twenty-four two B/R and twelve three B/R apartments, with prices starting at US$ 490k; completion is slated for Q3 2027. It will feature an impressive Grand Lobby, elegant designer corridors, apartments with floor-to-ceiling Italian tiles, premium wood finishes, and integrated smart home technology. ‘Floarea Breeze’ is the developer’s sixth residential project in Dubai, and it has a pipeline of more than 1.2k new residential apartments. (According to Dubai Land Department, in H1, Dubai Islands – which spans seventeen sq km – posted over 2k sales transactions, totalling US$ 1.66 billion. The total development will add more than twenty km of beachfront to the city, and is expected to have over eighty luxury hotels, as well as golf courses, retail destinations, and exclusive properties).

NBCC (India) Ltd has made its initial investment into the Dubai property market, with a US$ 4.1 million investment, in Dubai Mainland.  Although a relatively small investment, it marks a   rare overseas real estate investment, by an Indian state-owned firm, whilst signalling a shift toward global diversification; it will be developed as a mixed-use project. No further details were readily available. The Indian company’s business includes project management consultancy, engineering and real estate development and this move into an overseas market will allow it to pursue work in markets, with strong investor demand and deeper global capital flows. It joins other Indian-related developers such as Sobha Group, already with multiple projects in Dubai, Sunteck Realty, which has recently announced developments valued at more than US$ 4.00 billion, over the next three years, and Casagrand who have launched in Dubai Islands. It is expected that other Indian companies will join the bandwagon in the coming months because of the emirate’s clearer regulations, faster project approvals and stable demand from global buyers; in addition, Indians remain the Dubai’s biggest expatriate group of property investors.

Reports show that Brazil’s footballer, Vinícius Júnior, has acquired a landmark penthouse from Tiger Properties at the prestigious Tiger Sky Tower, located in the heart of Business Bay. His penthouse has a complete three-hundred-and-sixty-degree panoramic view of the city, including a direct sighting of the Burj Khalifa. It features expansive floor-to-ceiling windows and generous interiors. This acquisition further reflects the growing preference of elite athletes, and international personalities, to select Dubai as their home and investment destination.

This week, Prestige One Developments unveiled ‘Hilton Residences Dubai Maritime City’ – the world’s first Hilton-branded standalone waterfront residential development.

YTD figures show that there has been a 31.0% surge in Dubai property sales value to US$ 185.23 billion, with sales volume 18.0% higher at 213.1k; average price per sq ft came in 8.0% higher, at US$ 463.

According to ValuStrat, average freehold villa values in Dubai are now 206% higher than post-pandemic levels, but still only 86% above the 2014 market zenith. Villas tend to lead in the price rise market, but it appears that apartments are fast catching up. ValuStrat data shows annual capital growth for villas reached 25.5% in 2025, placing them firmly ahead of apartments for another year. However, apartments have surpassed their 2014 peak for the first time. It appears that mid-market communities – including the likes of The Greens, Remraam and Silicon Oasis – continue to post stronger price rises, driven by demand from both sectors of the market – end users and investors. In the villa sector, established prime location, such as Jumeirah Islands, Palm Jumeirah, The Meadows and Mudon have shown the biggest price increases in that sector; the two main attributes are their mature infrastructure and no new supply. At the top end of the market, there is no surprise to see the likes of Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Hills Estate, Al Barari, and Downtown Dubai continuing to attract global buyers. Dubai’s ultra-prime segment continues to defy global trends. In Q3 alone, one hundred and three homes sold for more than US$ 10 million, generating transaction values above US$ 2 billion – a 54% annual increase. As we approach a new year – and after five years of continuing quarterly growth – there are market concerns that there could be a downturn in 2026. This blog opines that growth – albeit slower – will continue in 2026 and any market adjustment may have to wait another year.

Continuing in a prime position as one of the leading global economies, the UAE has continued the trend in H1, with non-oil foreign trade 24.5% higher, (almost fourteen times the global average), to US$ 46.32 billion. The main drivers behind the impressive trade figures have not changed much, being its strong non-oil sectors, robust foreign/domestic investment, pro-business regulation and a flexible regulatory environment. Last year, the UN Conference on Trade and Development World Investment Report 2025 ranked the UAE tenth for inbound foreign direct investment, at US$ 45.67 billion, whilst the IMF recently raised its 2025 forecast  growth figure,  for the nation, to 4.8%, with all three global agencies – Fitch, Moody’s and S&P Global – maintaining their sovereign ratings, citing strong economic performance and sound fiscal policy. By the end of Q3, the Central Bank posted increases in both gross banks’ assets, to US$ 1.417 trillion, and gross credit to US$ 675.42 billion. Real GDP grew at an annual 4.2% to US$ 253.17 billion in H1 2025. Non-oil GDP rose 5.7% to US$ 196.18 billion, accounting for 77.5% of real GDP, while oil activity contributed the 22.5% balance. Earlier in the month, the 2026 Federal Budget, at US$ 25.18 billion, (the largest ever), was approved by the Cabinet, along with the National Investment Strategy 2031.  This included twelve programmes and thirty initiatives, with twin aims of raising both the annual foreign investment inflows and UAE’s total foreign investment stock by 114% to US$ 65.40 billion and by 275%, to aim at raising annual foreign investment inflows from US$ 30.52 billion in 2023 to US$ 60.00 billion by 2031. During the period, the Ministry of Industry and Advanced Technology signed five memoranda of understanding, with national banks to provide more than US$ 10.90 billion in financing. The Cabinet also approved the establishment of the National Investment Fund, with an initial capital of US$ 10.0 billion, and approved the UAE Strategy for Islamic Finance and Halal Industry to strengthen the country’s position as a global hub. Over 220k new companies were registered YTD, to 30 November, along with 36k new trademarks.

China’s AWOT Global Logistics Corporation opened its new regional headquarters this week at Dubai Airport Freezone, enhancing the emirate’s standing as a global logistics hub. AWOT is ranked ninth in the world, with 780k metric tonnes of cargo in 2025, and operates fifty-five self-run sites across China, Hong Kong and SE Asia, along with more than three hundred agents in one hundred countries. Its HQ employs some 1.5k staff and operates 1.8k charter flights from Asia to the US, Latin America, Europe, the ME, and back. The DAFZ connection will utilise DXB’s proximity to gain supply chain dominance in the ME, Africa and Europe.

This week, the Dubai Free Zones Council, chaired by Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed, held its thirty-third meeting to discuss key priorities, aimed at boosting Dubai’s business environment. The agenda covered many items including strengthening government cooperation, enhancing regulatory readiness, and improving investor experience across free zones. It also explored ways to streamline procedures and integrate efforts for greater ease of doing business, as it reviewed plans to connect all free zones, supporting efficiency and competitiveness. Further discussions included the introduction of an ‘Events Visa’ and the Dubai Cashless Strategy, reinforcing the emirate’s push toward a fully digital payment ecosystem.

Following the results of a finding by the Central Bank of the UAE, the licence of Omda Exchange has been revoked and it has been banned from operating in the UAE; in addition, it has been struck off the Register and has been fined US$ 2.72 million. The penalties, in line with the Decretal Federal Regarding the Central Bank and Organisation of Financial Institutions and Activities, and its amendments, were the result of the findings, which revealed failures and violations of the Central Bank Law and related regulations by the Exchange House.

The DFM opened the week on Monday 22 December on 6,114 points, and having gained two hundred and seventy-seven points, (4.7%), the previous three weeks, was twenty points, (0.3%), higher to close the week on 6,134 points, by 26 December 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.10 lower the previous fortnight, gained US$ 0.13 to close on US$ 3.90 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.77 US$ 7.85, US$ 2.56 and US$ 0.47 and closed on US$ 0.76, US$ 7.89, US$ 2.60 and US$ 0.45. On 26 December, trading was at one hundred and seventy-two million shares, with a value of US$ fifty-two million dollars, compared to three hundred and sixty-nine million shares, with a value of US$ three hundred and thirty-one million dollars, on 19 December.

By 26 December 2025, Brent, US$ 3.70 (5.8%) lower the previous fortnight, gained US$ 1.09, (1.8%), to close on US$ 61.19. Gold, US$ 217 (5.2%) higher the previous fortnight, gained US$ 194 (4.4%), to end the week’s trading at another record US$ 4,537 on 26 December. Silver was trading at a record US$ 66.75 – US$ 9.64 (18.1%) higher on the week.  

BP has sold a 65% stake in its motor oil division for a reported US$ 6.0 billion, in a cash deal, to New York-based investment firm, Stonepeak; the deal values Castrol at US$ 10.1 billion. The energy giant will use the money to pay down debts, with the sale allowing it to focus on its core business. BP will hold onto a 35% stake in Castrol, which it first took control of in 2000. After closing the deal, BP commented that it was over halfway to meeting that target and is also moving away from green energy investment to concentrate more on oil and gas on the back of pressure from some investors, concerned that its profits and share price had lagged rivals. In recent months, the London-based energy giant had divested its US onshore wind energy business and its Dutch mobility and convenience arm; it aims to rid itself of US$ 20 billion worth of ‘non-important’ assets by 2027. After investors showed their displeasure, about the progress BP was making under its chief executive Murray Auchincloss, who had only been in the position for less than two years, it was announced that Meg O’Neill, the head of Australia’s Woodside Energy since 2021, would take over the position.

On the back of Donald Trump finally allowing the export of advanced chips – in exchange for a 25% fee – Chinese clients have been advised by Nivida that it expects to ship its second -most powerful chips, (from existing stock), before the Lunar New Year holiday in February. Total shipments are expected to total up to 10k chip modules – equivalent to about 40k to 80k H200 AI chips. Furthermore, it relayed news that it would be adding new production capacity for the chips, with orders for that capacity opening in Q2 2026. It is estimated that these chips will provide the likes of Alibaba and ByteDance with processing capabilities up to six times greater than currently available solutions. Beijing is reportedly reviewing the matter cautiously amid concerns that an influx of US chips could slow the pace of development of the domestic industry.

An agreement has been signed by  TikTok’s Chinese owners, ByteDance, to allow a consortium of US and international investors to operate its business in the US; the ownership split will be 19.9% for the Chinese company, with the 80.1% balance for the remaining investors – 45%  assigned to Oracle, Silver Lake and the Emirati investment firm MGX., each with 15%, and another 30.1% will be held by affiliates of existing ByteDance investors. TikTok commented that the deal would enable “over one hundred and seventy million Americans to continue discovering a world of endless possibilities as part of a vital global community”. The agreement ensured that TikTok’s recommendation algorithm will be set to be retrained on US user data to ensure feeds are free from external manipulation. The news will be well received by the more than seven million small businesses which market their products and services on TikTok in the US.

Citing that its main Kentucky site for production will remain closed throughout 2026, Japan’s Suntory Global Spirts said that Jim Beam will takes “the opportunity to invest in site enhancements.” The maker of Jim Beam bourbon whiskey, which employs 1k, confirmed that its other operations in the state, including a separate distillery and its bottling and warehousing plants, would continue to run next year. The visitor centre in Kentucky also remains open. It is in discussions with the workers’ union on how best to use its workforce during the production pause. 

In October, the Kentucky Distillers’ Association posted that the amount of bourbon in warehouses across the state was at a record high sixteen million barrels. So far this year, Kentucky distillers have had to pay state tax of “a crushing” US$ 75 million and have also faced retaliatory import taxes on their goods because of the Trump tariffs. The KDA is calling for a “for a speedy return to reciprocal, tariff-free trade”.

A bad December for England cricket captain Ben Stokes after losing the first three Ashes test matches, (and the series), in Australia, was made worse by reports that a chain of cricket-based venues, that he reportedly backed, had collapsed into administration. ‘Sixes’, with sixteen cricket-themed entertainment venues across England, said “challenging” trading had caused its closure. All but one venue, Southampton, will stay open whilst it looks for a rescue deal. FRP Advisory, appointed as administrators, said they were talking with “a number of interested parties about a sale”.

Reports indicate that LK Bennett could be heading for collapse for the second time in six years. The clothing chain, launched by Linda Bennett in 1990, has appointed Alvarez & Marsal as its advisers, who have been testing the market for potential buyers/investors. Its halcyon days of having two hundred outlets in the UK and overseas, (including China, Russia and the US), have long gone, and is now down to just nine standalone stores, with a further thirteen listed as concessions on its website. Byland UK, formed by Rebecca Feng, who ran LK Bennett’s Chinese franchises, owns the brand that registered a 2024 post-tax loss of US$ 4.7 million on turnover of US$ 57 million – 13.7% lower on the year. In 2008, the owner sold her business to a consortium for some US$ 135 million but retained a stake before buying back the remaining equity in 2017.

Several UK High Street banks are in in line to take over the wealth management group, Evelyn Partners, in a US$ 3.37 billion takeover battle; they include the two front runners, Barclays and NatWest Group, along with Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group among several other private equity firms. Latest figures indicate that Evelyn Partners had assets under management worth US$ 87.12 billion, at the end of last June.  The finance company is owned by the private equity firms Permira and Warburg Pincus, having merged their respective firms, Tilney and Smith & Williamson, in 2020; last year, Evelyn’s professional services arm was sold to the buyout firm Apax Partners.

In the first eleven months of the year, China’s nine mainland cities in the Greater Bay Area posted a 4.6% hike in total imports and exports of a record US$ 1.18 trillion. These key regions include the Yangtze River Delta, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. 70% of the trade involved mechanical and electrical products, with exports dominated by high-tech goods such as electronic components, computers and related parts, and by imports of production materials, (including integrated circuits and semiconductor manufacturing equipment), whilst imported consumer goods, such as aquatic and dairy products, surged by over 20%. Interestingly, there was an 11.0% rise in two-way trade with Belt and Road partner countries, with the total import and export value of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region reaching US$ 611.8 billion.

In the first twenty days of the month, Korea’s exports grew 6.8% on the year, driven by strong global demand for semiconductors. Data from the Korea Customs Service posted that outbound shipments reached US$ 43 billion, between 01 to 20 December, compared with US$ 40 billion posted over the same period last year; this marks an all-time high for the period, with the previous record being set last year.  Chip exports jumped 41.8%, on the year, to US$ 11.65 billion, accounting for 27.1% of the country’s total exports during the cited period. Shipments of cars dropped 12.7% to US$ 3.25 billion, and petroleum exports contracted 1.0% to US$ 2.63 billion. Imports nudged 0.7% higher, on the year, to US$ 39.2 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of US$ 3.8 billion. In November, exports grew 8.4%, from a year earlier, to US$ 61 billion, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase on the back of strong demand for semiconductors.

Q3 saw the US economy growing 0.5%, on the quarter, to 4.3% – posting its strongest growth in two years, attributable to increases in consumer spending and exports. This comes at a time when the economy, and trade in particular, has been impacted, one way or another, by a quad-whammy of Trump tariffs, dramatic changes to the US immigration policies, government spending cuts and sticky inflation. If nothing else, the US economy can be described as being resilient, whilst performing better than most other developed nations, and has been helped by a 1.0% quarterly increase in consumer spending, to a very respectable 3.5%, despite a slowing job market. There was no surprise to see imports continuing their declining trend because of the wave of new taxes pushing prices higher, but this was partly offset from a 7.4% hike in exports, driven by defence outlays. There has been a marked slowdown in business investment, including in intellectual property, along with a weakening housing sector, still being hit by high interest rates and supply constraints. Whether this mini surge will continue into 2026 is still conjecture, with signs of inflation levels nudging higher and households cutting back on spending, as the labour market continues to weaken.

The year is to end how it started, with yet another U-turn announced by the embattled Keir Starmer who has decided, because of increasing concern from some Labour backbenchers, to increase the threshold on inherited farmland by 150% to US$ 3.38 million from US$ 1.35 million. At the Chancellor’s first budget, in October 2024, a 20% tax on inherited agricultural assets, worth more than US$ 1.35 million, was introduced to start from April 2026, ending the 100% tax relief that had been in place since the 1980s. The Prime Minister has left it to one of his underlings to explain why the change happened, with Environment Secretary, Emma Reynolds saying, “we have listened closely to farmers across the country and we are making changes today to protect more ordinary family farms”, and “it’s only right that larger estates contribute more, while we back the farms and trading businesses that are the backbone of Britain’s rural communities”. Among his U-turns, this year, have been his government easing cuts to winter fuel payments and then reversing plans to make US$ 6.75 billion of cuts to the welfare bill. Most of the U-turns were made solely on political grounds – usually opposition within his own party – after the Chancellor had espoused economic reasons for their introduction.

Latest data from the Office for National Statistics indicated that the Q3 UK economy only managed to nudge 0.1% higher, (compared to a revised 0.2% in the previous quarter), and badly impacted by the Jaguar Land Rover September cyberattack which nullified car production for weeks and was the main reason for falls in production; growth in services partly offset some of those falls. A worrying statistics saw the UK population saving less in Q3, with the household saving ratio dipping 0.7% to 9.5% – the lowest in a year; household disposable income per head also declined by 0.8%. The ONS forecast zero GDP growth in Q4 – a sad state of affairs following the UK having had the best growth figures among the ​G7 economies in H1. One of the factors for this turnaround was long-running uncertainty about tax increases in the run up to the chancellor’s late November budget. The ONS now sees Q4 growth at 0.3%, (up from its initial 0.1% rise).

Following a court decision to restore his long-disputed compensation package, by reinstating his Tesla stock options valued at US$ 139 billion, Elon Musk has become the first person to amass a net worth exceeding US$ 700 billion; his value currently stands at US$ 749 billion. The ruling restored his 2018 pay package at Tesla, which was once valued at US$ 56 billion before a lower court struck it down as “unfathomable”. At the beginning of the week, prior to the decision, he had become the first person to be worth more than US$ 600 billion, driven by reports that his aerospace venture SpaceX was likely to pursue an initial public offering. Last month, Tesla shareholders approved a compensation package of more than US$ 1.0 billion, subject to him transforming the EV maker into a leader in AI and robotics. The rest of the billionaire club have been left well behind, with the nearest being Larry Page, some US$ 500 billion behind, according to Forbes. It’s A Rich Man’s World!

Posted in Categorized | Leave a comment

I Want It All!

I Want It All!!                                       19 December 2025

The Bugatti Residences in Business Bay has set a new record for its developer, Binghatti, with a penthouse, encompassing 47.2k sq ft, selling for US$ 150 million – the highest price ever paid for such a property not only in Dubai but in the region; the price per sq ft came in at US$ 3,174. The development, Bugatti’s first-branded residential offering worldwide, has drawn high-profile figures, including footballers Neymar Jr and Aymeric Laporte tenor, along with Andrea Bocelli. It claims to be one of the three leading developers in Dubai, and YTD has sold more than 14k residential units. Binghatti Holding Ltd reported a 145% year-on-year increase in net profit to US$ 725 million for the first nine months of 2025 – its strongest ever financial performance. This week, the developer and Mercedes Benz have unveiled plans for what they describe as the world’s first Mercedes-Benz branded city, a large-scale, US$ 8.17 billion master planned development in Dubai.

DFM-listed paid parking operator Parkin has signed its first agreement outside of its home base, with a five-year agreement with DAMAC Properties to manage around some 3.6k parking spaces across the developer’s communities in Dubai and in Al Reem Island, Abu Dhabi. The deal will see Parkin handle over five hundred on-street spaces in DAMAC Hills 1, along with about 2.7k spaces across forty-four residential and commercial towers in key areas such as Downtown, DIFC, Dubai Marina and Business Bay. The rollout begins early next year, with all locations being integrated into its mobile app and will include upgraded technology, such as automatic number plate recognition and unified access systems.

In cooperation with Parkin, Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority is concerned about the number of unauthorised QR codes appearing on some parking signposts in the emirate. It has urged caution and advised against scanning or interacting with any codes or links from unknown sources or those not issued through official channels. They also called for any suspicious activity to be reported immediately through official channels, in support of efforts to raise awareness and protect users from fraudulent activity.

DP World has launched a thirty-six-hour maritime service linking Dubai’s Mina Rashid with Iraq’s Umm Qasr Port, with each sailing carrying up to one hundred and forty-five accompanied trailers. This new routing, which will be a faster option to overland trucking, will be served by DP World Express, a dedicated roll-on/roll-off vessel. This direct secure and direct door-to-door service will cut transit time, reduce border complexities, and support onward movement into neighbouring countries. The Dubai port operator is confident the corridor will strengthen access to Iraq’s commercial hubs and boost wider regional trade.

Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri, Minister of Economy & Tourism, has been giving figures relating to the nation’s hospitality sector. They show that UAE hotel occupancy rates, at 79.3%, were up 1.3% for the first ten months of 2025. The Minister, speaking at the launch of the sixth edition of the ‘World’s Coolest Winter’ campaign, added that hotel revenues totalled US$ 24.2 billion over the period, with 1.24k hotel establishments offering more than 216k rooms nationwide. He also noted that tourism contributed 13.0% to the UAE’s GDP last year, equivalent to US$ 70.11 billion, whilst providing over 920k jobs; there are plans to raise the sector’s contribution to 17.0% within five years, supported by growing investments and continued expansion in the aviation sector. Investments, having risen 11.8% to US$ 8.77 billion last year, is expected to grow a further 9.3% to US$ 9.59 billion.

An exclusive global auction, arranged by Emirates Airline along with the Emirates Airline Foundation and Emirates Auction, is to offer special Emirates Skywards membership numbers that come with Platinum tier status benefits valid for up to twenty years. Having started on Wednesday, 17 December until 17 January 2026, bids can be made for special membership numbers with Platinum tier status benefits. 100% of funds raised from Emirates Auction will be directed entirely toward the Emirates Airline Foundation’s vital work in supporting vulnerable children worldwide, with proceeds from the bids benefitting fourteen NGOs in nine countries.

On Wednesday, the airline urged all passengers departing on Thursday and Friday, (18 -19 December), to arrive at the airport at least four hours before departure, as rainy and windy weather was expected to slow road traffic across the UAE. Since then, the country has been buffeted by heavy rains, thunderstorms and strong winds that have hit parts of the country. The airline also posted that, “the weather may affect road visibility and driving conditions. Passengers are advised to plan extra time for their commute to the airport or use the Dubai Metro”. The carrier’s first and business class passengers, with confirmed Chauffeur Drive bookings, were also advised that their pickup would be an hour earlier than originally scheduled. flydubai also posted similar information. With stormy conditions of heavy rainfall and high winds that arrived yesterday, EK has cancelled several services today. It continued to urge passengers to check their flight status for the latest information regarding their flights. 

Under the banner, “Strong Economy… An Aware Society”, the Economic Security Centre of Dubai (ESCD) has launched a nationwide awareness campaign to combat economic fraud. The twin aims of the campaign areto equip individuals, businesses and institutions with the knowledge needed to detect and prevent fraud, as criminal tactics become more sophisticated through AI, deepfake technology and online scams.It highlightscommon fraud risks, including misleading advertisements, phishing emails and messages, fake investment schemes, online marketplace scams, bank card theft, cryptocurrency manipulation, and deceptive business partnerships.

The Central Bank of the UAE announced late Wednesday it has decided to lower the base rate applicable to the Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) by 0.25% to 3.65%. This decision was taken on the back of the US Federal Reserve reducing the Interest Rate on Reserve balances by 0.25% to 3.50% – 3.75%.

As from 02 January 2026, Friday’s prayer timings will be standardised for 12.45pm across all mosques. This decision, by the General Authority of Islamic Affairs, Endowments and Zakat, follows four-year study and extensive public feedback. Its chairman, Dr Omar Habtoor Al Darei, said the review was undertaken following the previous adjustment to Friday prayer schedules and examined how evolving social patterns, work routines and family lifestyles have reshaped Fridays across the country. The change is intended to strengthen family cohesion and encourage family gatherings, particularly as the UAE approaches the ‘Year of the Family’. In line with this move, Dubai’s Knowledge and Human Development Authority has announced that all private schools, and early childhood centres operating within private schools in the emirate, will end the school day no later than 11.30am on Fridays, as from 09 January 2026.

The fifth edition of ‘World of Coffee Dubai’ is set to run from 18 January to 20 January 2026 at Dubai World Trade Centre.  Eight national pavilions, including Ethiopia, India, Saudi Arabia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Panama, and Brazil, will participate, with Kenya and Peru joining for the first time with Colombia, Guatemala, Indonesia, Mexico, and Rwanda. It is set to be its most internationally diverse edition, underscoring the event’s role as a global platform for coffee origins. Featuring over seventy-six producers – a record number- it enhances Dubai’s growing reputation in global coffee trade.

Dubai Electricity and Water Authority has awarded a US$ 59 million contract for the supply, installation, testing and commissioning of glass-reinforced epoxy (GRE) pipelines of varying diameters; this move will boost the future efficiency and reliability of Dubai’s water transmission networks, along with associated works across Dubai. The project entails the installation, testing and commissioning of a 7.1km main water transmission line, along with twenty interconnections for the transmission and distribution networks to increase flow and pressure in the network across various areas of Dubai. The project is scheduled for completion by Q4 2027.

Registering a century of hedge funds, (doubling in number this year), Dubai International Financial Centre has consolidated its dominance in the sector by becoming a top five global hub for the industry. During the year, DIFC welcomed the likes of Baron Capital Management, BlueCrest Capital, Naya Capital Management, Nine Masts Capital, North Rock Capital, Pearl Diver Capital, Select Equity Group, Strategic Investment Group, Silver Point Capital, Squarepoint Capital and Welwing Capital Group.  

To meet growing demand from global tech giants and MNCs, Tecom Group has launched Phase 4 of its Innovation Hub in Dubai Internet City – a US$ 168 million project, adding 263k sq ft of Grade-A office space. DIC is seen as the region’s top technology cluster, and this latest investment has pushed its total hub spend to US$ 545 million. Even though Phases 2 and 3 will not be handed over until 2027, both are already fully leased. Phase 4 is expected to be handed over in 2028, aligning with UAE Digital Economy Strategy and Dubai’s D33 agenda to draw innovators. Financed from existing resources, the Innovation Hub has seen revenue grow by some 20%, to US$ 572 million, and the project continues to maintains healthy leverage and net profit 18.8% up at US$ 300 million in nine months through 2025. It is estimated that DIC drives 65% of the emirate’s tech GDP via premium offices, twenty R&D centres and a full ecosystem for multinationals and startups. Tecom’s other assets include Dubai Media City, Production City, Studio City, International Academic City, Knowledge Park, Science Park, d3 and Industrial City.

The DFM opened the week on Monday 15 December on 6,097 points, and having gained two hundred and sixty points, (4.4%), the previous fortnight, was seventeen points, (0.1%), higher to close the week on 6,114 points, by 19 December 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.25 higher the previous fortnight, shed US$ 0.10 to close on US$ 3.77 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.75 US$ 7.70, US$ 2.56 and US$ 0.47 and closed on US$ 0.77, US$ 7.85, US$ 2.60 and US$ 0.46. On 19 December, trading was at three hundred and sixty-nine million shares, with a value of US$ three hundred and thirty-one million dollars, compared to two hundred and thirty million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and ninety million dollars, on 12 December.

By 19 December 2025, Brent, US$ 2.51 (2.9%) lower the previous week, had shed US$ 1.19, (2.0%), to close on US$ 60.10. Gold, US$ 172 (4.2%) higher the previous week, gained US$ 45 (1.0%), to end the week’s trading at a record US$ 4,343 on 19 December. Silver was trading at a record US$ 66.75 – US$ 4.91 (7.9%) higher on the week.  

Following the sudden departure of Bernard Looney in 2023, BP replaced him with Murray Auchincloss, as its chief executive. Looney was forced to leave because of disclosures of covert relationships with certain BP employees. Now less than two years in the job, a surprise announcement this week confirmed his departure. In his short tole in the position, he had led the drive for increased profits from oil and gas on the back of investor pressure for more progress. On Wednesday, and after the markets had closed, it was confirmed that Meg O’Neill, the head of Australia’s Woodside Energy since 2021, would take over from him in April 2026. Her appointment marks the first major move by BP’s new chairman Albert Manifold, who took over in October amid continued shareholder frustration over the progress of BP’s turnaround. Shares in Woodside fell 3.0% on the news, whilst BP traded 0.2% higher in early trading.

With hopes that an end to the Ukraine crisis is nearing, oil markets have continued their recent downward trend, dipping below US$ 60, on Tuesday afternoon, to US$ 59.01 – the first time it had traded at below US$ 60, since May 2025; any peace settlement is expected to see sanctions on Russian oil being at least relaxed, if not even lifted, that would  potentially add further supply to a market that is already forecast to have a glut of oil in 2026. The US has offered to provide Nato-style security guarantees for Kyiv, although a deal on territorial concessions remains elusive, according to reports. Further bad news for the oil sector came with reports that Chinese factory output growth had slowed to a fifteen-month low, with a possible negative impact on Chinese oil demand.

Early last week, it seemed that a deal had been done that saw parts of the once mighty film studio, Warner Bros, being partly taken over by Netflix in a US$ 72.0 billion deal. If that were to happen, they will cherry pick Warner Bros’ crown jewels – the one hundred and two-year-old studio, HBO, and its vast archive of films and TV shows – leaving Warners’s legacy TV networks, like CNN, TNT Sports and Discovery, for another buyer. The deal could be usurped by Paramount Skydance’s US$ 108 billion hostile takeover bid which includes backing from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Qatar and a fund started by Jared Kushner, US President Donald Trump’s son-in-law. Either way, it is inevitable that more job cuts are on the cards and definitely means one less buyer of film and TV projects. The industry faces the lesser of two evils – control by a tech giant blamed for killing movie theatres or billionaires seen as too cosy with President Trump. Either way, Warner Bros had been in decline for years and had become a shadow of its former glory when it was famous for its blockbuster films such as Casablanca and Goodfellas to Batman and Harry Potter. The final two nails the coffin came with film and TV productions grinding to a halt because of the pandemic, in 2020, followed three years later by simultaneous actor and writer strikes in 2023. The only winner in the whole debacle seems to be Warner Bros Discovery’s CEO, David Zaslav, who earned US$ 51.9 million last year as Warner Bros lost more than US$ 11.0 billion and the company’s stock fell nearly 7%. Some critics see Zaslav, (who, in 2022, took over another massive merger of Discovery, Inc., which he ran, with AT&T’s WarnerMedia, creating Warner Bros Discovery), as the fictional movie character Gordon Gekko who proclaims “greed is good” in the 1987 movie Wall Street. He ruled the airwaves during the consolidation which saw several thousand jobs cut – and lavish pay packages for Mr Zaslav.

By the end of the week, the Board of Warner Bros Discovery had urged shareholders to reject Paramount Skydance’s US$ 108 billion hostile bid from Paramount Skydance indicating that it considered the bid inferior to that of Netflix. The Board did not hold back  describing this offer – Paramount’s seventh since September – as illusory and that it had “consistently misled WBD shareholders that its proposed transaction has a ‘full backstop’ from the Ellison family”, when it is only backed  by the family trust – not by any personal guarantees from Larry Ellison, co-founder of Oracle, and one of the world’s richest men. The Board also noted that “a revocable trust is no replacement for a secured commitment by a controlling stockholder. The assets and liabilities of the trust are not publicly disclosed and are subject to change”.  The battle will continue into the new year and will later inevitably become a Netflix four-part series.

It is reported that fashion chain, Next, with a US$ 22.2 billion market cap, is in the ring to acquire Russell & Bromley, the 145-year-old shoe retailer. It is one of many suitors who are showing interest in the chain, which has thirty-seven stores, employing some four hundred and fifty staff. Russell & Bromley confirmed several weeks ago that it had drafted in Interpath, the advisory firm, to explore options for raising new financing for the business. If the deal were to go through, it would mark the latest in a string of brand deals struck by the country’s most successful London-listed fashion retailer. As well as owning the likes of Made.com, the online furniture retailer, and FatFace, the high street fashion brand, it has also bought brands, such as Cath Kidston, Joules and Seraphine, the maternity wear retailer for knockdown prices. Over recent times, Next has done better than most in a flagging economic environment and is seen as one of the UK’s best-run businesses. Its Total Platform infrastructure solution has worked well and has seen Next providing successful logistics, e-commerce and digital service capabilities, to Victoria’s Secret and Gap.

Probably having thought that their troubles were behind them, the UK Financial Conduct Authority has opened a formal investigation into WH Smith, after it seems that, because of an accounting blunder, profits in their N American business had been unknowingly inflated over a number of years. The Group posted that it was “committed to co-operating fully with any engagement in relation to the North America accounting issue from any regulatory body or other authority”. Because of this profit overstatement, 2023 and 2024 profits paid to Carl Cowling, its former boss, and Robert Moorhead, its former financial chief, will be clawed back. Latest figures, for the twelve months ending 31 August 2025, showed that like-for-like revenue rose 5.0% to US$ 1.0 billion, but adjusted pre-tax profit declined to US$ 144 million, down from US$ 152 million a year earlier, and down from US$ 187 million that had been expected before the accounting fiasco. Its full year dividend was slashed by 48.5% to US$ 0.231 per share.

As he tries to reclaim former glory with a high street restaurant comeback, six years after his Jamie’s Italian chain collapsed into administration, Jamie Oliver has cut his Group payroll by 20% to around one hundred; the Group is not connected to the newly revived restaurant business. His Group operations include his media activities, such as digital content and partnerships with third parties. The return to the UK casual dining scene of Jamie’s Italian is being orchestrated through a partnership with Brava Hospitality Group, the owner of Prezzo. He noted that “I will drive the menus, make sure the sourcing is right, the staff training, and ensure the look and feel of the restaurant is brought to life in the right way”.

The Trump administration continues to procrastinate on its decision relating to the sale of Bytedance’s TikTok or to block it for US users. The law was signed in 2024 by the then President, Joe Biden, with the current incumbent having given himself until 16 December before moving the deadline to 23 January 2026.That law was passed because it was felt, by some, at the time that ByteDance’s links to the Chinese government could threaten national security, with added fears that Beijing could force the company to hand over data on US users. It is no surprise to learn that TikTok and its owners have always said these concerns are unfounded.  Over past months, the US President has trumped, on several occasions, that he had the blessing of Chinese President Xi Jinping to go ahead with a sale to US interests, and that he added that “sophisticated” US investors would be involved in it acquiring the app, including two of his allies –  Oracle chairman Larry Ellison and Dell Technologies’ Michael Dell. When Trump signed his most recent executive order extending the deadline to January, he said in an online post it would lead to a deal being completed.

Since his January 2025 return to the presidency, Donald Trump is to go ahead with his second major arms sale to Taiwan – much to the chagrin of the Xi Ping administration. This latest package is a US$ 11.0 billion deal involving advanced rocket launchers and self-propelled howitzers, (both worth US$ 4.0 billion each) and a variety of missiles. Whilst Taiwan thanked the US saying the deal would help the island in “rapidly building robust deterrence capabilities”, China was not so magnanimous, complaining that it “severely undermines China’s sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity”. Although the US has formal ties with China, but not with Taiwan, it remains a powerful ally of the latter as well as being its biggest arms supplier. A Chinese foreign ministry spokesman warned that “the US’s attempt to support independence through force will only backfire, and its attempt to contain China by using Taiwan will absolutely not succeed”. The sale still has to be agreed by Congress.

The Spanish government has not only fined property rentals giant Airbnb US$ 75 million for advertising unlicensed apartments but has also banned some of the properties from being rented. The problem is because of the universal tourism popularity of the country that has led to house prices surging and out of range of many local people, as prices become unaffordable. The government’s Consumer Rights Minister, Pablo Bustinduy noted that, “there are thousands of families who are living on the edge due to housing, while a few get rich with business models that expel people from their homes,”  A spokesperson added that since short-term rental regulations in Spain changed in July, Airbnb was “closely collaborating with its Ministry of Housing to support the enforcement of the new national registration system”. Like many countries, Spain’s government is concerned about how short-term holiday lets can change a neighbourhood, fuelled by a transient population of holiday-goers. The country has been fighting a battle with thousands of Airbnb listings, banning them and clamping down on how many properties the firm can advertise. The government noted that over sixty-five Airbnb adverts breached consumer rules, including promotion of properties that were not licensed to be rented.

At the beginning of the week, the Indian rupee sank to an all-time low, with the exchange rate at 90.58 rupees to the AED and 24.6 rupees to US$ 1.0. The twin drivers behind the fall are uncertainty surrounding an India–US trade agreement, (which now could drag on to March 2026), and persistent foreign outflows from equities and bonds. Foreign investors have withdrawn more than US$ 17 billion from Indian equities this year, surpassing 2022’s record, while also trimming their bond exposure. Analysts point to more of the same in the near future but are concerned at the increased rate it is falling; for example, on 16 November it was trading at 24.05 rupees to the AED before moving higher to 24.30 on 01 December and then to 24.6 on 15 December. Today it has nudged lower to 24.38. The downside is that widening trade deficits and importer hedging have kept the supply of export dollars thin in the domestic market.

November saw Japan register its first trade surplus in five months – at US$ 2.07 billion – with annualised exports to US rising, (by 8.8% to US$ 116.96 billion), for the first time in eight months, with total exports 6.1% higher at US$ 623.43 billion. The main drivers were a marked increase in semiconductors and other electronics parts to the rest of Asia and pharmaceutical products to the US. Imports climbed 1.3% to US$ 603.34 billion, driven by engines from the EU and chips and other parts from Asia.

It was widely expected that The Bank of Japan would raise its benchmark interest rate from around 0.50% to around 0.75% – the first-rate hike since January 2025 and its highest level in thirty years, at its two-day policy meeting starting Thursday, as inflationary pressures remain elevated due in part to the yen’s weakness. It is hoped that following this move, the first for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. According to Kyodo News, the decision would mark the first-rate hike since January and also the first under the administration of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Monetary tightening raises borrowing costs, slows consumption and investment, and also helps stabilise prices. The measure should have strengthened the yen, reducing the cost of imports that have been a major driver of the nation’s period of cost-push inflation.  Today, the BoJ lifted its policy rate buy 0.25% to 0.75% which saw the yen weakening by as much as 1.2% to 157.48 yen to the greenback; however, the move was already expected by the market who had already started to sell the yen. This was at a thirty-year high.

The November US unemployment nudged 0.2% higher on the month to 4.6%, and with 64k new jobs being created ticked up last month are the latest signs of job market weakness, but the mixed official report still leaves room for debate among central bankers; this followed a 105k drop in October, made worse because of the 162k federal jobs that were lost. The US unemployment rate rose in November to a four-year high. The health and construction sectors added 46k and 11k jobs, according to the report, whilst the transportation and warehousing sector lost 18k jobs in November and manufacturing 5k jobs. There was also an uptick in the number of people, to 1.9 million, who have been unemployed long-term, for more than six months – and 200k higher on the year. Because of the recent government shutdown, this report by the Labor Department was the first since September. This latest report also noted that there were fewer jobs added in September and August than it had initially estimated. Despite some of this data pointing to a growing weakness in the labour market, economists cautioned it would be unlikely to resolve internal disagreements at the Federal Reserve as policymakers consider the path forward for interest rates. The committee yesterday was facing a conundrum, weighing up the pros and cons of a weakening job market on the one hand, and rising prices on the other. The Fed had reduced rates by 0.25% last week last week, its third cut this year, in a bid to boost the slowing labour market.

In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority has fined Nationwide US$ 59 million for failing to do enough to combat financial crime. The corporate watch dog also added its criticism of the building society for “inadequate” efforts at tackling offences such as money laundering, as well as having ineffective policies and procedures for monitoring personal current accounts. The fine relates to failures over a five-year period from October 2016 to July 2021, with one ‘serious offence highlighted – failing to spot how a customer was using current accounts to receive millions of pounds in fraudulent Covid furlough payments, which included twenty-four payments totalling US$ 37 million, over thirteen months, including US$ 35 million deposited over eight days. The taxman has managed to collect all but US$ 1.1 million.

According to Rightmove, UK December house prices are 1.8% lower on the month, at US$ 477.5k, and US$ 2.7k lower, compared to 2024. The agency noted that although December prices are typically lower, this year’s decease was bigger than normal, but it does expect a ‘Boxing Day bounce’ when people who have put their home moving plans on hold due to budget uncertainty could join the post-Christmas boost in activity. The fall in average prices will be further good news for first-time buyers, who have been taking out larger mortgages than ever before, because of the changing economic climate of falling prices, reduced mortgage rates and increased wage levels, upping their affordability levels. According to Savills, in the year to September, the average first-time buyer borrowed US$ 280k and combined to make up 20% of all spending in the UK housing market in that period.

On Wednesday, ahead of the BoE’s rate setting meeting yesterday, the Office for National Statistics released November inflation figures which showed monthly declines across the board; consumer price index by 0.4% to 3.2%, (its lowest level in ten months), core inflation – which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices – by 0.2% to 3.2%, and services inflation by 0.1% to 4.4%. The main drivers were falling food, alcohol and tobacco prices. The odds were on for a rate reduction, even before these figures were released but this surprise fall in inflation did enough to convince even the hawks on the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee.

Yesterday, the vote was five to four for a 0.25% rate cut, to 3.75%, with the hawks just losing out with their argument that continued strength of underlying price pressures was a good enough reason to remain cautious and keep rates at 4.0%. The new level is the lowest it has been in almost three years and was indicative of ongoing concerns over rising unemployment and weak economic growth. The BoE now expects inflation to fall closer to its own 2% target in 2026, whilst it does not expect much improvement in growth which will hover around the zero level in the foreseeable future. It has been calculated that the 530k homeowners with a tracking mortgage aligned to the BoE’s interest rate, will see a US$ 39 monthly reduction. There is no doubt that inflation is set to decline quicker than originally expected by the BoE, and this could result in another 0.25% cut in Q1 and the possibility of 3.0% rates by the end of 2026.

On Thursday, EU leaders reviewed proposals to use proceeds from frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine’s huge budget and defence needs.  Today it was knocked back so that leaves the PM in a quandary because on Wednesday, he addressed the House of Commons, commenting that the former owner of Chelsea FC must “pay up now” to victims of the war in Ukraine or face court action.  In a 2022 settlement, Roman Abramovich had pledged the US$ 3.35 billion he made from the sale of the club would be used to benefit victims of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Since then, there has been a delay in releasing the funds, which are currently frozen in a British bank account, due to a standoff over how exactly they should be used. The government wants the money to be used for humanitarian aid, but Mr Abramovich insisted it should be used for “all victims of the war” – meaning that Russians could also benefit. The Treasury said that under the terms of the licence, the money must go to “humanitarian causes” in Ukraine and cannot benefit Mr Abramovich or any other sanctioned individual. The problem is that the Russian oligarch cannot access the money under UK sanctions but the proceeds from the Chelsea sale still legally belong to him. It is understood that Mr Abramovich has ninety days to act before the UK considers taking legal action. It is obvious that the Prime Minister had been emboldened by the EU move but now with deal dead in the water, it will be interesting to see what will happen because it seems that he may have taken on the wrong person, at the wrong time. The prime minister now must decide whether the UK will unilaterally seize the funds or find another way to pay for its Ukraine aid. Starmer believes he has the leverage to force Abramovich’s hand and this could be a political and legal battle that may leave the prime minister battered, bruised and red-faced.

After his election to become Fifa’s president, (or perhaps these days it should be despot), Gianni Infantino, declared that the World Cup should be extended to forty-eight teams, declaring that it would give countries who had never made the finals “a chance to qualify. It is a chance to participate in a big event”. What has happened is that “football fever” has taken no time to disappear, thanks to Fifa’s greed and attitude to make money at all costs, by charging astronomic amounts for tickets, with the Football Supporters’ Association has called ticket prices a “laughable insult” to fans, let alone the massive costs involved in hotel and travel expenses. The very nations that Infantino seemed to want help in his opening gambit as president are the first to be thrown under the football bus. Last week, group-stage tickets were released that indicate that they could be more than triple the prices for the same tickets in Qatar in 2022; the cheapest ticket for the final will cost US$ 4.2k. By last Friday, Fifa acknowledged that they had received more than five million ticket requests from fans from more than two hundred nations. For the record, the monthly minimum wages in Ghana, Haiti and Cape Verde are US$ 588, US$ 147 and US$ 175 so that those fans from these countries would have to work seven months, twenty-eight and twenty-four months just to be able to buy a final ticket! Indeed, group-stage ticket prices will often be higher than some country’s monthly wages. The cheapest ticket for Haiti’s first match against Scotland will be US$ 180. So Fifa’s call that they had increased the number of qualifying teams to forty-eight so a lot more ‘smaller’ teams’ fans will have a chance to see them on the world stage carries little credence.

Infantino seems to have lost contact with reality. He has introduced a new money-making competition – the FIFA Club World Cup – with the trophy bearing his name and has introduced the FIFA Peace Prize, despite FIFA being opposed to politics; it will not be long before the Norwegian Nobel Committee start their own global football competition  and Infantino brings in his own Oscars. He seems to spend most of his time mixing with world leaders and politicians and perhaps he should look at his job description to see that his job includes expanding the game on a global scale and that his office is in Zurich, not in Doha, Riyadh or New York.

Only after global condemnation of Fifa’s greed has the world body unanimously decided that it would introduce a small number of “more affordable” US$ 60 tickets to “loyal fans” of the countries that have qualified in any of the one hundred and four matches at next year’s World Cup. For England and Scotland, this will mean some four hundred such tickets being made available. Fifa should be ashamed for having to backtrack on their pricing policy and greed to milk the situation to make the most money it can. It will be interesting how many tickets end up in Fifa’s hands for entertainment purposes, how much money they make from the tournament and how much are the bonuses paid to senior Fifa officials. Perhaps we will never know but we will know the theme song – I Want It All!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Sad State of Affairs!

 Sad State of Affairs!                                           12 December 2025

Conceived as a coastal sanctuary inspired by Japanese garden philosophies, BEYOND Developments has unveiled ‘SIORA’, its first beachfront masterplan on Dubai Islands and its second large-scale community within a year; the project will span over two million sq ft, with 2.7 million sq ft of gross floor area. Over the past year, BEYOND has delivered nine launches, welcomed residents and investors from over forty countries, and exceeded US$ 2.72 billion in sales. ‘SIORA’ is planned as a pedestrian coastal district, with more than 70% of the masterplan dedicated to open green spaces, creating over 1.5 million sq ft of landscapes that bring people closer to the six km of continuous beachfront. Shaded routes and landscaped terraces introduce cooler microclimates and frame calming outlooks towards the water and the horizon. ‘SIORA’ marks the beginning of a multi-phase presence for BEYOND on Dubai Islands.

Meraas has awarded a US$ 97 million contract to Al Sahel Contracting for the construction of three ten-storey buildings to house the new Riwa apartments at Madinat Jumeirah Living. The project will comprise two hundred and forty-four premium apartments, including one- to three-bedroom units and a four-bedroom penthouse. This will be the fifth partnership between the unit of Dubai Holding and the contractor having successfully delivered four earlier phases of Madinat Jumeirah Living. Designed with contemporary elegance, the residences offer light-filled, spacious interiors and elevated finishes that embody Meraas’ vision for sophisticated urban living. Completion is slated for Q3 2027.

At last weekend’s meeting of the Dubai Real Estate Corporation, the emirate’s First Deputy Ruler, Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed, reviewed the 2025 performance of Wasl Group. He commended DREC and Wasl Group’s outstanding performance, noting that it was an indicator of Dubai’s robust real estate sector and its ability to drive sustainable growth and development. He added that the real estate sector remains a vital pillar of the emirate’s economy, supporting job creation, fuelling infrastructure development and helping anchor Dubai’s status as a leading global destination for living, investment and opportunity. He directed Wasl Group to continue delivering innovative, high-impact real estate projects that advance the objectives of the Dubai Economic Agenda D33 and support the emirate’s ambition to rank among the world’s top three urban economies, while upholding to the highest standards of excellence and quality across the real estate, hospitality and entertainment sectors. The Board also noted that 85% of the Group’s residential leasing involved affordable units, totalling 45k. In line with the ambitions of the Dubai 2040 Urban Master Plan, Wasl will double the size of its residential leasing portfolio in the coming years, enhancing its contribution to supporting housing accessibility for residents across various income levels.

An increasing number of millionaire entrepreneurs are pulling up stocks and leaving the UK “non-dom” tax regime and shift their businesses, (and in many cases their families), to Dubai. The emirate has fast become the leading location in the world for such a sector, seeking not only tax breaks and progressive public regulations but also other factors of lifestyle, global access, geopolitical stability, safety worldclass infrastructure – including road, education, hotels and health services.  Indeed, the government has policies in place to make Dubai not only the world’s fastest, safest and most connected city but the best place in the world in which to work, live and invest by 2033.  By the end of the month, Dubai would have welcomed some 10k new millionaires this year – an almost 50% increase compared to the 2024 figure of 6.7k. Many will be either setting up new ventures and/or bringing businesses over, investing in new ventures and buying residences here; it is estimated that the 2025 entrants could arrive with well over US$ 60.0 billion.

An MoU has been signed between Dubai Customs and Binance, at the sidelines of Binance Blockchain Week 2025 in Dubai. The agreement takes on board Dubai’s target of becoming a global hub for the digital economy and AI by utilising advanced government technologies, strengthening public-private partnerships, and expanding the emirate’s position as a central global trade platform. Expansion of digital payment capabilities will be made by integrating crypto assets into commercial and logistical transactions, by utilising Binance’s platforms for digital assets and future payment solutions which provides advanced services, including Binance Pay, enabling secure, fast, and borderless digital payments. The collaboration with Binance will speed up Dubai Customs ongoing digital transformation, which includes a wide range of smart systems that have achieved high levels of automation in customs procedures.. The partnership will improve the efficiency of import–export operations, streamline customs procedures, and attract new investors—particularly SMEs—by offering modern payment options that help expand their businesses and access new global markets.

In order to strengthen its global competitiveness in the business environment, the federal government has recently amended the law on commercial companies, introducing a new concept – that of the non-profit company. Such an entity will be able to reinvest its net profits, without distributing them to partners or shareholders, enabling social and developmental sectors to operate within a flexible and transparent institutional framework. It is an attempt by the government to develop legal foundations locally, provide broader options for investors and stakeholders, and modernise the legislation of ownership and financing. The new law will also initiate advanced capital structure options through multiple categories of shares and stakes, with rights such as voting, profit distribution, and priority of redemption and liquidation. Furthermore, for the first time, the delocalisation of companies and the change of their registration between the seven emirates and financial free zones will allow companies to maintain their original legal personality. It will also enable private joint stock companies to offer their securities for private subscription on a national financial market. The decree also covers special procedures for disposition in the event of the death of a partner or shareholder to continue the stability of companies. 

Earlier in the week, HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid held a meeting with a delegation of African business and philanthropic leaders visiting the UAE which included Africa’s most influential private-sector and philanthropic figures from Nigeria, Kenya, South Africa, Tanzania, Egypt, Sudan, and Zimbabwe. Representing key sectors including energy, digital infrastructure, logistics, agriculture and food systems, the delegates oversee companies and foundations that collectively drive national GDP, generate employment, and reinforce community resilience across the continent. During the meeting, the Dubai Ruler said, “the UAE and Dubai believe deeply in the power of partnership to accelerate progress. Our ties with Africa are rooted in deep historical, human and economic connections, and we view the continent as a key partner in shaping a more prosperous and stable future for our region and the world. The UAE’s innovation-driven development and Africa’s remarkable dynamism create strong synergies with far-reaching potential. By working closely with partners across the continent, we aim to advance innovation, strengthen energy and food security, expand opportunity, and build pathways for more resilient, inclusive and sustainable economies.” Figures show that the UAE has become one of Africa’s most active foreign state investors, deploying more than US$ 110 billion between 2019 and 2023, including over US$ 70 billion in renewable energy and green infrastructure. The UAE also launched the US$1 billion ‘AI for Development’ initiative to finance and scale AI projects across the continent, supporting the integration of advanced technologies in education, agriculture, and infrastructure.

This week has seen bilateral discussions with Ireland involving Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri, Minister of Economy and Tourism, and Ireland’s Minister for Enterprise, Tourism and Employment, Peter Burke. The threefold aims of the meeting were to expand partnerships in the new economy, accelerate future tourism projects, and strengthen public-private sector cooperation. There are already longstanding relations in tourism, (with thirty-two direct weekly flights to Dublin), hospitality, and innovation-led economic sectors. Both parties acknowledged the importance of continued engagement between business communities, saying that closer collaboration will unlock new joint initiatives and attract greater investment into emerging sectors.

During this week’s twelfth meeting of the ‘Intergovernmental Russia–UAE Commission on Trade, Economic and Technical Cooperation’, Abdullah bin Touq Al Marri, Minister of Economy and Tourism, affirmed that the UAE and the Russian Federation enjoy strategic relations built on mutual understanding and shared economic interests. He added that “the current session of the committee represents a new step towards building fruitful partnerships between the business communities and private sectors of both countries. It strengthens cooperation and provides support for entrepreneurs from both sides in a way that contributes to the growth and sustainability of their economies. Our cooperation focuses on new economy sectors and priority areas that serve the mutual interests of the two countries.” The committee’s agenda included discussions on work plans and cooperation mechanisms in fields such as investment, energy, industry and innovation, food security and agriculture, education, transport and logistics, tourism, sports and culture, environmental protection, healthcare and several other areas. The Minister noted that the latest session marked “a new step” in building partnerships between Emirati and Russian businesses, particularly in sectors linked to the new economy. He highlighted the UAE’s flexible investment environment, including laws that allow full foreign ownership of companies and access to more than two thousand licensed economic activities.

On Tuesday, the Federal National Council approved a federal draft law, linking the Union General Budget and the budgets of independent federal entities for the 2026 fiscal year, and passing a total budget of US$ 25.18 billion – 29.2% higher, compared to the 2025 budget, and the highest in the country’s history. The FNC’s Speaker, Saqr Ghobash, commented that the country continues an upward trajectory of growth and stability, and that its financial policies are rooted in confidence in its own capabilities and forward-looking vision.

Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed, Dubai’s First Deputy Ruler – and President of the Dubai International Financial Centre – has reviewed the Centre’s latest strategic progress and future plans. At a meeting of the Higher Board of Directors, he lauded the three related entities, the DIFC Authority, the Dubai Financial Services Authority and the DIFC Courts for their strong performance and alignment with the Dubai Economic Agenda D33. He noted the progress made in the emirate’s vision to become one of the top four financial centres on the world stage. He added that their achievements reinforce Dubai’s vision to become one of the world’s top four financial centres by 2033 – currently it is placed eleventh in the Global Financial Centres Index, and the fourth worldwide for FinTech. DIFC is now home to more than 8k companies, including more than 1k regulated by the DFSA—the largest concentration of financial services institutions in the region. The meeting also discussed the DIFC’s 2026 targets including enhancing Dubai’s competitiveness, expanding infrastructure, driving innovation and AI adoption, and empowering the next generation of industry leaders.

The world’s third largest coffee chain, and established just three years ago, is to open a store in Dubai Mall early next year. Cotto Coffee’s entry marks a major milestone in its ME expansion and a key step in its global growth strategy; it currently has 18k stores across thirty-three countries including the US, Canada, Australia, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia. Its tag-line – “Great Coffee Starts with Great Ingredients” – is a sign of its commitment to offering high-quality, great-value, and convenient coffee experiences.

e& UAE and Al Maryah Community Bank have signed a memorandum of understanding to explore the use of AE Coin for payments across selected e& channels. The telecom operator plans to test regulated blockchain-based payments for bills, recharges, and a broader set of digital transactions. The agreement outlines plans to integrate Central Bank-licensed stablecoin AE Coin into e& UAE’s payment infrastructure. Customers would gain the option to use the AED-backed token for mobile and home-service bills, prepaid and postpaid recharges, e& digital platforms, smart self-service systems, and potential future e-commerce touchpoints. The collaboration aligns with the UAE’s digital-economy objectives, including expanding the use of regulated blockchain-based payment systems and supporting long-term plans for a cashless society.

The DFM opened the week on Monday 08 December on 5,984 points, and having gained one hundred and forty-seven points, the previous week, (2.5%) was one hundred and thirteen points, (1.9%), higher to close the week on 6,097 points, by 12 December 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.21 higher the previous week, gained US$ 0.04 to close on US$ 3.87 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.75 US$ 7.30, US$ 2.56 and US$ 0.43 and closed on US$ 0.75, US$ 7.70, US$ 2.56 and US$ 0.47. On 12 December, trading was at two hundred and thirty million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and ninety million dollars, compared to two hundred and sixteen million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and ninety-three million dollars, on 05 December.

By 12 December 2025, Brent, US$ 1.80 (2.9%) higher the previous fortnight, had shed US$ 2.51, (3.9%), to close on US$ 61.29 Gold, US$ 2 (0.1%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 172 (4.2%), to end the week’s trading at a record US$ 4,298 on 12 December. Silver was trading at a record US$ 61.84 – US$ 3.24 (5.2%) higher on the week.  

Last Tuesday, the price of silver topped a record US$ 60 per oz, as demand from the technology industry for the precious metal continued to climb. Gold, which hit record highs earlier in the year as concerns grew about the impact of US tariffs and the global economic outlook, also made gains this week. Both metals tend to benefit in an economic climate of lower interest rates and a weaker greenback. When rates decline, the benefits of holding cash or purchasing short-term bonds diminish so many traders head to the bullion market, as stores of value, and considered ‘safe haven’ assets. The value of silver was also pushed up, as strong demand from the technology industry outstripped supplies, with more manufacturers finding a need for the material. Because silver conducts electricity better than gold or copper, it is used to produce goods like electric vehicles and solar panels. The price of silver is also being boosted by concerns that the US may impose Trump tariffs on the metal with some silver stock piling taking place, resulting in shortages elsewhere in the world. The US imports about two-thirds of its silver, which is used for manufacturing as well as jewellery and investment.

In what a US District judge indicated was an “epic fraud’, involving two digital currencies, that lost an estimated US$ 40 billion in 2022, Do Kwon was sentenced to fifteen years in prison. He was accused of misleading investors in 2021 about TerraUSD, a so-called stablecoin designed to maintain a value of US$ 1, with prosecutors alleging that when TerraUSD slipped below its US$ 1 peg in May 2021, he told investors a computer algorithm known as “Terra Protocol” had restored the coin’s value. He then arranged for a trading firm to secretly buy millions of dollars of the coin to artificially boost its value.  The founder of Singapore-based Terraform Labs and who developed the TerraUSD and Luna currencies, he previously pleaded guilty and admitted to misleading investors about a coin that was supposed to maintain a steady price during periods of crypto market volatility. His actions caused billions of dollars in losses and triggered a cascade of crises in the crypto market. The Korean national is but one of several cryptocurrency moguls to face federal charges after a slump in digital token prices in 2022 prompted the collapse of a number of companies.

This week, the Fed did not surprise the market as it cut rates by the expected 0.25%, whilst signalling only one more reduction next year, in the face of uncertainty about the state of the world’s largest economy. By early morning yesterday, Bitcoin had dipped below the US$ 90k level – a fall of some 28% since its all-time high in October. The main drivers that concerned investors were disappointing results from AI tech giant Oracle and a hawkish outlook from the Fed. Following extensive lobbying by Oracle’s Jensen Huang, US President Donald Trump has announced that he will allow AI chip giant Nvidia to sell its advanced H200 chips to “approved customers” in China, but that “we will protect National Security, create American jobs, and keep America’s lead in AI”. This decision will also apply to other chipmakers. In recent months, it had been prohibited from selling its most advanced chips to Beijing, but in July, Donald Trump reversed the ban but decided that Nvidia pays 15% of its Chinese revenues to the US government. This led to Beijing then reportedly ordering its tech companies to stop buying Nvidia chips manufactured for use in the Chinese market. Although access to H200 chips, (which is reportedly a generation behind its Blackwell chip, which is considered to be the world’s most advanced AI semiconductor), is likely to benefit China’s technology sector, Beijing is still expected to work towards reducing dependence on the US. It is thought that China’s chip production ecosystem was fast catching up with the US in chip development. Some consider that the US president’s move could be a sweetener in negotiations with the Xi Ping government regarding a deal with Beijing over rare earths, of which China holds a near-global monopoly.

Yesterday, shares in tech giant Oracle nosedived, down to weaker-than-expected revenues, spooking the market that such companies may have been spending too much on AI with minimal returns. With revenue slumping 14.0%, in the quarter ending 30 November, to US$ 16.1 billion, the market seemed to be concerned about talk of a potential AI bubble in the offing. In September, Oracle agreed a highly sought-after contract with ChatGPT-maker OpenAI, who agreed to purchase US$ 300 billion in computing power from Oracle over five years; this made Oracle chairman Larry Ellison briefly the richest man in the world after the announcement.

Yesterday, as Oracle shares sank 14%, posting a 40% decline in value since its September peak, (but still up 33% YTD), he commented that “there are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes”, and “we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from Nvidia, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy”. Oracle’s policy of incurring massive debt funding the building of data centres is causing concern that such tech stocks are over-valued.

It does seem that Meta is either playing safe, or having technical problems, by its announcement that it is delaying the release of its Phoenix mixed-reality glasses until 2027; the goggles had previously been known as Puffin. The tech giant did comment that moving the release date back is “going to give us a lot more breathing room to get the details right”. It had been previously reported that the goggles have lower-resolution displays and weaker computing performance than high-end headsets like Apple’s Vision Pro. However, Meta is hoping to capitalise on the “momentum” in that segment, having invested billions of dollars to build the metaverse, which lets people to interact in a virtual reality, but to date, the tech giant has struggled to convince investors of the viability of the nascent technology.

Although the EU came out fighting when they fined Elon Musk’s social media platform X US$ 140 million over its blue tick badges, it did not expect the US outcry. The European Commission had complained that by allowing people to pay for a blue verified check mark on their profile, the platform “deceives users” because the firm is not “meaningfully verifying” who is behind the account, adding that “this deception exposes users to scams, including impersonation frauds, as well as other forms of manipulation by malicious actors”.  US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, led the battle saying that “the European Commission’s fine isn’t just an attack on X, it’s an attack on all American tech platforms and the American people by foreign governments”, and “the days of censoring Americans online are over”. FCC chair, Brendan Carr, weighed in accusing the EC of targeting X merely because it was “a successful US tech company”, and that “Europe is taxing Americans to subsidise a continent held back by Europe’s own suffocating regulations”. US VP JD Vance was not to be left out, claiming the platform was being punished “for not engaging in censorship”, and “the EU should be supporting free speech, not attacking American companies over garbage”.

For the past two years, the fate of Spirit Aerosystems UK, most of whose work is with Airbus, has hung in the balance as Boeing was interested in a takeover deal. It has now been settled, with the French plane maker near to announcing an agreement that will save those 3k jobs and could even lead to more work in Belfast. This is great news not only for the company but also for the UK manufacturing industry that has been under the cosh for some time. The car industry has been struggling partly because of the government issuing tough new sales quotas, to speed the transition to EVs have resulted in a fall in vehicle production. Whilst the UK has a tough deadline of banning the sales of new petrol and diesel vehicles as from 2030, reports indicate that the EU is looking at extending this deadline for a further five years to 2035.

The boards of directors from each company unanimously approved the deal that will see the merger of Warner Bros and Netflix in a US$ 72.0 billion cash price or equity value deal which includes the company’s debts and the value of its shares. The cash and stock deal is worth US$ 27.75 per Warner Bros share, with Netflix’s co-CEO, Ted Sarandos, commenting that this was a “rare opportunity” to set Netflix up for success “for decades to come”. Netflix will complete the takeover after Warner Bros finalises its previously announced plans to separate its streaming and studios division from its global networks division into two companies next year. Other stakeholders are against the move, with the Writers Guild of America’s East and West branches posting “this merger must be blocked”, and “the outcome would eliminate jobs, push down wages, worsen conditions for all entertainment workers, raise prices for consumers, and reduce the volume and diversity of content for all viewers”. Trade organisation Cinema United noted that the merger posed “an unprecedented threat” to the global cinema business.

Netflix is aiming high and could well be a leading light in the new world order of streaming. Its global networks division will become Discovery Global and will include its cable channels such as CNN and TNT Sports in the US, as well as its Discovery and free-to-air channels in Europe. TNT Sports International will stay with the streaming and studios division being sold to Netflix. The big question is whether such a huge deal would be approved by the regulators, and if so, the disruptive impact it would have on the film industry. By the end of the week, Paramount upset the applecart by launching a hostile multi-billion-dollar takeover to acquire streaming platform HBO Max and movie studio Warner Bros, among other assets. Under the terms of the US$ 108 billion Paramount bid, Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders would be offered US$ 30 per share, which represents a 139% premium based on the market cap.

vVoosh, a lifestyle app backed by Sarah Ferguson, went into administration last month without ever launching a product. Founded by Manuel Fernandez, a close friend of Ms Ferguson, its promise was to give users “the power to Find, Plan, Share, Live, and Remember all the things you love to do – and those you’re yet to try.” Over the years, the company raised some US$ 12 million, including more than US$ 1.3 million from the UK government through R&D tax credits. Payments were made in the UK and then India to work on the app, but it collapsed without ever launching a product. The administrator’s report describes a “breakdown in communication between the current directors/major creditors and the founder who ceased communication following [his] resignation as a director earlier in the year”. It is thought that the firm is owed US$ 432k by the fifty-six-year-old founder who has apparently left the country. La Luna Investments, owned by the ex-duchess and a 1% shareholder, is owed US$ 67k. The administrators said that there was “significant uncertainty” over how much money the company’s creditors would get back once the company was wound up.

Because of larger-than-expected wheat harvests, especially in Argentina, global cereal output will probably hit a new record to top three billion tonnes for the first time; this represents a 4.9% annual increase. Coarse grain and rice outputs are both expected to increase from the previous year, with world rice output projected to grow by 1.6%, led by Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India and Indonesia. The new Cereal Supply and Demand Brief also offers preliminary updates on trends in the ongoing winter wheat season in the northern hemisphere and coarse grain plantings in the southern hemisphere. World cereal utilisation in 2025/26 is now expected to increase by 2.1% from the previous year. Based on the updated forecasts, global cereal stocks are predicted to expand by 6.5% to a record high of 925.5 million tonnes, while the new forecast for world trade in cereals in 2025/26 points to a 3.3% increase to 500.6 million tonnes.

In a bid to boost its flagging domestic production, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration has approved a package of new tariffs, impacting hundreds of products, many of which come from China. Taking place on 01 January 2026, the levies will apply to goods like metals, cars, clothing and appliances and will impact many countries – including Thailand, India and Indonesia – that do not have a free trade agreement with Mexico. The measures will impose tariffs of up to 50% on more than 1.4k products. At the same time, Mexico is in talks with the Trump administration as it tries to reduce tariffs on the country which include 50% duties on steel and aluminium, as well as threats of a further 25% levy to pressure Mexico stopping the flow of the synthetic opioid fentanyl into America; he has also threatened a further 5% tariff because of it violating an eighty-year old treaty agreement that gives US farmers access to water.

For South Korea to remain competitive in the AI sector, the chairman of SK Group, Chey Tae-wo, reckons that the country will have to invest some US$ 953.0 billion over the next seven years to 2033. In an AI-themed conference, Chey and the Bank of Governor Rhee Chang-yong discussed strategies for building an ecosystem that promotes corporate growth in an environment led by the adoption of AI. Whilst discussing the possibility of an AI bubble, he commented that, “if South Korea wishes to fully engage in the global AI competition, it needs to establish AI data centres with a combined capacity of twenty gigawatts”, noting that it costs US$ 47.5 billion to just build one GW facility. He also added AI infrastructure plays a crucial role in attracting global talent and data and stressed the need for South Korea “to build more attractive companies than other countries”, and that, “we need to create a separate market for AI startups and foster tens of thousands of them to win the current AI race.”

In a bid to spur innovation and support economic recovery, the Korean Finance Ministry has announced that it plans to frontload 75% of next year’s expenditure budget, amounting to US$ 312.3 billion, in H1. Excluding government funds, this expenditure will cover the general and special accounts, focussing on four sectors – supporting a technology-driven ultra-innovation economy, strengthening the social safety framework, enhancing public safety and advancing diplomacy and security that prioritise national interest.

One of the recent success stories in SE Asia is Vietnam and one burgeoning sector is real estate benefitting greatly from becoming second only after processing and manufacturing in newly registered foreign direct investment. It is estimated that by the end of October, the property market had received US$ 2.75 billion in newly registered capital and about US$ 1.5 billion in disbursed funds. This momentum is down to an improved investment policy framework and a more transparent, business-friendly environment. The government has accelerated administrative reforms, digitalised procedures and enhanced transparency in land allocation and management – resulting in strong market confidence. By the end of Q3, there had been a 20.3% annual boost, equating to 4.7k, in the number of new real estate companies.

Last Friday, the Reserve Bank of India cut its benchmark lending rate by 0.25%, lowering the repo rate to 5.25% – the second rate reduction in six months, following a fifty-bps cut in June. It seems that the central bank believes that the country is in the middle of a “Goldilocks period” of robust growth and historically low inflation which is below the target level; it was noted that average headline inflation, at 1.7%, in Q2 breached the lower tolerance threshold of its flexible inflation targeting framework for the first time ever, dipping to 0.3% in October. However, although there is some concern of the declining rupee rate, which is hovering around record lows, the Indian economy demonstrated strong resilience, with real GDP growth accelerating to 8.2% in Q2 – a six-quarter high. The main drivers are strong domestic demand and a strong festive season spending. The RBI forecast a slight decline in GDP growth to 7.3% for 2025-26. 

China’s November consumer price index grew 0.7% on the year – the highest since March 2024 – accelerated by 0.5% from October’s reading, The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 1.2%, compared to November 2024, with the growth rate remaining above 1.0% for the past three consecutive months. Data also revealed that the producer price index, which measures costs for goods at the factory gate, fell 2.2% – 0.1% higher on the month.

Wednesday saw new Australian legislation, banning children under the age of sixteen from some ten social media platforms. One of those affected was Reddit, who have since launched a challenge in Australia’s highest court against this ban, which the Albanese government introduced to protect children from harmful content and algorithms. Although Reddit is complying with the law, it is arguing that the policy has serious implications for privacy and political rights. Meanwhile, two Australian teens are also awaiting a High Court hearing. In true Aussie manner, Australia’s Communications Minister Anika Wells commented that “we will not be intimidated by big tech. On behalf of Australian parents, we will stand firm”. The outcome will be closely watched by many parents around the world.

There is no doubt that many US farmers have been displeased with the US President, having been badly impacted by low crop prices and the administration’s ongoing trade wars. In a bid to placate  the sector, Donald Trump has unveiled a US$ 12.0 billion farm aid package, with all but 8.3% of the total being one-time payments to farmers for row crops as part of the agriculture department’s Farmer Bridge Assistance programme, with the balance reserved for crops not covered by the programme; the payments are intended to help farmers market this year’s harvest and plan for next year’s crops. The White House says the aid package will help farmers suffering from “years of unjustified trade actions” and accumulated inflation, with the President adding that “maximising domestic farm production is a big part of how we will make America affordable again and bring down grocery prices”. Sorghum and soybean farmers have been hardest hit by the Trump administration’s trade dispute with China, the greatest importer of their crops. There have been many complaints from US farmers after they lost access to customers in China as a result of Trump’s trade policies. Trump has also threatened to impose a new 5% tariff on Mexico, accusing it of violating an eighty-year-old treaty that that grants the US water from Rio Grande tributaries and gives American farmers access to water.

The latest update from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development posted that for the first time ever global trade is on course to exceed US$ 35 trillion this year. It also confirmed that despite all the global volatility, higher costs and numerous geo-political tensions, trade expanded by 2.5% in Q3 – now being driven by higher volumes rather than rising prices which have declined after two quarters of them moving higher. Nevertheless, demand remains robust as inflation slows – a sign, says UNCTAD, of healthy, real economic activity, and that “this points to stable demand, even as inflation eases”. In Q3, goods rose by nearly 2%, and services by 4%. Growth is expected to continue in Q4, at a slower 0.5% rate for goods and 2.0% for services; if those forecasts ring true, goods will add about US$ 1.5 trillion to this year’s total and services US$ 750 billion – equating to an overall 7.0% annual increase. (South–South trade – defined as trade among the Global South, including the ME – expanded by around 8.0%, reflecting deepening economic ties among developing economies).

Since November eurozone inflation surprisingly nudged 0.1% higher, on the month, to 2.2%, it is almost certain that next week’s meeting will leave the ECB’s deposit rate at 2.0%. It now seems highly unlikely that there will be no more rate cuts in H1 2026; the rate still hovers just over the ECB’s 2.0% target, after 2025 saw total rate cuts of 2.0%.  It appears that declining energy prices still manage to offset robust domestic price pressures, particularly in services. The twenty-nation bloc also posted underlying steady 2.4% figures, excluding volatile food and fuel prices. The ECB apparently thinks that inflation has finally been beaten. Time will tell.

October saw the UK economy contract for the second successive month and, measured on a quarterly rolling basis, output was 0.1% lower; the main reason for the disappointing return was growth being curtailed by the September Jaguar Land Rover cyber-attack impacting October figures. Contractions were noted in two leading sectors – 0.6% in construction and 0.3% in services which is the main driver of the economy. The report was posted well before the November budget, with the Office for National Statistics noting that many companies were waiting for the outcome of the budget, with the highest concerns among “manufacturers, construction companies, wholesalers, computer programmers, real estate firms and employment agencies”. 

A Bank of England deputy governor, Clare Lombardelli, has said that measures announced by the Chancellor could see inflation levels, currently at 3.5%, nudging 0.5% lower as from next April, driven by reduced energy prices, an extension of a cap on fuel duty and rail fares remaining static until March 2027. The Office for Budget Responsibility reckons inflation could be 0.4% lower by then, with forecasts of 2.5% by the end of 2026 and hitting the BoE’s 2.0% target a year later. Although this spells good news for the embattled Rachel Reeves, the deputy governor noted that its “effects are quite small” on growth, saying there would be a “short-term” impact, adding 0.2% to GDP in 2027.

The Chancellor continues to be in the news even though the pressure seems to have slowed – only for the time being. The lady, infamous for tarting up her CV in the past and breaking manifesto promises, has now spoken that, in 1993, she had been the British girls’ under-14 champion. The only problem is that Emily Howard won this event. The erstwhile Chancellor did win a British Women’s Chess Association championship, but that’s a more minor title and rather like comparing  winning the Ryder Cup to a crazy golf tournament.

The Covid-19 Counter-Fraud Commissioner Tom Hayhoe’s final report has concluded that fraud and error cost the taxpayer some US$ 14.67 billion – this figure seems to be on the low side when the amounts – and profits – that the ‘VIP lane’ managed to squeeze out of the Exchequer are considered. (For example, reports indicated that Conservative peer Baroness Mane may have profited from her husband’s firm winning PPE contracts of over US$ 266 million). Of the figure, US$ 2.40 billion has been recovered, though “much” of the shortfall is now “beyond recovery”. However, there remains areas where investing to recover sums is “worthwhile” and should continue. Weak accountability, bad quality data, poor design, absence of fraud expertise and poor contracting were identified as the primary causes of the loss, with pandemic support programmes such as furlough, bounce-back loans and Eat Out to Help Out being highlighted for their being little or no accountability to detect fraudulent usage, with inadequate ‘checks and balances’ in place.  Furthermore, government departments generally worked independently and designed schemes from scratch, which led to a “high degree of novelty” in the design and introduced greater fraud risk. Even now, chasing bad debts has “varied significantly” across government departments. The report came up with four recommendations including that the Treasury should establish a “scrutiny panel” of senior officials across government with external members and chaired by a minister to review implementation of recommendations at six-month intervals for “at least” two years. If this had been a company, the whole board would have ended up in court for a combination of mismanagement and corruption. This lot tend to be awarded with ambassadorships, peerages or top city jobs. What a Sad State of Affairs!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A Sign of Things To Come?

A Sign of Things To Come?                                             05 December 2025

There is no doubt that Dubai’s property sector is still on fire and, having surpassed all previous annual records in the previous month, November YTD sales pushed the total through the US$ 170 billion, (AED 624 billion), mark. In the month, there were 19.02k transactions, (30.0% higher on the year), with the average price per sq ft, up 16.1% to US$ 478; total sales value for November was US$ 17.63 billion – 49.6% higher on the year. The usual key drivers continue to include Dubai’s dynamic economy, infrastructure, and attractive investment policies, that have proved a magnet for both residents and global buyers seeking lifestyle and stability. 

A monthly breakdown sees:

  • Apartments   15.91k                      +37.4%                    Total Value             US$ 8.74 billion
  • Villas                2.08k                       – 6.6%                      Total Value             US$ 3.60 billion
  • Commercial   0.65k                         79.7%                      Total Value             US$ 627 million
  • Buildings         0.012k                      110%                       Total Value             US$ 3.19 billion
  • Plots                 0.038k                      3.6%                        Total Value             US$ 4.66 billion

In November, average prices for:

  • Apartments                              US$ 381k                                  +14.1% 
  • Villas                                        US$ 1.12 million                     +30.7%                   
  • Commercial                              US$ 572k                                 +38.9%                   
  • Buildings                                   US$ 239k                                 -98.8%                   
  • Plots                                           US$ 1.83 million                    +3.5%              

The top five selling locations were:

  • Jumeirah Village Circle                          1.43k transactions                US$ 518 million
  • Wada Al Safa                                             1.13k transactions                US$ 490 million
  • Business Bay                                              1.06k transactions                US$ 981 million
  • Dubai South                                               0. 90k transactions               US$ 572 million  
  • Mina Rashid                                               0.90k transactions                US$ 845 million

Property sales volume by price showed:

  • Under US$ 272k                                      (AED 1m)                25%
  • Between US$ 272k – US$ 545k       (AED 1m – 2m)    36%
  • Between US$ 545k – US  817k        (AED 2m – 3m)    17%
  • Between US$ 817k – US$ 1.36m    (AED 3m – 5m)    13%
  • Over US$ 1.36 m                                  (AED 5m)                  9%    

Since post-Covid, November property sales volume  has risen:

  • 2021                         7.0k                            81.6% higher
  • 2022                         11.1k                         58.6% higher
  • 2023                         12.3k                         10.7% higher
  • 2024                         14.5k                         18.3% higher
  • 2025                         19.0k                         30.8% higher

Since post-Covid, November property sales value has risen:

  • 2021                         US$ 4.90 billion                      141.4% higher
  • 2022                         US$ 8.45 billion                      72.8% higher
  • 2023                         US$ 11.58 billion                     37.0% higher
  • 2024                         US$ 11.63 billion                     53.0% higher
  • 2025                         US$ 17.63 billion                     51.3% higher

The five best-selling properties were in:

  • US$ 55 million        Jumeirah Residences Asora Bay
  • US$ 53 million       Lot A Residences Principal L0t – DIFC
  • US$ 22 million      Salaya 2 at Jumeirah First
  • US$ 22 million        Aman Residences – Tower 1 Jumeirah Second
  • US$ 17million        Orla Infinity by Omniyat at Palm Jumeirah

Meraas has announced the launch of Crestlane 4 and Crestlane 5, located in City Walk; both will have two mid-rise towers, set around landscaped green spaces. The former will house two hundred and one premium residences and the latter one hundred and fifty-nine. The CEO of the Dubai Holding Real Estate subsidiary, Khalid Al Malik, noted that “Crestlane 4 and 5 represent a significant step forward in the continued evolution of City Walk, as one of Dubai’s most contemporary and design-led neighbourhoods”.

During the year, the Sheikh Zayed Housing Programme has issued 3.57k decisions totalling US$ 681 million, with 0.60k issued in Q4, and valued at US$ 130 million. The total package for 2025 included:

  • 524 Presidential grants                worth US$ 97 million
  • 623 government housing grants  worth US$ 74 million
  • 32 housing grants                          worth US$ 7 million
  • 2,388 housing financing               worth US$ 250 million

The programme, initiated in 1999, forms part of ongoing efforts to meet increasing housing needs amid rapid population growth and urban development. It forms part of the government’s commitment to enhance family stability and to improve citizens’ quality of life.

In a study, by Property Finder, to rank the most attractive global destination for buying holiday homes, the UAE has been ranked the fourth; thirty-two countries were considered. The UAE’s high position was down to many factors, including its rising status as a preferred hub for living, investment and travel, supported by favourable regulations, high living standards and exceptional connectivity. Some of the metrics used were affordability, transport infrastructure, rental returns, tax burdens and quality-of-life indicators. UAE was beaten to the post by long-established tourism destinations – Spain, France and Portugal, with the US placed fifth. The UAE continues to strengthen its lifestyle appeal, thanks to its strong performance across safety, hospitality and entertainment benchmarks. With clean beaches, leisure districts, cultural hubs, luxury retail and a year-round calendar of events, the country offers a holistic living experience that extends far beyond traditional holiday expectations.

The latest Gulf Economic Update has forecasts that the UAE economy will grow by 4.8%, confirming that the country will continue to achieve strong and broad-based growth, with balance across oil and non-oil sectors. This figure is ahead of the other five GCC nations – Saudi Arabia -3.8%, Bahrain – 3.5%, Oman – 3.1%, Qatar – 2.8%, and Kuwait – 2.7%. The report highlighted three main pillars – the evolution of economic diversification indicators over the past decade, tracking macroeconomic developments, and focusing on digital transformation.

A forty-two-year-old Dubai Duty Free posted its best ever monthly return in November, with sales of US$ 240 million, 16.8% higher on the year; the result was that YTD revenue reached US$ 2.11 billion. It was reported that sales growth outpaced passenger traffic by an estimated 10%, with 29 November becoming the busiest shopping day of the year, with spending of over US$ 10 million. It was noted that transactions under US$ 136, (AED 500) nudged slightly higher in number while generating higher overall value, and purchases above that figure were seen to grow at a faster pace and accounted for 75% of all spending. The top selling items were
Perfumes                                           US$ 44 million
Liquor                                                US$ 28 million
Gold                                                   US$ 24 million
Tobacco                                              US$ 24 million
Confectionery                                     US$ 23 million, (42.9% inc eighty tons of chocolate)
Electronics                                          US$ 18 million, (inc 5.2k iPhone 17s)  

A warning to the thousands of Indian nationals, owning property in Dubai, that they will be receiving SMS and email alerts from India’s Income Tax Department. Its advice is to declare all foreign assets correctly in your Indian tax return by 31 December 2025 or face heavy penalties. Last week, the Central Board of Direct Taxes announced that the second phase of its Nudge campaign, a compliance initiative designed to encourage voluntary reporting, would commence on last Friday. The outreach relies on financial data shared by more than one hundred jurisdictions under the Common Reporting Standard (CRS) and the US Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA). This campaign does not apply to NRIs, who are not Indian tax residents, and therefore do not file Income Tax Returns (ITRs) in India. These NRIs have no obligation to declare foreign assets, and they won’t receive Nudge alerts.   It warns that after its analysis of Automatic Exchange of Information data for the financial year 2024–25, it has identified almost 25k high-risk taxpayers whose overseas assets do not match what was declared in their latest returns for Assessment Year (AY) 2025–26. Penalties for non-compliance include a US$ 11k fine, 30% tax on any unreported income, and a penalty of up to 300% of the tax due. Indians top the list of foreign property buyers in Dubai for several years running. In 2024 alone, it is estimated that Indian buyers accounted for 22% of all Dubai property transactions and invested roughly US$ 40.87 billion.  

Starting on 01 January 2026, The Ministry of Finance has announced the issuance of Federal Decree-Law No. (17) of 2025 amending certain provisions of Federal Decree-Law No. (28) of 2022 on Tax Procedures. The main aim of the exercise is to establish a clearer and more structured legal framework for tax obligations and procedures, including regulating the timeframe for requesting refunds of credit balances with the Federal Tax Authority. There is a period not exceeding five years from the end of the relevant tax period for requesting the refund of a credit balance from the Authority or for using that balance to settle tax liabilities. The amendments also expand the provisions related to limitation periods, granting the Authority the power to conduct tax audits or issue tax assessments after the expiry of the limitation period in certain cases, such as refund requests submitted in the final year of the limitation period, to ensure a balance between protecting taxpayers’ rights and safeguarding the state’s financial entitlements.  

During last week’s “Doing Business with Cambodia” forum, attended by a delegation from Dubai Chambers, Neak Oknha Kith Meng, President of the Cambodia Chamber of Commerce, noted that the bilateral Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement provides “the foundational policy instrument designed to raise non-oil trade beyond US$ 1 billion by 2030”.  He also added that the CEPA provides “the foundational policy instrument designed to raise non-oil trade beyond US$ 1 billion by 2030”, and that it is “is fundamentally synergistic as it secures a vital economic gateway for the UAE into the dynamic ASEAN market of six hundred and eighty million consumers, while offering Cambodia preferential access required to diversify its reliance and integrate into the crucial GCC hub,”  

On 01 August 2015, the federal government liberalised fuel prices so that they could be aligned with market rates until the onset of the pandemic which saw prices frozen by the Fuel Price Committee, in 2020. The controls were removed in March 2021 to reflect the movement of the market once again. The approved fuel prices, by the Ministry of Energy, are determined every month, according to the average global price of oil, whether up or down, after adding the operating costs of distribution companies. After three months of marginal price changes, December sees petrol prices nudging between 2.7% and 2.9% higher, whilst diesel came in 6.7% higher. YTD all price sectors were higher by a similar ratio as seen for this month’s prices.

Super 98     US$ 0.736 from US$ 0.717    in Dec      up         3.5% YTD US$ 0.711     
Special 95   US$ 0.703 from US$ 0.684    in Dec      up         3.2% YTD US$ 0.681        
E-plus 91     US$ 0.684 from US$ 0.665    in Dec      up         3.3% YTD US$ 0.662
Diesel           US$ 0.777 from US$ 0. 728   in Dec      up         6.4% YTD US$ 0.730

Dubai Aerospace Enterprise’s latest long-term lease agreement, involving ten new Boeing 737-8 jets, is with AJet and Turkish Airlines which are scheduled for delivery over the next two years. The Dubai-based company currently owns, manages, and is committed to own a total of two hundred and thirty-six Boeing aircraft, including one hundred and nineteen 737 MAX family aircraft.

Nasdaq Dubai’s latest Sukuk listing has been issued by Sharjah Islamic Bank – a five year-US$ 500 million bond, with a profit rate of 4.6%, issued under its US$ 3 billion Trust Certificate Issuance Programme. This is the bank’s third listing, bringing the total issue to date of US$ 1.5 billion. The financing will be used for the bank’s general corporate purposes. The total outstanding value of debt listings on Nasdaq Dubai now exceeds US$ 144 billion – a sure indicator that Dubai continues to enhance its position as a leading global centre for capital raising and cross-border investment flows.  

The DFM opened the shortened week on Wednesday 03 December on 5,837 points, and having shed two hundred and eight points (1.5%), the previous three weeks, gained one hundred and forty-seven points (2.5%), to close the week on 5,984 points, by 05 December 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.14 lower the previous fortnight, gained US$ 0.21 to close on US$ 3.83 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.74 US$ 6.65, US$ 2.50 and US$ 0.43 and closed on US$ 0.75, US$ 7.30, US$ 2.56 and US$ 0.43. On 05 December, trading was at two hundred and sixteen million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and ninety-three million dollars, compared to three hundred and thirteen million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and sixty-five million dollars on 28 November.

By 05 December 2025, Brent, US$ 0.23 (0.4%) higher the previous week, had gained US$ 1.57, (2.5%), to close on US$ 63.80. Gold, US$ 147 (3.6%) higher the previous week, shed US$ 2 (0.1%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,216 on 05 December. Silver was trading at US$ 58.60 – US$ 2.16 (3.8%) higher on the week.  

Last week, Airbus was in the news that it had to recall 50% of its global A-320 fleet for repairs triggered by a software vulnerability to solar flares.Luckily for the plane maker, operations returned to normal very quickly after a change of software version was implemented faster than expected, with fewer than one hundred still needing a possibly deeper hardware repair. This week, Airbus has been impacted by a quality issue with metal fuselage panels on some A320-family jets, delaying  deliveries. The Toulouse-based company commented that it “confirms it has identified a quality issue affecting a limited number of A320 metal panels”, and “the source of the issue has been identified, contained and all newly produced panels conform to all requirements”. A spokesperson said the problem stemmed from a supplier, who they declined to name, with other analysts saying that the problem has only affected some fifty jets. With Airbus delivering only seventy-two aircraft in November, its eleven-month total comes to six hundred and fifty-seven fewer than many analysts had previously expected and bringing the total for the year so far to six hundred and fifty-seven – a long way off its total annual estimate of eight hundred and twenty.

Yesterday, one hundred and seventy Indigo flights were cancelled and thousands of passengers left stranded for a third day, brought about by the country’s biggest airline  not making sufficient changes to its roster planning ahead of new government regulations. A day earlier one hundred and fifty flights were cancelled, affecting passengers at major airports in New Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune and Bengaluru. The carrier’s market value has already fallen 6.0% this week. Other airlines including Air India, Spicejet and Akasa Air have not been impacted.

The former assistant treasury manager at Chelsea FC has pleaded guilty to defrauding the football club of US$ 278; the offences took place over three years from 08 June 2019 to 23 October 2023. She admitted a charge of fraud by abuse of position and was told by Magistrate Kieran O’Donnell: “You’ve pleaded guilty to the offence, and it exceeds our powers in terms of sentencing. You’ll need to be sent to a crown court for sentencing, where they have the appropriate powers”.  It is obvious that other stakeholders should have known what was going on.

After closing thirty-three outlets in the UK, River Island, is set to close its ME operations under a court-approved restructuring plan. The only good news for regular shoppers of the brand is that stores in the UAE, Kuwait and Qatar are offering discounts of up to 75% on merchandise in its last days of business. This follows the recent regional closures of both Debenhams, popular furniture brand West Elm and Pottery Barn who like River Island, operate in the Gulf, under the Kuwait-based Alshaya Group.  

Despite posting a profit of US$ 438 million, (after a prior year US$ 254 million loss) cash-strapped Thames Water has revealed a further 5.0% increase in debt to US$ 23.49 billion; its revenue surged 42% to US$ 2.53 billion. The company, which has sixteen million customers, is on the brink of financial collapse. The utility laid most of the blame at the door of higher debt serving costs. The UK’s largest supplier said the 31% rise to customer bills since April had allowed it to increase capital investment by 22% to US$ 1.73 billion, amid demands it improve performance in preventing sewage spills and stopping leaks. Meanwhile, there are ongoing discussions involving the government and regulators over a proposed rescue deal, by major Thames Water creditors through a consortium known as London & Valley Water. A decision on whether this would be acceptable has yet to be made by Ofwat, the industry’s regulator.  

In November, the Republic of Korea’s exports increased 8.4%, on the year, to over US$ 61 billion – the sixth consecutive month of increases on the back of strong demand for semiconductors. November outbound shipments came to US$ 61.04 billion, the highest ever for any November. Imports gained, on the year, by 1.2% to US$ 51.3 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of US$ 9.73 billion. Accumulated exports YTD rose to US$ 640.2 billion – perhaps pointing to an annual US$ 700 billion for the year which would be a record high. Semiconductor exports, at an all-time monthly high of US$ 17.26 billion, were 38.6% higher, driven by a continued rise in memory chip prices sparked by strong demand for high-value products for data centres – the ninth consecutive month chip exports have posted an on-year increase.

In contrast, China’s factory activity contracted for the eighth straight month, pointing to further challenges for the country’s economy despite the US-China trade truce.  Although still in negative territory, the official manufacturing purchasing managers index nudged up 0.2 to 49.2 in November; the contraction was in line with market expectations. Although the market expects exports to become more competitive, following to the easing of Trump tariffs, its impact will be better understood by year end.

Italy’s October employment rate rose to 62.7% – the highest level recorded since the statistical series began in January 2004, with 24.21 million being employed in the month. Employment increased by 75k, on the month, and by 244k, on the year, raising the employment rate by 0.1%, as the unemployment rate dipped by 0.2% to 6.0%. Although youth unemployment rate declined by a marked 1.9% to 19.8%, the inactivity rate remained stable at 33.2%.

According to Cotality, its national Home Value Index climbed 1.0% last month, (compared to 1.1% in October), as Australian property prices continued to climb, notably in mid-sized capital cities, with rate cuts keeping the market momentum moving; November was the third consecutive month of values rising by more than 1.0%. The pace of growth is easing slightly, as the Sydney and Melbourne markets, with price rises of 0.5% and 0.3%, continue to lag the other capital cities. The report noted the difference between Perth and Sydney. Listings in the former city were holding more than 40% below average, whereas the shortfall in the latter saw listings 2.2% below the five-year average, compared to 16.0% below average listings across the capital cities. It appears that affordability in Sydney is holding back growth, with the report also noting that housing affordability has never been worse in the country, with more than a decade needed to save a standard 20% deposit to buy a house in most capital cities. Furthermore, auction clearance rates have trended lower since peaking in mid-September, falling below the decade average by mid-November.

This was backed up by a report from REA Group’s PropTrack that estimated a median-income household would have been able to afford just 15% of the homes sold nationally in the 2025 financial year. The end result is that there is an unhealthy growth in housing values, skewed towards lower price points of the market. PropTrack also mentioned that although the housing affordability index had improved – driven mainly by lower rates and relatively higher incomes – affordability remained near a record low, with low-income households able to afford just 3.0% of homes sold. It is patently obvious that the three mortgage rate reductions this year have kept the market bubbling over. No rate reductions in 2026 could prove a major problem for the sector which will inevitably flatline, as prices will dip, and confidence will walk out the front door. There is also an increasing chance of an uptick in rates, if higher than expected inflation figures return in 2026 and if that were to happen property prices will adjust lower.  

The WTO has come out with figures that show the value of global goods imports, impacted by new tariffs and other import measures, had increased more than fourfold in the year-end mid-October 2025 – the highest coverage since 2010 of the world body’s trade monitoring. It estimated that global imports, worth US$ 2,640 billion, or 11.1% of total imports, have been affected – compared to just US$ 611 billion the previous year. Including similar measures on exports, the total trade affected was worth about US$ 2,966 billion (compared to US$ 888 billion recorded in the previous period). 19.7% of world imports are now affected by tariffs and other such measures introduced since 2009 – compared to 12.6% only a year ago. WTO economists estimate world merchandise trade growth at 2.4% in 2025 and at 0.5% in 2026, with stronger-than-expected trade growth in H1 2025, driven by import frontloading, strong demand for AI-related products, and continuing trade growth among most WTO members, particularly developing economies.

It is inevitable that next week will see the US Federal Reserve post another 0.25% rate cut to 3.5% – 3.75%. This comes after a double whammy of a sharp cooling in business activity and a marked slowdown in business activity surprisingly softer US job market indicators, (including private employers cutting 32k jobs last month). The market expects a further two 0.25% rate reductions before July 2026.  

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has concluded that the Chancellor’s recent US$ 34.32 billion budget tax rises will act as “a headwind to the economy” until 2029. Concluding that they will also constrain the economy for a number of years, the world body added previous tax increases and expenditure cuts have hit household finances and slowed spending. It calculated that this year’s GDP growth will remain at 1.4% followed by an estimate of 1.2% and 1.3% for the ensuing two years.  The UK is forecast to have the highest inflation rate – at 3.5% – of any G7 economy, before declining to 2.5%.

Further bad news impacting the UK economy is that the country’s construction sector suffered its sharpest contraction in activity since May 2020, according to S&P Global’s monthly purchasing managers’ index, a closely watched survey taken before last month’s budget. The survey of business behaviour showed steep falls in all three sub-sectors – civil engineering, residential, and commercial building. With a target of 1.5 million new homes to be built before the end of the five year parliament, (if it lasts that long), it seems that the Starmer administration will be defending another manifesto promise that went wrong; construction activity was found to be at its weakest since the first lockdown during the Covid pandemic, with the report noting “steep reductions in new orders and employment”.The report indicates that it is not only construction struggling but zero growth has also impacted the services and manufacturing sectors.  

The Chancellor is very good (and perhaps correct in some cases) blaming external or historic factors, including Brexit, Trump tariffs, the past Tory governments and Covid for the dismal state of the economy. However, she must take responsibility for her own incompetence and inexperience – and her own share of blame for the rising inflation rate and the jobless rate, with both creeping higher in H2. The UK’s interest rates, particularly its government bond yields, have generally been among the highest in the G7 recently, whilst the unemployment rate has climbed 0.9% to 5.0% since Labour took office. The fact is that in her first budget, last year, she raised NI employers’ contribution and raised the minimum wage which had a knock-on effect on business and consumer confidence damaging the jobs market and raising the pace of price growth in the process.  

The city of San Francisco is to sue ten leading food makers over their ultra-processed products because  of their knowingly selling foods that have been linked to a rise in serious diseases. The firms involved include the likes of Kraft Heinz, Mondelez and Coca-Cola for intentionally marketing addictive, unhealthy products, (ranging from cookies and sweets to cereal and granola bars), in violation of California laws on public nuisance and unfair competition. It also claims that “these companies engineered a public health crisis, they profited handsomely, and now they need to take responsibility for the harm they have caused”. The lawsuit argues that the growing availability of ultra-processed foods has coincided with a “dramatic increase” in obesity, diabetes, heart disease, cancers and other chronic illnesses. It is requesting monetary penalties and a statewide order forcing the food giants to change their “deceptive” marketing tactics. Earlier in the year, the US health secretary, Robert F Kennedy called for companies to remove ingredients such as corn syrup, seed oils and artificial dyes from their products, linking them to health problems. Hopefully, A Sign of Things To Come?  
Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Broken Promises

Broken Promises!                                               28 November 2025

The future of the twin towers being developed on Sheikh Zayed Road, by Dubai General Properties, has been settled with the appointment of Driven/Forbes Global Properties as the exclusive sales partner for the residences at Corinthia Dubai; it will include both branded and non-branded residences, and will feature Dubai’s first Corinthia five-star, ultra-luxury hotel. Jassim Al Ali, Managing Director of Dubai General Properties, said that by bringing Corinthia Branded Residences together with premium non-branded options in one destination, the company was offering buyers genuine choice without compromising on quality. Designed by AtkinsRéalis, the project is set to rank among the tallest buildings in the world, rising over five hundred mt with a distinct silhouette of two towers connected by a dramatic, cantilevered sky lobby, suspended halfway above ground. Selected residences will feature private pools, gyms, and large indoor-outdoor entertainment areas, while residents can enjoy privileged access to Corinthia Wellness and hotel amenities. Spanning 330k sq mt, the project is scheduled for completion by 2030.

A fäm Properties’ report indicates that there has been a marked demand increase for Dubai homes in the US$ 19 million – US$ million 27 million, (AED 70 – 100 million), sector – a sure sign that the ultra-luxury market has entered a new phase of maturity; this has been driven by an expanding pool of global high-net-worth buyers, and a newly defined “golden triangle” of wealth found in Palm Jumeirah, Emirates Hills and MBR City. Transactions in this category have grown almost ninefold in the five years to 2024, from just twenty-seven in 2020 to two hundred and forty-two last year, with the value surging almost eighteenfold to US$ 4.35 billion in 2024.

Knight Frank confirms Dubai’s number one position as the “world’s busiest US$ 10 million + market”, with a Q3 return of one hundred and three deals being 24% higher on the year, whilst their cumulative value surged 54%. The consultancy noted that prime home prices are set to increase 3% in 2026, “underpinned by continued robust international HNWI [high net-worth individuals] demand for premium homes, the continued inflows of global wealth (and the global wealthy) and a deepening pool of resident investors”. Dubai also registered seventeen agreements in the US$ 25 million plus market – more than double that of Q3 2024 – whilst there was a 54% surge value wise to over US$ 2.0 billion. The highest-priced sale, at over US$ 95 million, was for a seven-bedroom mansion in Asora Bay by Meraas in the La Mer community.

Henley & Partners estimates that the country is expected to attract 9.8k relocating millionaires this year for the usual reasons – including regulatory reforms and a tax-free lifestyle. Last year, Dubai had an estimated 81.2k millionaires and twenty billionaires residing in the emirate.

The study also posted that there has been a sustained demand for trophy homes, in the US$ 11 million plus, (AED 40 million) bracket. Its CEO, Firas Al Msaddi, commented that “Dubai’s US$ 11 million-plus villa market is now a sustained global wealth segment, not a post-Covid anomaly, with strong resale demand and a limited supply of trophy homes driving prices higher”. Recent history sees resales surpassing new sales from 2022 onward and by 2024 accounting for 58% of all AED 40 million-plus transactions. Resale values surged 540% to US$ 2.94 billion in 2024, compared to US$ 1.62 billion for developer sales. These increases can be attributable to sustained migration of global UHNW buyers and limited supply in districts such as Palm Jumeirah, Emirates Hills and MBR City. These three locations, known as Dubai’s Golden Triangle, accounting for 56% of total sales in this category, generated US$ 5.28 billion, (31%), US$ 2.46 billion, (15%), and US$ 1.74 billion, (10%).

In the US$ 19.1 million to US$ 27.2 million category, (AED 70 million to AED 100 million), sales were negligible between 2015 – 2019 but over the past three years, the number has risen to one hundred and seventy villas. Over the same period sales, in the US$ 27.2 million to US$ 54.5 million (AED 100 million – AED 200 million) sector, there were eighty-three transactions and over U$ 54.5 million, twenty-five deals.

Meanwhile, DXBInteract data identifies Palm Jebel Ali, Tilal Al Ghaf and The Oasis as future ultra-luxury destinations, as projects move toward handover between 2026 and 2028. The former has already reaped US$ 608 million in the US$ 11 million plus, (AED 40 million plus), sector, Tilal Al Ghaf – US$ 981 million and The Oasis US$ 270 million. The sector’s evolution suggests a long-term rebalancing of Dubai’s luxury landscape, with deeper liquidity and a broader geographic spread. With continuing robust UNHW migration, Dubai’s golden triangle and its emerging ultra-prime districts are expected to become the addresses of the high rollers.

Knight Frank sees a mini slowdown in the rate of quarterly rises, noting that in the five years since 2021, annual quarterly rises came in at 2.02%, 2.22%, (2022), 4.34% (2023) and 4.34% (2024), with the first three quarters of 2025 posting 3.2%. Faisal Durrani, partner and head of research at the consultancy, noted that “although the rate of house price growth may be demonstrating signs of slowing, crucially it remains positive”, and that “the growth in the mainstream market is likely to average around 1% by the time we get to the end of December 2026”.

Yesterday, the Dubai property market registered one of its largest land transactions of the year – a 1.015 million sq ft plot selling for US$ 507 million, equating to US$ 497 per sq ft. The record sale underscores Palm Jumeirah’s enduring appeal as one of the city’s most sought-after destinations for ultra-prime property developments.

The Dubai Land Residence Complex is fast becoming one of the emirate’s most closely watched mid-market communities, made more attractive because of the introduction of the Metro’s Blue Line. Slated for completion by 2029, it will cover thirty km and have fourteen stations connecting communities such as Ras Al Khor, Al Watqaa. Midrif, Dubai Creek Harbour, Dubai Silicon Oasis, Dubai Academic City and Dubai Academic City. It will also have connections with existing and future metro lines as well as with the Etihad Rail network. Located at the intersection of affordability, accessibility and long-term planning, this community will now have a citywide connection. Analysts observing early realty activity agree that interest often increases even before major transport lines open, as buyers prioritise future connectivity. They also note that districts, gaining a Metro link, tend to move from undervalued to sought-after over time, and particularly within the mid-market segment. Nearby schools—including GEMS FirstPoint, Fairgreen International School and The Aquila School—strengthen its appeal for families. DLRC is now often described as a “hidden gem”, combining value with improving infrastructure, with its freehold status appealing to long-term buyers, while new residential phases, family-friendly layouts and maturing services support a more complete suburban lifestyle. It is set to transform from a quiet suburban community into one of Dubai’s most dynamic residential corridors.

Emaar Properties’ founder, Mohamed Alabbar, confirmed Dubai Square Mall, will open within three years. Located in Dubai Creek Harbour, the retail and lifestyle landmark, now under construction, will span 2.6 million sq mt and feature EV-friendly interiors and smart technology. With a total investment cost of US$ 49.0 billion, the mall will be triple the size of Downtown Dubai, it will also allow EVs to move through its interior, aligning with Dubai’s broader push toward sustainable and smart urban infrastructure. Described as an indoor city, Dubai Square will be linked to the upcoming Dubai Creek Tower and is designed to feature new concepts in shopping, dining, entertainment, and mobility. This project is part of the wider urban transformation underway at Dubai Creek Harbour, a master-planned project featuring 7.4 million sq mt of residential space, half a million sq mt of green areas, and pedestrian-friendly streets set along Dubai Creek.

Information from the Dubai Land Department showed a sale of a plot of land in Al Yalayis 1, covering an area of some 4.18 million sq ft, realised US$ 346 million. Last Monday, daily activity, real estate activity reached US$ 1.69 billion, across some 1.33k transactions, split between residential, commercial and land lots – 1.18k, 0.05k and 0.01k. There were two hundred and forty-two mortgage transactions and thirty-one gift transactions, valued at US$ 34 million. YTD property sales have now topped US$ 164.44 billion, (over AED 603 billion).

Located in the heart of the Dubai South Residential District, Dubai South Properties has launched ‘South Bay Mall’ – its inaugural retail and lifestyle destination – spanning 200k sq ft. The mall, with sixty retail units, has two anchor stores, and a premium food hall. Other features  will comprise outdoor leisure spaces, a clubhouse, gym, spa, clinic, and dedicated parking for over four hundred vehicles. South Bay Mall will serve as a hub for the eight hundred spacious townhouses and more than two hundred luxurious waterfront mansions; the community also has a kilometre-long lagoon, over three km of waterfront promenade, lush parks, a lake park, and private beaches.  

Meraas, part of Dubai Holding Real Estate, has awarded a US$ 518 million contract to United Engineering Construction for the construction of its exclusive six hundred and forty-two standalone villa community, The Acres. The agreement covers the first release, with completion targeted for Q4 2027. Planned around Halo Loop Park, The Acres connects neighbourhoods through expansive green spaces and well-integrated social infrastructure.

According to ‘MC Travel’, Dubai has been ranked first in the region and second globally among the top winter tourist destinations. Over the first ten months, Western Europe remained Dubai’s leading source market, with a 4.9% hike in numbers to 3.26 million visitors, accounting for 20.8% of the total of 15.7 million international visitors; last month, there were 1.75 million visitors. It was followed by the GCC, (with 15.9% of the total – 2.5 million visitors), South Asia, (14.8% – 2.33 million), Russia, the CIS and Eastern Europe collectively, (14.5% – 2.27 million visitors), MENA (11.1% – 1.74 million), N & SE Asia (9.4% – 1.47 million), Americas (7.0% – 1.10 million), Africa (4.4% – 698k) and Australasia (2.1% – 329k).

There was a marginal three hundred room annual increase in hotel inventory to 152.8k, whilst the number of establishments rose by seven to eight hundred and twenty-seven. Sectorwise, the figures showed:

  • luxury five-star hotels            36% of total supply   55.0k rooms    172 properties
  • four-star hotels                      28% of total supply   43.2k rooms     193 hotels
  • one- to three-star hotels        19% of total supply   29.1k rooms     276 properties
  • hotel apartments                    17% capacity              25.5krooms     179 establishments

Guest stays averaged 3.6 nights, unchanged from 2024, whilst there was a marked improvement in occupancy of an annual 2.4% rise to 79.4%, with total occupied room nights, 4.0% higher, reaching 36.7 million. The average daily room rate rose 5.8% to US$ 145, as revenue per available room climbed 9.1% to US$ 115.

As from yesterday, 27 November to 31 December, Dubai International expects ten million travellers to pass through the airport. During the upcoming UAE National Day long weekend, (29 November to 02 December), daily traffic will touch 294k. All pointers are that December will prove to be the busiest ever month seen at DXB, with totals of 8.7 million forecast; Saturday, 20 December, is expected to be the busiest day with some 303k passing through the airport.

Founded in 1567, as a free grammar school for local boys, The Rugby School will open a Dubai campus, taking over the existing Kent College campus in Nad Al Sheba; its opening is slated for the 2026-2027 academic year. The new “super-premium” school, created in partnership with Abu Dhabi’s Aldar Education, will offer an authentic Rugby School UK experience, educating children from Early Years Foundation Stage through to Sixth Form. The campus will feature state-of-the-art, purpose-built facilities, including specialised science and technology labs, a four hundred-seat auditorium, extensive sports ground, swimming pools, and dedicated spaces for arts, inclusion, dining, and student wellbeing. Aldar Education and Kent College Canterbury have mutually agreed to end their partnership after the 2025–26 academic year, with the latter joining a new partnership with Laureate Education and relocating to a new site. Henry Price has been appointed as Executive Principal to spearhead this partnership and lead the launch of Rugby School Dubai. He was Head of Classics and a Housemaster at Rugby School from 2001 to 2014, and following a Headship stint at Wellington School in Somerset, has been Headmaster of Oakham since 2019.

The nineteenth edition of the Dubai Airshow, which closed last Friday, 21 November, set new records, as it doubled the value of deals, to US$ 202 billion, compared to the last edition in 2023. Some of the deals included Emirates US$ 41.4 billion order for sixty-five additional Boeing 777-9 aircraft and eight more Airbus A350-900 jets; with deliveries stretched out to 2038, it means that the carrier has a total wide-body order book for three hundred and seventy-five planes. flydubai got in on the act, signing a Memorandum of Understanding with Boeing to purchase seventy-five Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, valued at US$ 13 billion. The five-day biennial event attracted 248.79k visitors, whist featuring 1.5k exhibitors, of which 29.3% were first-time participants. There were four hundred and ninety military and civil delegations from one hundred and fifteen countries, alongside twenty-one national pavilions, ninety chalets, an additional display area of 8k sq mt, as well as one hundred and twenty startups and fifty investors. Aptly, it was held under the theme ‘The Future is Here’.

In his capacity as Ruler of Dubai, HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, has approved Law No. 15 of 2025 regarding the Government of Dubai’s general budget cycle for the fiscal years 2026-2028, and the Dubai Government’s general budget for the fiscal year 2026. The three-year budget cycle, for 2026-2028, has been approved, with a total expenditure of US$ 82.29 billion and total revenues of US$ 89.70 billion, pointing to a US$ 7.41 billion budget surplus. The estimated expenditure for the fiscal year 2026 stands at US$ 27.11 billion, reaffirming Dubai’s commitment to supporting development projects, stimulating macroeconomic growth, and realising the objectives of the Dubai Plan 2033 and the Dubai Economic Agenda D33. 2026 revenues are projected at US$ 29.35 billion, including general reserves of US$ 1.36 billion. The 2026 budget prioritises social services and the development of health, education, culture, and infrastructure projects, allocating funds according to strategic priorities and governed by a unified framework adopted across all government entities. The emirate’s Crown Prince,  Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, noted that “this budget reflects the vision of His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum to advance the emirate’s strategic objectives, most notably doubling Dubai’s GDP and positioning it among the world’s top three urban economies within the next decade, while maintaining a balanced approach between ambitious growth and economic stability, supported by prudent fiscal policies”.

The 2026 budget reflects the government’s strong commitment to people-centric development, with 28% of total expenditure allocated to the social development sector covering health, education, scientific research, housing, family welfare, youth, sports, seniors, retirees, and people of determination. The government also allocated 18% of total expenditure to the security, justice, and safety sector, ensuring it remains one of the emirate’s globally recognised strengths through enhanced preparedness and operational excellence. Infrastructure investments — including roads, bridges, tunnels, public transport, sewage systems, parks, renewable energy facilities, waste management, and service buildings — account for 48% of the total projected government expenditure for the 2026 fiscal year. In addition, 6% of total spending is allocated to government development initiatives that support performance enhancement and promote a culture of excellence, innovation, and creativity.

The RTA has announced that all public parking will be free of charge for the three days – 30, November, 01 December and 02 December. Normal parking fees will resume on Wednesday, 03 December.

On the sidelines of the Canada-UAE Business Summit held last week, coinciding with the visit of Mark Carney, Prime Minister of Canada, the Minister of Foreign Trade, Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi confirmed that further discussions on a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement would soon start. He also commented that the deal would almost triple bilateral trade to more than US$ 10.0 billion in the coming years; last year, non-oil trade between the two countries topped US$ 3.5 billion. He added that UAE investments in Canada continue to grow, currently exceeding US$ 30 billion across multiple sectors, including logistics, ports and energy, with a plan to double these investments in the coming period.

The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement between the United Arab Emirates and Chile has officially started and is set to significantly enhance bilateral trade and create new investment opportunities across key sectors. In 2024, the UAE’s non-oil foreign trade with Chile reached US$ 270 million, with a 7.1% annual improvement noted in H1, to US$ 153 million. It is expected that after all the formalities have been completed, bilateral trade will exceed US$ 500 million by 2030, attributable to enhanced market access and cooperation in key sectors. Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi, Minister of Foreign Trade, noted that “the CEPA marks a significant milestone in our economic relations, paving the way for enhanced collaboration and investment opportunities in vital sectors such as renewable energy, agriculture, tourism, and infrastructure”. Chile, with a GDP exceeding US$ 300 billion, has strong manufacturing, financial services, energy, tourism, and agriculture sectors and is a leading global producer of copper and lithium, presenting rich opportunities for UAE investors. The UAE-Chile CEPA will further bolster the UAE’s role as a global supply-chain hub, connecting South America with markets in Africa, Europe, and Asia. In addition to facilitating trade in goods, the agreement will also expand trade in services and stimulate new opportunities in logistics, maritime, travel, tourism, and aviation services. The CEPA is also expected to accelerate investment in critical infrastructure, such as roads and ports, and support the UAE’s food security objectives by enhancing collaboration in agriculture. Since its launch in September 2021, the CEPA programme has successfully concluded thirty-two agreements, enhancing trade relations and access for UAE businesses to markets that comprise nearly 25% of the world’s population.

Recording its highest monthly total in almost two decades, Jebel Ali Port handled a record 630k tonnes of breakbulk cargo last month – a reflection of the renewed scale of industrial and construction activity across the region. The main drivers on the construction front have been the imports of iron and steel for major UAE projects, such as the Dubai Metro Blue Line and the DWC airport expansion. Last year, a 23.0% surge in breakbulk volumes, to 5.36 million metric tonnes, was registered and this has continued into 2025. There is no doubt that Jebel Ali has been transformed into one of the world’s most advanced multipurpose ports, with it consistently achieving record performance across multiple cargo categories, including containers, RoRo and bulk cargo.

This week, at the thirteenth Dubai Precious Metals Conference, DMCC FinX was launched, designed to connect capital market participants, trade finance professionals and fintech innovators with DMCC’s community of more than twenty-six thousand companies; it will link capital markets to physical supply chains and digital asset ecosystems. Attended by some one thousand attendees, and held under the banner ‘The Future of Precious Metals: Tariffs, Tokenisation and Trade Flows’, the conference examined how geopolitical shifts, emerging technologies and new trade corridors were reshaping global value chains. Discussions focused on the convergence of precious metals, digital assets and finance, the growth of tokenisation and Dubai’s expanding role as a centre of trust and innovation. Last year, the gold trade in Dubai topped US$ 186 billion and with technologies such as tokenisation and blockchain transforming how value moves globally, Dubai is well placed to lead the next phase of industry development.

DMCC’s Executive Chairman, Ahmed Bin Sulayem, noted that the launch of DMCC FinX was the next step in integrating trade, technology and finance to support tokenised markets whilst enhancing the emirate’s role as a global hub for commodities. He also commented that the conference has been marked by new records, highlighted by the unveiling of the world’s largest silver bar – a 1,971 kg, 1.3mt-long bar that has set a Guinness World Record and honours the UAE’s ambition and craftsmanship. The bar commemorates the founding year, (1971), of the UAE, symbolising national ambition, craftsmanship and innovation. The bar is now set to be tokenised through DMCC’s Tradeflow platform, marking the first time a Guinness World Record precious metal bar will undergo tokenisation under a regulated framework. The project was brought together by UAE-based precious metals refiner Sam Precious Metals, Tokinvest, a VARA-regulated platform leading the digital tokenisation and issuance process, and Brink’s which will oversee secure storage and logistics.

Under its previously disclosed sale-and-leaseback agreement, Dubai Aerospace Enterprise confirmed that it had delivered all ten Boeing 737-9 aircraft to United Airlines. The whole process was completed in just six months from document execution to mandate fulfilment. DAE currently owns, manages, and is committed to own a total of two hundred and thirty-six Boeing aircraft, including one hundred and nineteen 737 MAX family jets.

It now seems that those Petrofac employees, who were part of the 19 November layoffs, have now received their salaries for the nineteen days worked in November but are still awaiting details of their final payment. Some former employees are expecting payment of the three month notice period, as per their contracts, and have been informed by Petrofac that the full settlement process would take up to fourteen days from the date of termination, and that a detailed statement of account, covering all dues, airfares, leave balance, and any remaining payments, would be issued before 03 December. In October, TenneT had terminated the company’s full scope of work on the Dutch 2GW offshore grid programme.

On Wednesday, Petrofac moved to extend its court-supervised insolvency process beyond its UK parent company, announcing plans to place Petrofac International Limited (PIL), which manages a large share of Petrofac’s Engineering & Construction activity in the MENA, into administration – a significant shift after the group repeatedly said overseas operations were continuing as normal. It confirmed that this entity has no active contracts and also that  “the Group intends to redeploy PIL’s one hundred and twenty staff to other Group companies wherever possible” and that it was working with administrators of the holding company “to preserve value, operational capability and ongoing delivery across the Group’s operating and trading entities.”

According to the Central Bank of the UAE, by the end of September, gross banks’ assets had increased by 2.2% to US$ 1,416.87 billion. There was an increase in money supply aggregate M1 by 0.4%, to US$ 281.39 billion due to a rise in currency in circulation outside banks by 1.0% and in monetary deposits by 0.3%. The money supply aggregate M2 increased by 1.0%, to US$ 705.53 billion, attributable to US$ 6.10 billion growth in Quasi-Monetary Deposits. Money supply aggregate M3 also increased by 1.4%, to US$ 851.04 billion, due to the rise in M2, mainly down to US$ 4.74 billion increase in government deposits. The monetary base decreased by 2.5% to US$ 226.84 billion because the monetary base was driven by the 8.9% decrease in reserve account, surpassing the increase in currency issued by 0.9%, also banks & OFCs current accounts/overnight deposits of banks at CBUAE by 2.4%, and monetary bills/ Islamic certificates of deposit by 0.9%. Gross credit increased by 2.5% to US$ 675.42 billion due to the combined growth in domestic credit, by US$ 11.96 billion, and foreign credit by US$ 4.80 billion. The growth in domestic credit was due to the 0.4% increases in credit to the government sector, public sector (government-related entities) by 7.2%, private sector by 1.5% and non-banking financial institutions by 9.1%. Banks’ deposits grew by 1.8%, to US$ 868.12 billion, driven by the 0.7% growth in resident deposits reaching US$ 787.84 billion, and in non-resident deposits by 14.5%, at US$ 80.27 billion. Within the resident deposits, government sector deposits decreased by 0.5%, and government-related entities deposits decreased by 0.1%. Private sector deposits increased by 0.7% and non-banking financial institutions deposits grew by 13.8%.

The DFM opened the week, on Monday 24 November, on 5,856 points, and having shed one hundred and eighty-nine points (1.2%), the previous fortnight, lost nineteen points (0.3%), to close the week on 5,837 points, by 28 November 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.11 lower the previous week, shed US$ 0.03 to close on US$ 3.62 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.73 US$ 6.68, US$ 2.52 and US$ 0.42 and closed on US$ 0.74, US$ 6.65, US$ 2.50 and US$ 0.43. On 28 November, trading was at three hundred and thirteen million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and sixty-five million dollars, compared to two hundred and forty-nine million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and forty-three million dollars, on 21 November.

The bourse had opened the year on 4,063 points and, having closed on 28 November at 5,856, was 1,793 points (44.1%) higher YTD. Emaar had started the year with a 01 January 2025 opening figure of US$ 2.24, and had gained US$ 1.38, to close November at US$ 3.64. Four other bellwether stocks, DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started 2025 on US$ 0.67, US$ 4.70, US$ 1.56 and US$ 0.38 and closed November 2025 at US$ 0.74, US$ 6.65, US$ 2.50 and US$ 0.43.  

By late-afternoon, 28 November 2025, Brent, US$ 1.85 (2.9%) lower the previous week, had gained US$ 0.23, (0.4%), to close on US$ 62.23. Gold, US$ 48 (1.2%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 147 (3.6%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,218 on 28 November. Silver was trading at US$ 56.44 – US$ 4.79 (9.3%) higher on the week.  

Brent started the year on US$ 74.81 and shed US$ 12.58 (16.8%), to close 28 November 2025 on US$ 62.23. Gold started the year trading at US$ 2,624, and by the end of November, the yellow metal had gained US$ 1,594 (60.7%) and was trading at US$ 4,218. Silver was trading at US$ 56.44 – US$ 27.45 (94.7%) higher YTD from its 01 January price of US$ 28.99.

Another blow for the aviation industry and bad news for air travellers. Airbus has had to ground thousands of its best-selling model, the A-320. The Toulouse-based company has advised that up to 6k of its jets (about 50% of its global fleet) will have to be grounded after it had discovered that intense solar radiation could impact its flying systems. It appears that these will have to undergo an urgent software update or have computers replaced but about 5.1k will be able to fly after undergoing a quick software upgrade. However, the remaining nine hundred older versions will have to be grounded so that onboard computers can be replaced. The problem could also affect its A318, A319 and A320 models.

Earlier reports had indicated that the world’s largest miner, BHP, was interested in having  last minute talks with Anglo American after failing in a US$ 51.09 billion all-share bid last year, that would have created the biggest producer of copper in the world  The Melbourne-based miner has subsequently ditched any last-minute bid forAnglo American— just two weeks before its shareholders vote on a US$ sixty billion tie-up with Canada’s Teck Resources. Under UK securities rules, BHP cannot make another bid for Anglo for six months unless there is a rival bid or Anglo requests a waiver. The company noted that “while BHP continues to believe that a combination with Anglo American would have had strong strategic merits and created significant value for all stakeholders, BHP is confident in the highly compelling potential of its own organic growth strategy”. Shareholders will vote on 09 December whether the US$ 50.0 billion merger deal will become reality. Anglo’s shares have risen more than 30% this year, while BHP’s are flat.

Despite having problems attaining a full banking licence in the UK, Revolut has seen its value surge 66.7%, in twelve months, to US$ 75.0 billion. This comes after NVentures, Nvidia’s venture capital arm, the global investment giant Fidelity, and the Californian tech investor Andreessen Horowitz have been buying into the bank, via a secondary share sale. This value makes it worth more than Barclays’ US$ 72.89 billion. It is the fifth time that Revolut has allowed employees to sell stock, enabling its 10k staff to capitalise on a valuation that has surged in recent years. Revolut’s workforce is now more than 10k-strong and thousands of employees are understood to have sold shares. Participants were not permitted to dispose of more than 20% of their holdings.  Since the start of 2023, its share value has jumped more than fourfold from US$ 321 to US$ 1,381, making the ten-year entity Europe’s most valuable private tech company. Founded as a credit card provider, Revolut now has more than sixty-five million customers and last year generated pre-tax profits of US$ 1.44 billion. Interestingly, Nik Storonsky, 41, Revolut’s co-founder and chief executive, moved his residence to Dubai from London last year, further adding to speculation that any IPO will not be in London but most probably New York. (Its UAE supremo, Ambareen Musa, has indicated that Revolut is in “day zero build mode” and that she is hopeful that it could launch soon, once it has secured the appropriate licensing).

After two years of looking for an acceptable buyer, it seems that the publisher of the Daily and Sunday Telegraph has finally found a suitable suitor. Reports indicate that the Daily Mail and General Trust have offered US$ 654 million, (GBP 500 million) in a deal and has entered a period of discussion with RedBird IMI, which is a JV between the UAE and RedBird Capital, a US private equity company. The deal still has to be approved by UK authorities, but DMGT and RedBird IMI have said they expect it to be finalised quickly. The group said the Telegraph would remain editorially independent from DMGT’s other titles. The Daily Mail’s chairman, Lord Rothermere, said he had “long admired the Daily Telegraph” and the deal would give “much-needed certainty and confidence” to its employees, noting that “The Daily Telegraph is Britain’s largest and best quality broadsheet newspaper”, and that “under our ownership, the Daily Telegraph will become a global brand, just as the Daily Mail has”. How the UK public take to this concentrated media ownership remains to be seen.

In Q1 of its fiscal year, ending 30 September, Egypt’s economy grew by 5.3% – the highest quarterly rise seen in over three years. The Ministry of Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation attributed the improvement to stronger activity across productive sectors and the continued rollout of economic and structural reforms. Planning Minister Rania Al-Mashat posted that the country expects annual growth of 5.0% – 0.5% higher than the previous target.

Only a month ago, TGI Fridays, (with forty-nine UK sites, employing 2k staff), was acquired by Sugarloaf TGIF Management, a company run by the chain’s former chief executive, Ray Blanchette. It had been sold to Calveton UK and Breal Capital, two investment firms, in 2024. This week, there are reports that the firm has appointed the financial advisory firm Interpath to explore strategic options for its UK business, with interested party discussions ongoing. Phil Broad, president, TGI Fridays International Franchising, confirmed that “the directors of TGI Fridays UK can confirm they are working closely with independent advisors to explore all available options for securing the long-term future of TGI Fridays in the UK”.

With the aim of convincing regulators that it has a valid and workable plan to turn the company’s fortunes around, Ovo Energy cut hundreds of jobs in a cost-saving measure to save millions of dollars. The retrenchments form part of a revised business plan submitted to Ofgem, the energy watchdog, which is focused on boosting the company’s profitability. With over four million UK customers, the plan includes restrictions on taking on new customers until its finances are placed on a sustainable footing. Last month, its chief executive, David Buttress, stepped down in the middle of a search for investors willing to pump up to US$ 392 million, (GBP 300 million), into Ovo. Indeed, Verdane, a Norwegian investment group, had abandoned investment talks in October, worried that the industry’s regulatory regime was obstructing efforts to attract new capital. Potential investors could be put off by the fact that the country’s third biggest supplier, behind Octopus Energy and Centrica-owned British Gas, has acknowledged that it had yet to fully comply with Ofgem’s capital adequacy rules.

In Q1 of its fiscal year, ending 30 September, Egypt’s economy grew by 5.3% – the highest quarterly rise seen in over three years. The Ministry of Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation attributed the improvement to stronger activity across productive sectors and the continued rollout of economic and structural reforms. Planning Minister Rania Al-Mashat posted that the country expects annual growth to 5.0% – 0.5% higher than the previous target.

The newly appointed prime minister of Japan, the hawkish Sanae Takaichi, has already upset her Chinese neighbours by mentioning that any move from the country against Taiwan could result in a Japanese military response.  Last month, she was asked how she would respond if China conducted a military blockade of Taiwan, responding that “I believe any action involving the use of force, such as China deploying naval ships, can only be described as a survival-threatening situation”, with the last three words being a benchmark necessary for Japanese military involvement. Xi Ping’s administration was not well pleased and started by issuing travel warnings against Japan, calling on nationals to refrain from visiting due to “serious” safety risks; this has resulted in 500k cancelling their plane tickets. It has also started suspending seafood imports and pulled two major Japanese films from showing in China. Tokyo has sent a senior foreign ministry official to Beijing to try and ease tensions, that have seen threats made against Japan’s prime minister. Taiwan is somewhat of an enigma and behaves like an independent nation, whilst supplying the world with the most sophisticated microchips, vital for anything from mobile phones to the most advanced military hardware. Also known as ‘The Republic of China’, and following the Chinese civil war in the 1940s, it was formed by the Nationalists, who had lost the mainland to the communists led by Mao Zedong, who then proclaimed the founding of the People’s Republic of China. Taiwan now forms part of a wall with Japan and the Philippines, both US allies, that impedes China’s access to the Pacific Ocean. The US has previously warned that China is readying its military to be ready to invade Taiwan in 2027, but it has to be noted that Japan hosts the largest contingent of US forces outside continental America. China’s consul general in Osaka responded that “the dirty head that sticks itself in must be cut off”, a seemingly direct threat to the Japanese Prime Minister, whilst a Defence Ministry spokesman said any interference over Taiwan would result in Japan’s “crushing defeat”.

During the first ten months of the year, China’s outbound direct investment, rising 7.0% on the year, surpassed US$145.83 billion. Over that period, China’s domestic investors made non-financial direct investments totalling US$ 123.17 billion – a 6.0% hike on the year – in 9.55k overseas companies across one hundred and fifty-two countries and regions.

The Chasing China study, published this week by AidDataResearchers in the US, has found that Australia has been the third biggest beneficiary of Chinese credit since 2000, mostly to the resources sector. Other sectors, receiving investment funds, include roads, wind farms, supermarkets and breweries, with companies, such as Qantas, Woolworths and Fosters Group, also in the loop. Behind both the US and Russia, the country has received over US$ 130.0 billion of the estimated US$ 2.2 trillion worth of loans and grants across two hundred countries from 2000 to 2023. Despite recent year concerns about national security having heightened in tandem with the dwindling rate of Chinese funding to the country, Australia has remained the number one country for foreign direct investment, (at US$ 100 billion, compared to US$ 75 billion for the US). Accounting for more than 77.0% of China’s official sector lending portfolio in Australia, FDI includes brownfield investments, mostly lending for the acquisition of existing companies and assets, and greenfield investments, for building new companies and assets. Sectorwise, the split was industry, mining and construction (63%), energy (15%), transportation, (11%) and the balance to finance/banking, internet/communications technology and other sectors.

It does seem that China is changing its market – by cutting back on investing in developing countries, through its Belt and Road initiative, and spending more on advanced economies – backing strategic infrastructure and high‑tech supply chains in areas such as semiconductors, AI and clean energy – now accounting for over 75% of its overseas lending budget. It is estimated that in 2023 Beijing out-spent Washington on a more than two-to-one basis whilst outspending the World Bank — the single largest multilateral source of aid and credit — by nearly USS 50 billion.

In what is claimed to be hailed as a world first, and after its main players, Uber Eats and DoorDash struck a deal with the Transport Workers Union, representing Australian food delivery workers, and are on course to gain minimum pay levels. The draft agreement indicates that union workers would earn at least US$ 20.19 per hour, a 25% increase for some couriers who are paid per delivery and not how long they have worked. If approved by the Fair Work Commission, the deal, due to be implemented on 01 July 2026 would put them on par with the minimum wage earned by Australian casual workers. The agreement comes after Australia’s centre-left Albanese government passed a law last year that defined gig workers as “employee-like” workers and gave them the right to negotiate minimum pay and conditions. The US companies must also take out accident insurance for their workers, give them access to their records and provide them with more details about each delivery job, according to the agreement.

During the US government shutdown, there was a dearth of economic data , with first official data in weeks out last Friday showing that there had been a surprising pick-up in hiring after a lacklustre summer. Health care firms, restaurants and bars added more jobs in September, while transportation and warehousing firms, manufacturers and the government continued to reduce their payrolls. September data revealed that 119k jobs were created – more than double that of market expectations – whilst the unemployment rate nudged 0.1% higher to 4.4%. (The previous two months showed a 72k gain in July , followed by a 4k reduction in numbers). Job growth has barely budged since April, raising pressure on the central bank to cut interest rates to support the economy. There are other factors in play that makes the decision somewhat more difficult:

  • the inflation rate moving higher to 3.0%, compared to the Fed’s longstanding 2.0% target
  • the impact of AI on the labour market
  • how labour supply and demand will be affected by stronger immigration regulations, government spending cuts and new tariff costs

Reports show that the number of job cuts in October hit the highest monthly number  since 2003, as high-profile companies including Amazon, Target and UPS announced reductions; last week, Verizon posted that staff numbers were to be cut by 13k, partly down to “changes in technology and in the economy”. Worryingly, the percentage of unemployed college graduates rose 0.5%, on the year, to 2.8%. Executives from companies such as McDonald’s, Coca-Cola and Chipotle have warned in recent weeks that lower-income households are tightening spending as rising prices put pressure on their budgets and confidence in the job market sinks. The indicators are that there will be no rate cuts announced next month, having already reduced rates twice, to a range of 3.75%-4%, its lowest level in three years.

The Office for National Statistics said that net migration to the UK slumped by over 66% on the year to June 2025, driven by falls in arrivals combined with a slight rise in the number of people leaving the country. In the year ending June 2023, net migration had peaked at 906k. There was a net outflow of both EU and UK citizens, in the twelve months to June 2025, with a majority of the UK citizens leaving being under the age of thirty-five.

October proved to be another dire month for the UK car industry, with Jaguar Land Rover still reeling from its September cyberattack. Following on from a previous month’s 27% production decline, October saw 59K cars rolling off UK assembly lines – 22% lower compared to a year earlier. Over the first ten months of the year, production has declined by some 10% to just 602k vehicles; a decade earlier, the figure was 1.7 million units. The motor industry has not been this small since the 1950s. With JLR production only slowly returning to normalcy last month, and reports that Stellantis was to close the historic Vauxhall van plant in Bedfordshire, the news could not be much worse; October commercial vehicle production was 75% lower at just 3k and 60% lower YTD at 42.2k.

Most analysts knew about the budget even before the irate Chancellor, (who had only found out seconds before rising to deliver her speech that the Office for Budgetary Responsibility had mistakenly published it earlier in the day). The Chancellor’s budget managed to eke out the following from the taxpayers:

  • personal tax threshold freeze                           GBP    8.0m                US$     10.6m
  • other tax measures                                                      5.8m                              7.7m
  • salary sacrifice/pension changes                                  4.7m                              6.2m
  • property/savings/dividend IT increase                         2.1m                              2.8m   
  • corporation tax changes                                               1.5m                              2.0m
  • EV mileage tax                                                             1.1m                              1.5m
  • gambling tax changes                                                   0.9m                              1.2m
  • mansion tax on US$ 2.65m plus houses                       0.4m                              0.5m 

A summary of its main contents include:

Personal Taxation

  • national Insurance (NI) and IT thresholds frozen for extra three years beyond 2028, dragging more than five million into higher bands over time
  • under 65s can only put US$ 15.90k, (GBP 12k), in ISAs Amount, with the rest of the US$ 26.50, (GBP 20k), annual allowance reserved for investments
  • a 2% rise to the ordinary and upper tax rates on dividend income and for all on savings income from April 2027
  • cap limiting households on universal or child tax credit from receiving payments for a third or subsequent child to be scrapped from April 
  •  legal minimum wage for over-21s to rise 4.1% in April to US$ 16.85 per hour, with the wage for eighteen to twenty-year-olds rising 8.5% to US$ 14.37
  • basic and new state pension payments to go up by 4.8% from April, under the “triple lock” policy
  • amount people can “sacrifice” from their salary – thereby avoiding NI on pension contributions – capped at US$ 2.68k, (GBP 2k) a year from 2029
  • Help to Save scheme, which offers people on universal credit a bonus on savings, extended and expanded beyond 2027

Housing and Property

  • properties in England – valued at US$ 2.68 million – to face a council tax charge of US$ 3.31k to US$ 9.94k, following a revaluation of homes in bands F, G and H
  • tax charged on rental income increased by 2.0% from April 2027

Transport

  • US$ 0.066, (5p) “temporary” cut in fuel duty on petrol and diesel extended again, until September 2026
  • a new mileage-based tax for EVs  and plug-in hybrid cars to be introduced from 2028
  • regulated rail fares for journeys in England frozen next year for the first time since 1996
  • premium cars to be excluded from the Motability scheme which allows people on certain disability benefits to lease vehicles more cheaply

Business Taxes

  • thresholds for NI paid by employers also frozen until 2031, increasing costs as wages rise over time
  • tax exemption for small packages from overseas retailers worth under US$ 178.84 scrapped from 2029, following complaints it hinders UK businesses
  • remote gaming duty, paid on online casino betting, to rise from 21 to 40% from April 2026
  • general betting duty, paid on sports betting, to rise from 15 to 25% online from April 2027 – with an exemption for horse racing

Household Bills

  • green levies taken off energy bills and paid through general taxation, in a move the Treasury says will save households US$ 116.48 a year
  • a further US$ 78.10 saving will be made by scrapping a customer-funded scheme helping low-income households insulate their homes

Drink & Tobacco

  •  tax on sugary drinks extended to pre-packaged milkshakes and lattes from 2028, reversing an exemption when the tax was introduced in 2018
  • tax on tobacco to increase by 2% above the higher RPI rate of inflation
  • tax on alcohol, including draught drinks, will also increase by the higher RPI measure in February

UK Growth, Inflation and Debt

  • Office for Budget Responsibility predicts the UK economy will grow by 1.5% this year, upgraded from a 1% forecast in March
  • the economy is now forecast to grow by 1.5% on average between 2026 and 2029, down from the previous estimate of 1.8%
  • inflation predicted to average 3.5% this year, before falling to 2.5% next year, and returning to the government’s 2% target in 2027

Other Measures

  • English regional mayors to be given powers to tax overnight stays in hotels and holiday lets,
  • training for apprentices under-25 will be made free for SMEs
  • any eighteen to twenty-one-year-olds on Universal Credit not earning or learning for more than eighteen months will be offered six-month paid work placements  and those not taking up the offer face being stripped of their benefits
  • planned tax on English universities’ tuition income from overseas students will be charged at US$ 1,224 per student per year, from August 2028
  • cost of a single NHS prescription in England frozen at US$ 13.10 for another year (they remain free in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland)
  • US$ 6.6 million will be dedicated to secondary school libraries and another US$ 24 million for improving and upgrading playgrounds across England
  • infected blood compensation will be made exempt from inheritance tax

There was a favourable market reaction to the budget, with sterling nudging up 0.3% against the euro and the greenback, to 1.14 and 1.32, as the London markets rose too – FTSE 100, by 0.85% and the FTSE 250 by 1.2%, with an uptick in bank shares celebrating the fact that the sector escaped the Chancellor’s clutches. JPMorgan Chase also released plans, announcing a new “landmark tower” in London, more than double the 1.3 million sq ft floor space of Britain’s tallest building, The Shard’. The bank confirmed that the building, to be built in Canary Wharf, will cover an area of three million sq ft. It was no coincidence that it only made the announcement after banks escaped any tax increases, following Wednesday’s budget. On the flip side, shares in William Hill owner Evoke were 18% lower, as Rachel Reeves imposed heavy new taxes on the industry. Although not the best person to keep to her promises, the outlook for UK borrowing costs depend not only on the inflation rate heading south but for the Chancellor not to carry out any more of her infamous U-turns; any contrary moves will inevitably push borrowing costs higher. The driver is that 25% of government borrowing is tied to the RPI measure of inflation. It is currently running at 4.3% – 0.7% higher than when Labour came to office. There was also welcome news in that the Office of Board Responsibility declared that the government will have US$ 28.70 billion (GBP 21.7 billion) of headroom in five years’ time – up from the US$ 13.09 billion sum seen previously and placed in harm’s way by those U-turns on spending cuts.

One of the biggest critics of the budget was the Institute for Fiscal Studies, with its director, Helen Miller, saying that US$ 5.28 billion of the cuts proposed to help Reeves meet her US$ 29.15 billion fiscal buffer depended on “spending plans that would require near historic spending restraint in an election year, and backloaded tax rises that almost entirely delay In the face of “lacklustre economic growth, stagnating living standards and a dizzying array of fiscal pressures”. She added that it felt like the budget “of a government trying to scrape through” and was “reminiscent of the fiscal fiction of recent years”.

The budget was some sort of success for Rachel Reeves in as much that it will keep her and her boss in employment for the time being. The only immediate casualty should be Richard Hughes, the Chairman of the OBR, as he must be held accountable for the early morning release of the watchdog’s budget report that had been “inadvertently made accessible” online. (The Chancellor only discovered what had happened, as she was seconds away from giving her budget to the House). However, some sort of bureaucratic cover up may consider otherwise. There is no doubt that the budget has bought time for the PM to cling on to power and was an instrument to placate many unhappy Labour MPs; it was also a budget that will hit the working people, particularly those on low and middle incomes, having to pay more tax. What has happened to the party that, when in opposition, promised to protect this segment of society? My quote of the day comes from John Roberts, the boss of AO World, who remarked that the cabinet “couldn’t run a bath let alone a business”.

In their usual manner, the dynamic duo continued to avoid the simple question whether any pledges in Labour’s manifesto had been broken. There is no escaping the fact that she won over many of her own MPs, by raising taxes by almost US$ 40.0 billion over five years, to pay for increased public spending especially on welfare; the tax burden will now hit a record high in 2031. In the aftermath, the PM continued to dodge answering the question by defending the budget’s tax hike and spending measures as necessary to protect schools, the NHS and people struggling with the cost of living. Whilst still not denying that any manifesto pledge had been broken, the Chancellor, on repeat mode, said “I am asking everyone to make a contribution, but I can keep that contribution as low as possible because I will make further reforms to our tax system today to make it fairer and to ensure the wealthiest contribute the most”. However, this will go down in history as an exercise giving Keir Starmer time to try and avert a leadership challenge but will also be known as the Budget of Broken Promises.

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Fortune Favours The Brave!

Fortune Favours The Brave!                                         21 November 2025

According to Firas Al Msaddi, CEO of fäm Properties, although there was a 10.4% jump in resale deals, to 53k, and a 20% hike in off-plan transactions, in the first nine months of the year, new residential launches posted a 7.3% decline to 120k. He noted that supply has tightened – largely to soaring land costs which “have jumped 200–300% since 2020” – as demand continues to head north; some areas have risen, at a much quicker rate, such as Dubai’s Al Wasl area, where there has been a sevenfold surge to US$ 954 per sq ft. Basic economics teach that such an imbalance leads to higher prices in asset values and rental income until supply catches up. For example, Jumeriah Village has up to 27k new residential units hitting the market whilst Jebel Ali has 29k units planned. It is easy to guess which location will be first to experience some sort of price correction in the future.  Al Msaddi is hopeful that rental prices, for now, will remain firm across most communities, adding that “we’re not seeing signs of a broad correction”, though selective adjustments are likely in saturated pockets.

A recent report from Property Finder focuses on the more affordable communities in Dubai where one-bedroom homes are still within reach, along with those offering newer buildings at more reasonable prices. It noted that although premium districts – including the likes of Palm Jumeirah and Downtown Dubai – continue with double-digit price hikes, there are several locations that remain attractive for those in the rental market. The following communities appeal to residents looking for new amenities, good layouts and easier access to major roads:

Jumeirah Village Circle         rents start at US$ 10.8k inc many one B/R units

Dubai South (DWC)              rents start at US$ 10.9k and averaging US$ 16.3k

Bur Dubai                               rents start at US$ 11.4k and averaging US$ 20.4k

Al Barsha                           rents start at US$ 13.1k and averaging US$ 20.4k                                           

There are other developing areas becoming increasingly popular with renters because of new buildings, better value and improving community facilities. These areas continue to grow as new schools, retail and transport options open:

Arjan                                       newer units with one B/R rents starting at US$ 13.6k while luxury units push the top tier much higher

Meydan                                  starting prices at US$ 14.2k and, averaging at US$ 21.8k, for people wanting central access and modern mid-priced buildings

Dubai Creek Harbour            starting prices at US$ 20.4k, and averaging at US$ 30.0k, for people wanting waterfront living at a lower price than Downtown or Marina areas

Sharafi Development’s latest luxury residential launch, ‘Marea Residences’, a G+2+12 project, is to be located on Dubai Islands. It will comprise one and two-bedroom residences and a limited collection of penthouses. Amenities include an infinity pool, private gardens, spa and wellness spaces, a fully equipped gym, and dedicated concierge services. The developer has appointed Metropolitan Premium Properties as the exclusive sales partner for ‘Marea Residences’. Prices start from US$ 708k for one-bedroom residences, with flexible 40/30/30 payment plans and post-handover benefits including two years of free property management and one year of free maintenance.

HRE Development has launched ‘Sakura Gardens’, a low-rise residential community in Falcon City of Wonders. In a shift to moving away from dense tower districts and towards quieter, green neighbourhoods in Dubailand, the project, inspired by Japanese culture, will be a mix of apartments and town homes designed around courtyards, shaded walkways and a central park. It spans 49k sq mt of land and 127.5k sq mt of built-up area, offering studio to three-bedroom units and town homes.  50% of the land is landscaping, space, with cars parked underground, making the community car free. The project is structured around six development pillars covering wellness, active living, social spaces, leisure amenities, nature-based design and sustainable building features.

Last Saturday, the world’s tallest tower hotel, at three hundred and seventy-seven mt, opened for business. Ciel Dubai Marina, Vignette Collection by IHG, with eighty-two floors. With one thousand and four rooms and suites, the hotel includes a sky-high infinity pool and multiple dining options. Opening prices start at US$ 286k.

On Sunday, HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid had welcomed delegates to the Dubai Airshow, ahead of its biggest edition to date. The Dubai Ruler also said that the country was proud to host the largest edition of the event, emphasising the nation’s status as a “key international hub and platform in the world of aviation.” He also noted that this year’s event would welcome delegations from one hundred and fifteen countries, alongside four hundred and ninety civilian and military representatives and an estimated 150k visitors. To top it all, more than two hundred state-of-the-art aircraft will be on display, spanning commercial fleets, private jets, military aircraft and next-generation unmanned systems. A dedicated space technology exhibition and conference will also run on the sidelines, reflecting the UAE’s growing role in the global space sector.

Monday saw the opening of the nineteenth Dubai Airshow 2025, at a time when the UAE is cementing its position as a global hub for aerospace innovation and ME airlines scaling up faster than ever, ordering widebody fleets to meet surging demand. The day started with Emirates ordering sixty-five Boeing 777 that will ensure that the carrier will become the world’s largest operator of this Boeing model.  It also ordered one hundred and thirty GE Aerospace’s GE9X engines that power the twin-engined planes. By the third day, a further eight Airbus A350-900 wide-body aircraft, valued at US$ 3.4 billion, went in the order book, boosting its A350-900 fleet to a total of seventy-three planes once all deliveries are completed; to date, it has taken delivery of thirteen A350 aircraft. Delivery of the latest batch, powered by Rolls-Royce Trent XWB84 engines, is expected during 2031. Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed noted that the Emirates A350’s entry into service in November last year had given the world’s largest long-haul airline “welcome additional capacity”, adding that the carrier will work closely with Airbus on the delivery of the remaining aircraft.

The Emirates Chairman alsoconfirmed plans for the carrier to invest up to US$ 12 billion in its future facilities at the new Al Maktoum International Airport. He added the funding will support the development of Emirates’ dedicated infrastructure at the expanded airport. He added that he sees no issues in financing the transition of all operations from DXB to the new location by 2032. The first phase of project will handle up to one hundred and fifty million passengers annually, with capacity ultimately rising to two hundred and sixty million.

flydubai has had a busy week announcing three major orders – one hundred and fifty Airbus A320neos, valued at US$ 24.0 billion, and seventy-five (firm) orders for Boeing 737 MAXs, (with options for 75 more), valued at $13 billion, and sixty GEnx-1B engines from GE Aerospace, (to power the first thirty widebody fleet of 30 Boeing 787-9s), which also includes spare engines and a long-term services agreement to support the carrier’s launch of long-haul operations. With the second order above, it can be seen that the airline is now adding long-haul destinations to its growing network. Another plus for the carrier, with a network of more than one hundred and thirty-five destinations across fifty-seven countries, is its introduction of a three-class configuration – including premium economy – on its Dreamliners.

With a record quarterly traffic in Q3, of 24.2 million, (1.9% higher on the year), Dubai International (DXB) has seen nine-month numbers, 2.1% higher, at 70.1 million; the twelve-month rolling traffic reached a record 93.8 million guests. Aircraft numbers came in at 115k in Q3 and 336k over the September YTD, 2.7% higher on the year. The average number of passengers per aircraft at the end of September stood at two hundred and thirteen. The top five country markets, accounting for 35% of the total, (24.5 million), were India (8.8 million guests), Saudi Arabia (5.5 million), UK (4.6 million), Pakistan (3.2 million), and the US (2.4 million). Among city destinations, London leads with 2.8 million guests, followed by Riyadh (2.3 million), Mumbai (1.8 million), Jeddah (1.7 million), and New Delhi (1.6 million). Five locations showed traveller increases from Dubai – Malaysia (687k guests), Vietnam (493k), the Czech Republic (341k), Uzbekistan (312k), and Denmark (239k).

DXB performed well when it came to the baggage handling in the first nine months, it dealt with 63.8 million bags, (6.2% higher on the year), whilst noting that 90% of bags reached guests, within 45 minutes of the aircraft arriving on the stand, and that mishandled baggage accuracy remained high at 99.9%. In addition, Q3 saw 99.6% of departees clearing passport control in under ten minutes, with 99.8% of arriving guests having to wait less than fifteen minutes. Security screening times stayed below five minutes for 99.7% of travellers.

The first crewed electric vertical take-off and landing aerial taxi flight, between Margham and Al Maktoum International Airport, occurred this week; the successful flight was conducted by Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority and Joby Aviation. The government agency also posted that the first aerial taxi vertiport near Dubai International Airport is 60% completed and that three others – in partnership with Emaar, Atlantis The Royal, and Wasl – were being developed in collaboration with Skyports Infrastructure, the UK-based specialist in advanced air mobility infrastructure. The Chairman of the RTA, Mattar Al Tayer, noted that they were steadily progressing towards the commercial launch of the aerial taxi service in 2026.

Commenting on Joby Aviation air taxi service, Ahmed Bahrozyan, CEO of the Public Transport Agency at the RTA, said that it aims to become a cost-effective alternative to traditional transport, with long-term fares expected to be comparable to ride-hailing services such as Uber or Careem. He noted that “people ask a lot about how much it will cost. We have not decided the price yet, but it will be cheaper than helicopters today in Dubai. The aim and the vision is for it to eventually, after a few years, be equivalent to almost an Uber or Careem trip in the city”. The service is part of Dubai’s broader strategy to integrate air taxis into the city’s public transport network, alongside buses, metro, and taxis.

It is reported that a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement with the Republic of Korea will be signed by the end of 2025. Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, Minister of Foreign Trade, was in attendance at the UAE-Korea business roundtable, which began yesterday in Abu Dhabi and focussed on strengthening cooperation across sectors including defence, energy, food and technology. The Minister added that the agreement will enhance and diversify bilateral trade and economic relations through substantial tariff elimination or reduction, the removal of non-tariff barriers, and support for trade in goods and services while facilitating investment flows between the two countries. Non-oil trade between the UAE and Korea rose by 11.0% to US$ 6.6 billion in 2024, with trade amounting to US$ 3.1 billion during H1.

During the year, it is reported that the UAE has advanced CEPA talks with EU, Japan, Nigeria and Mercosur; the five member states of the latter bloc, formed in 1991, are Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay, with Venezuela, having been suspended in 2016.

Abu Dhabi’s Crown Prince, Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, under the directives of President HH Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, has approved a US$ 50.0 billion investment in Canada under a framework that includes projects in AI, energy, logistics, mining sectors and other key industries. The agreement was signed at the sidelines of a visit by Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney to Abu Dhabi. Last year, foreign direct investment stock from the UAE in Canada stood at US$ 8.8 billion, while that country’s direct investment stock in the UAE totalled US$ 242 million in the same year.

The Ruler of Dubai has launched an international economic programme to enhance the country’s global position in foreign trade. He commented that ““we have launched an international economic programme to enhance the UAE’s global standing in foreign trade. The programme aims to attract the top one thousand global companies in international trade and launch a digital portal connecting thousands of Emirati exporting companies to foreign markets, thus providing greater opportunities for their products and new markets for their exports. This will strengthen the country’s position as a key hub in international trade routes”.

Visa’s Global Economic Insight reports that, on a global analysis, luxury spending has slowed in many global cities for the first time since the financial crisis. However, Dubai remains an outlier being the only major city where luxury spending has remained robust, enhancing its status as the most resilient luxury market worldwide. It has done so riding on the coattails of increasing number of international visitors, a fast-growing base of high-earning households as well as an influx of wealthy entrepreneurs.  The study notes that over 11% of Dubai residents made a luxury purchase each quarter and that about 37% of households earning more than US$ 150k a year; (this equates to a monthly income of just under AED 46k – which does seem on the high side). The report also notes that luxury spending is no longer the domain of the top 1% alone. The appeal now extends across affluent consumers in the top 5%, emerging affluent groups in the top 10% and even upper-middle-income households in the top 20%.

Following recent media reports on gold imports from Sudan, the UAE Ministry of Foreign Trade has issued a statement regarding the government’s policies and regulations for the gold sector in the country. The UAE is the second largest global gold trading centre and as such imports golf from many exporting countries. It posted that last year gold, to the value of US$ 186.0 billion, passed through the UAE, with Sudan accounting for only 1.06% of the total at US$ 1.97 billion. Over the past five years, it has put in place an effective regulatory framework to enhance the security, safety, and transparency of all gold transactions. Tight regulations are in place covering all aspects of the process including mandatory anti-money laundering and customer knowledge procedures, annual audits, and comprehensive application at all points of entry that fully comply with, and sometimes exceed, the regulatory procedures. The OECD guidelines for due diligence on responsible supply chains of metals from conflict-affected and high-risk areas are also followed, with the UAE also complying with the standards of leading global gold trading centres. The statement concluded by adding “based on the international gold community’s confidence in the UAE market, the effectiveness of the regulatory framework in place, and the strong commitment to maintaining the integrity of the gold trade, stakeholders in this sector will continue to work in partnership with global bodies to ensure that our enforcement and reporting practices meet the highest international standards”.

For the first time since its 1971 independence, the government has transferred its Eid Al Etihad public holiday so that residents can enjoy an extended four-day weekend for UAE National Day. This new law came into being at the beginning of 2025. Initially scheduled for 02 December and 03 December, (Tuesday and Wednesday), they have been officially moved to 01 December and 02 December, (Monday and Tuesday), so that a four-day continuous break can be taken, from Saturday to Tuesday.

Last Monday, Sonder announced that it was immediately winding down its global operations. The short-term rental company, to be found in major cities around the world, revealed plans to file for bankruptcy in the US that would involve liquidating its assets and beginning insolvency proceedings in other countries where it operates. In Dubai, the firm had offered apartments in popular areas such as Business Bay, Downtown Dubai, Dubai Marina and JBR. Now property owners and developers, who had used the US firm to manage their residential units, will have to find alternative platforms. Its sudden downfall was financial challenges related to its agreement with hotel operator Marriott International as a key factor behind the shutdown.

Starting next month, with a pilot scheme between Bahrain and the UAE, the Gulf Cooperation Council has approved a ‘one-stop’ (single-point) travel system. Once fully implemented across all six member states, flying across the Gulf will be as simple as travelling between cities in the same country. It will also align with the Schengen-style GCC tourist visa that goes live in 2026.

The system is a joint border/identity and security clearance process run by Gulf Interior Ministries that lets eligible passengers complete immigration, security, and related checks at one checkpoint before boarding. Initially, it seems that the system can only be used by the citizens of the six GCC nations – Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE – but not yet by expat residents.

The DFM opened the week, on Monday 17 November, on 6,025 points, and having shed seventy-five points (1.2%), the previous week, lost a further one hundred and fourteen points (1.9%), to close the week on 5,856 points, by 21 November 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.12 higher the previous fortnight, shed US$ 0.11 to close on US$ 3.65 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.75 US$ 6.98, US$ 2.58 and US$ 0.43 and closed on US$ 0.73, US$ 6.68, US$ 2.52 and US$ 0.42. On 21 November, trading was at two hundred and forty-nine million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and forty-three million dollars, compared to five hundred and sixty-seven million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and eighty-three million dollars on 21 November.

By mid-afternoon, 21 November 2025, Brent, US$ 0.17 (0.1%) higher the previous week, had shed US$ 1.85, (2.9%), to close on US$ 62.00. Gold, US$ 115 (2.9%) higher the previous week, shed US$ 48 (1.2%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,071 on 21 November. Silver was trading at US$ 51.65 – US$ 2.30 (4.5%) lower on the week.    

Hyundai Motor Group  has confirmed it will invest US$ 86.47 billion in South Korea over the next five years, after Seoul finalised a trade deal reducing US tariffs on South Korean vehicles, by 10% to 15%. Over the past five years, similar investments, totalling US$ 61.0 billion, were made by Hyundai Motor and its group affiliate Kia Corp. Days earlier, details were released on the trade deal, which includes South Korea’s pledge to invest US$ 350 billion in US strategic sectors. The carmaker’s chairman, Euisun Chung, commented that “we are well aware of concerns about exports declining and domestic production shrinking due to US tariffs of 15%”, and that “we will diversify export markets, increase exports from domestic factories and more than double auto exports through new electric-vehicle factories by 2030”.

Carl Cowling, the chief executive of WH Smith, has finally agreed to resign, with immediate effect, because of his role in the accounting failure earlier in the year that prompted the retailer to slash its profit forecasts. This follows an independent Deloitte review of its N American division showing that the company had recognised supplier income incorrectly, whilst noting that weaknesses in the composition of the finance team, along with insufficient systems, controls and review procedures. As a result, the expected group headline trading profit will reduce by some 55%, on the year, to between US$ 130.5 million – US$ 143.6 million. N American profit was forecast to fall to between US$ 6.5 million – US$ 19.5 million – down sharply on the US$ 71.8 million forecast before the accounting errors were first flagged. Little wonder that its share price has slumped by over 50% in the three months since August.

By 14 November, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves rose to US$ 19.74 billion as of 14th November, driven by an increase in the State Bank of Pakistan’s holdings, with SBP reserves rising by US$ 27 million to US$14.55 billion. Foreign net exchange reserves held by commercial banks stood at US$ 5.19 billion, marking a week-on-week decline of US$ 12.6 million.

Japan’s exports rose 3.6% to US$ 62.44 billion in October, marking the second straight month of gain and a record for the month. Imports edged higher – 0.7% to US$ 63.94 billion – also up for the second consecutive month. Meanwhile, Japan’s exports to the US fell 3.1% on the year to US$ 11.19 billion – lower for the seventh straight month. By region, exports to China rose 2.1% to US$ 69.95 billion, and imports inched up 0.8% to US$ 15.86 billion. Japan’s trade surplus with the rest of Asia, including China, swelled more than eightfold to US$ 1.34 billion, with exports increasing 4.2% to US$ 33.58 billion and imports up 0.6% to US$ 32.23 billion. A deficit of US$ 619 million was recorded, with the EU marking the twenty-first consecutive month in the red, as exports gained 9.2% to 5.80 billion, and imports declined 9.0% to US$ 6.39 billion.

For the sixth straight month, China’s November one-year loan prime rate, a market-based benchmark lending rate, remained at 3.0%. The over-five-year LPR, on which many lenders base their mortgage rates, also remained unchanged from the previous reading of 3.5%.

There has been a welcome agreement for the Swiss that sees Donald Trump’s tariffs being reduced from an eye-watering 39% to 15% that also includes a deal that the Swiss promise to invest US$ 200 billion in the US, a third of which will be carried out by the end of next year. Investments will include gold refining and pharmaceuticals, along with plans for plane manufacturer Pilatus to build a big US plant, and train-maker Stadler to expand its US operations in Utah. Swiss Economics Minister Guy Parmelin noted that significant damage had been done since the additional tariffs had started in August. Swiss industry leaders followed the Prime Minister to the White House – just like the Three Wise Men – bearing gifts including a Rolex gold watch and a specially engraved gold bar from Swiss-based gold refining company MKS. Part of the deal saw Switzerland agreeing to axe tariffs on a quota of US meat exports including beef, bison and poultry.

After five months of trade declining, driven by the Trump tariffs, India’s October goods exports to the US jumped 14.5% on the month – and this despite the country having been hit with 50% tariffs, (25% – ‘normal’ – and a further 25% for buying Russian oil) that started on 27 August. The improved data came as there was a trade off with Indian state-run oil firms agreeing to import more annual liquified petroleum gas from the US and Trump exempting many farm goods from reciprocal tariffs.  Last Monday, it was estimated that India’s shipments to the US had dropped nearly 28.4% between May and October, erasing more than US$ 2.5 billion in monthly export value. The first deal signed will see its state-run oil companies sourcing some 10% of the country’s annual LPG needs from the US. In 2024, even though October exports to the US moved higher, India’s overall goods exports fell 11.8% on the year, with 75% of its top twenty markets seeing a decline in bilateral trade.

Late last week, the Trump administration said import taxes on coffee and bananas will be lowered, as part of trade deals with four Latin American countries – Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador and Ecuador. As part of an initial framework, a reciprocal tariff of 10% will stay on goods from Guatemala, Argentina and El Salvador, as will a 15% tax on imports from Ecuador into the US. But the deals will exempt products that cannot be produced in the US “in sufficient quantities,” such as coffee. Days earlier, Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent both vowed to lower coffee prices, which have jumped about 20% in the US this year, with the latter also signalling relief on tariffs on bananas and other fruits. Strangely, the world’s biggest coffee producer, Brazil is not covered by the deal. Furthermore, the administration has settled a framework agreement with Argentina on expanding access to beef markets overseas, with a deal to improve reciprocal and bilateral market access conditions for trade in beef. The soaring price of beef has been such  a problem for the US President that he ordered the Justice Department to investigate the meat-packing companies over their possible role in driving up beef prices. The four agreements with Latin American trading partners are expected to be signed within the next two weeks. In recent weeks, trade agreements have been settled with the EU, South Korea, Japan, Cambodia, Thailand and Malaysia.

There was some good news on the inflation front, with the October headline rate dipping 0.2%, on the month, to 3.6% – still some way off the BoE’s longstanding 2.0% target – and an indicator that it may cut rates next month, after the budget; an early Christmas present, for many including mortgage holders, from the BoE on 18 December, could see rates 0.25% lower at 3.75%. The main drivers behind the drop were declining gas and energy prices, following changes in the Ofgem energy price cap. Meanwhile, core inflation – which does not include energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices – fell 0.1% to 3.4%, with services inflation 0.2% lower at 4.5%. Food and drink inflation has increased by 0.4%, on the month, to 4.9%, With trade union Unite noting that “today’s figures will bring no comfort to the millions of families having to choose between heating and eating this winter. Food prices are going through the roof, with many essentials now costing a quarter more than they did three years ago and still rising”. The least Rachel Reeves can do next week is to ensure that she does nothing to push the inflation rate any higher.

The Office for National Statistics posted that the government borrowed US$ 22.80 billion last month, bringing a total borrowing of US$ 153.04 billion since the start of the year; in October, interest payments were a fraction lower, month-on-month, at US$ 11.00 billion. As a percentage of GDP, total debt now stands at 94.5% and figures like this will not help the Chancellor sleep any better, as she looks set to tighten fiscal policy in the forthcoming budget. Other bad news came with retail sales contracting, (by 1.1%), for the first time in three months. Furthermore, the closely-watched GfK consumer confidence index also slipped by a larger-than-forecast two points to minus nineteen. To make matters worse, every sub-category – covering sentiment towards savings, the economy and personal finances – fell amid fears of tax increases in next week’s budget.  

The dithering Chancellor surprised the market with yet another of her now-infamous U-turns when she announced that, after weeks of speculation, she would not raise income tax in her much-anticipated budget next Wednesday, 26 November. It is reported that she had been planning a two pence hike in income tax, allied with a twopence cut in National Insurance in a bid to fill the US$ 39.6 billion (GBP 30 billion) ‘black hole’ in the public finances. The idea, espoused by the Resolution Foundation think tank, would have raised several billion pounds, mainly from non-wage income such as landlords and savings. However, it seems that the Office for Budget Responsibility has assessed that because of the strength of wages and tax receipts in the coming years was greater than first thought, this could result in the black hole declining by a third, (US$ 13.2 billion),  to US$ 26.4 billion (Although it was evident that Rachel Reeves was suggesting that tax rates would have to move higher, Health Secretary Wes Streeting appeared to confirm the shift away from anything that could be seen to break election promises and negate manifesto pledges).

The bond markets were not amused and showed their displeasure, as indicated by a spike of some 0.13 points, to 4.57%, in ten-year gilts, thus pushing up the effective government borrowing costs by a potential US$ 131 million to its annual debt servicing costs; sterling weakened against major currencies. It also showed concern that other tax raising schemes – such as entrepreneurs leaving the UK and extra tax on partnerships – had been floated but pulled for fear of upsetting some stakeholder or other and simultaneously upsetting the markets who had been fooled by the Chancellor’s toing and froing. The jitters are back whilst the Chancellor will announce an extension in the US$ 52.50 billion a year freeze on tax thresholds – which would raise US$ 10.5 billion – as millions of taxpayers, with salary increases ensuring them a place in the higher tax brackets. It seems that the Prime Minister is more concerned about his reputation among his MPs rather than restoring consumer confidence in the public finances.

Even though an earlier Federal Reserve report seemed to indicate that there may not be a rate cut next month and that there had been concern of a potential AI bubble may soon burst, Asian markets rallied yesterday after Nvidia released operating figures. There had been continuous reports that stock in the global tech sector had been overcooked, and that a major correction was on the cards. However, following the release of its Q3 October results – which saw a 62% surge in sales to US$ 57 billion, driven by demand for its chips used in AI data centres which climbed by 66% to US$ 51 billion – bubble fears were somewhat allayed. Q4 sales forecasts in the range of US$ 65 billion also topped estimates, pushing Nvidia shares up by almost 4.0%. The chief executive, Jensen Huang, of the bellwether stock for the AI sector, commented that “there’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our vantage point, we see something very different”, adding that sales of its AI Blackwell systems were “off the charts” and that “cloud GPUs are sold out”. Before Nvidia figures came out, the concern that AI stocks were overvalued were manifested by four consecutive daily drops in the S&P 500 index; there were genuine fears that there could have been another similar dotcom boom/bust of the late 1990s coming into play. However, shares in the firm — which last month became the world’s first US$ 5 trillion stock — rose more than 5%, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also moving north, as did the Asian bourses. However, despite all the upbeat news this week, this blog is of the opinion that an adjustment is all but inevitable in the near future. With the billions of dollars flooding into the nascent AI sector, returns for investors will take time to materialise, with funds being used to enhance the infrastructure needed to meet future demand. Furthermore, the money pouring into AI will take away funding from other sectors of the economy resulting in cash flow problems.

Investors in cryptocurrencies, ETFs and other related securities will be having sleepless nights, as Bitcoin sunk to US$ 80.76k by midday today, having topped US$ 124.31k on 07 October – a 35% slump in just six weeks. Some analysts see more of the same, as fear has entered the market, with the crypto Fear and Greed Index, ranging from zero to one hundred, measuring the prevailing sentiment in the sector, scores the current situation at eleven, indicating ‘extreme fear’. This is the lowest it has ever been and a long way off the twelve-month high of eighty-eight – ‘extreme greed’ – posted last November. To guess what will happen, history may help. Since 2017, Bitcoin has recorded declines of at least 25% on more than ten occasions, six drops of more than 50% and three retreats of more than 75%. This would indicate that it will recover but the problem is how low will it fall before that occurs. One thing is almost certain – at US$ 80k, Bitcoin will inevitably bounce back by at least 50% over the next six months. In times of uncertainty and volatility, Fortune Favours The Brave!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Captain Of A Shipwreck!

Captain Of A Shipwreck!                                                14 November 2025

Latest data from Property Finder shows that YTD sales have reached 177.52k, valued at US$ 151.20 billion, of which the primary sector has seen its share of the market rise to 74%, (value) and 63%, (volume). In the first ten months of 2025, the sector recorded an 18.0% hike to 103.94k transactions, with the value of sales up 33%. However, there was an October 8.0% decline in value and a 6.0% dip in volume on the year, but this may prove to have been a blip and business should return to “normal” this month. The secondary market also held firm, recording U$ 7.06 billion in value, (up 2.0%) across 7.72k transactions, (1.0% higher) in October.

The mid-income segment is seen to be the dominant player in the mortgage market which garnered US$ 4.35 billion, in 4.00k deals; total value dipped 0.1%, whilst volumes rose 10.0% – a sure sign that more buyers are entering the market at lower prices. The average mortgage value per unit fell 16.0% on the year, reaching US$ 1.14 million. Year-to-date mortgage transactions totalled US$ 40.35 billion, from 35.55k deals, with volumes up 19.0%, and average deal values down 10.0%. In the mortgage market, the monthly income group, earning US$ 5.45k -US$ 9.90k, accounts for nearly 30% of all mortgage requests; 81% of buyers seek homes to live in, while 16 per cent are investors, with 88% opting for apartments. In the US$ 21.k plus monthly income segment, around 18% buy on mortgages, focusing mainly on villas (32%) and premium apartments (63%). Property Finder surmised that “the move towards smaller apartments is down to more people looking for cost-effective ways to invest in property or to counter rent hikes. While there will always be a market for villas and high-end apartments among affluent buyers, more residents are seeing the practical and financial benefits of apartment living”.

Still on target for a Q4 2026 handover, this week, DAMAC Properties topped out its US$ 272.5 million ultra-luxury residential property, Cavalli Tower – the world’s first tower with interiors designed by the iconic Italian fashion house, Roberto Cavalli. Located beside the beach in Dubai Marina, with seventy-one storeys, it will feature four hundred and thirty-six units. Its designer was award-winning architect Shaun Killa, who also worked on the Dubai’s Museum of the Future. The development has a range of one- to five-bedroom apartments, duplexes and five‑bedroom penthouses and will have private sky pools, sky gardens, and an infinity pool overlooking the Arabian Gulf. It also has a Malibu Bay-inspired beach pool and a four-storey-high lobby.

In 2019, DAMAC Group acquired ‘Roberto Cavalli’ reinforcing the developer’s commitment to integrating global fashion heritage into real estate. Cavalli Tower was launched in 2021, and the partnership with the Italian company has also been involved in other projects – DAMAC Bay 1 and 2 by Cavalli, and Cavalli Estates in DAMAC Hills.

The latest entrant into the Dubai property market is Casa Vista Development, which has broken ground on its US$ 95 million debut luxury waterfront project, Aquora, at Dubai Islands; it will feature one hundred and five spacious coastal residences and is slated for completion by Q1 2028. Located on the mixed-use Island A, the development will offer fifty-four one-beds, thirty-six two-beds, and fifteen three-beds in simplex and duplex formats, with prices starting from US$ 518k. It also includes a basement and an expansive rooftop that will feature a twenty-two mt infinity pool, a dog park, and an open-air cinema, along with six waterfront retail outlets. Other amenities on the ground floor will include a Grand Lobby, Business Lounge, Open Courtyard, and prayer rooms, while the first floor will house a Clubhouse, adult and children’s swimming pools, cabanas, a Jacuzzi, a sauna, indoor and outdoor yoga areas, and a gym fully equipped with Technogym equipment.

The latest entrant, ex Expo City Dubai, is ‘Expo Valley Views’, with eight low-rise buildings housing one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments; it is located within the wider Expo Valley district.  The project, set amid landscaped green spaces and water features, has been designed as a walkable neighbourhood, with extensive shading and social spaces. Amenities will include horse trails, yoga decks, fitness studios, multiple pools, children’s play areas and cafés. The project aligns with Expo City’s sustainability and decarbonisation strategy, supporting the UAE’s Net Zero 2050 Strategy, National Investment Strategy 2031, and the Dubai Economic Agenda (D33).

With Solcasa Residence in the Meydan district its primary current project, Mashriq Real Estate Development, a Dubai-based property company, has launched, in the ever-popular Jumeirah Village Circle, ‘Floarea Skies’; it will have forty-two studios, one hundred and thirty-four one-beds and sixteen two-beds.  A standard studio apartment size will be three hundred and ninety-eight sq ft, with a price range starting at US$ 188k, one-beds will come in four types from seven hundred and seventeen to eight hundred and thirty-six sq ft,  with prices from US$ 291k and two beds will range from 1.10k to 117k sq ft in three types, with prices from US$ 408k. Amenities will include a rooftop infinity pool, kids’ organic pool, Zen garden, floating meditation deck, mini golf, splash pad, poolside Baja shelves, a reading corner, board game area, sunken lounge, a BBQ zone and a fully equipped gymnasium. The developer, with past experience in Saudi Arabia, Singapore and Indonesia, is considering a further 1.2k units over the next two years, including ‘Floarea Vista’ in Discovery Gardens, ‘Floarea Grande’ in Arjan, and ‘Floarea Oasis’ at Dubai Land Residential Complex. It has already secured land for other projects on the drawing board – Floarea Breeze in Dubai Islands, Meydan District-11 and Dubai Production City.

‘IL VENTO’ is an interesting launch this week because Kora Properties is the real estate arm of AppCorp Holding, the parent company of the Apparel Group – the Dubai-based multinational conglomerate, with revenue in the region of US$ 3.5 billion. The residential project, in Dubai Maritime City, comprises a forty-storey tower, with three hundred and thirty apartments, being one hundred and eighty-two one -bedroom, ninety-three two bedroom units, fifty-one three-bedroom apartments and four penthouses hosting three bedrooms that come with added amenities, including a private swimming pool. The tower will feature three basement levels, a ground-floor lobby, and five podium-level parking floors. There will be some forty facilities and amenities, including a sky pool, indoor and outdoor swimming pools, a family entertainment/events hall, a kids’ play area, a gym, and a yoga area. The company has announced a payment plan in which buyers can pay 40% during construction and 60% on handover, with mortgage financing available. Nilesh Ved, Chairman of AppCorp Holding and Kora Properties, said the company aims to extend its legacy into real estate by creating spaces that combine architecture and community living.

A ForwardKeys report points to the fact that Dubai is likely to end up the year, third in a list of top global destinations, along with London and Tokyo. The study, based on forward bookings, indicates a 6.0% increase in international arrivals to Dubai compared with the same period last year, enhancing the city’s position as a global tourism, leisure, and business hub. It expects Dubai to account for 2.2% of all international tourist arrivals during Q4 – a percentage that grows every year. It noted that India and the UK remain the emirate’s top source market, with China and Germany posting annual increases of 34% and 9%. Leisure travellers account for the largest segment of incoming visitors, with long-stay bookings on the rise, but short stays (one – five days), continue to dominate with 46% of the total; long stays, (over fourteen days) are expected to show a 9% hike. In the first seven months of 2025, Dubai welcomed some 11.17 million visitors – 5.2% higher on the year. There are indicators that hotels and resorts across Dubai are seeing record booking levels, with some reporting up to a 30% increase in confirmed reservations. 

Driven by an increased focus on diversification, Dubai’s H1 economy expanded by an impressive 4.4%, with a GDP of US$ 65.6 billion, as Q2 growth topped 4.7% to US$ 33.2 billion. The emirate’s  Crown Prince, Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, noted that “Dubai continues to advance a future-focused model of innovation, diversification and global competitiveness”, and that “these results reflect the combined efforts of the public and private sectors and the dedication of Dubai’s wider team”, bringing the emirate “closer to achieving the goals of the Dubai Economic Agenda D33″. Its D33 agenda also aims to raise the contribution of foreign direct investment to Dubai’s economy from an average of US$ 8.72 billion annually, in the past decade, to an average of US$ 16.35 billion in the next decade to reach a total of US$ 177.11 billion. Growth in H1, on an annual basis, was noted in most sectors of the economy:

real estate                             7.0% higher               US$ 5.40 billion        8.2% of GDP

human health/social work 20% higher                US$ 899 million        1.4% of GDP

construction                         8.5% higher               US$ 4.36 billion        6.7% of GDP

financial/insurance             6.7% higher               US$ 8.23 billion        12.5% of GDP

information/comm             5.3% higher               US$ 2.78 billion        4.5% of GDP

accommodation/food         4.9% higher               US$ 2.37 billion        3.6% of GDP

At the latest meeting of The Executive Council of Dubai, Sheikh Hamdan  also issued guidance by approving a raft of policies, to make the emirate one of the world’s most beautiful, most liveable, and healthiest cities. The projects include:

The Public Parks and Greenery Strategy   

over eight hundred projects, including three hundred and ten new parks, the improvement of three hundred and twenty-two existing parks, one hundred and twenty new open spaces, over seventy roads’ rights-of-way, and fourteen technological projects. It aims to boost annual park visits in Dubai to ninety-five million by 2040 and triple the number of trees, provide one hundred and eighty-seven sq km of green areas — eleven sq mt per person — and use 100% recycled water for irrigation

The Aviation Talent 33 initiative                                                                                           the council also approved the Aviation Talent 33 initiative which aims to reinforce Dubai’s position as the aviation capital of the world. The initiative will ensure Dubai has the readiness, skills, and technological leadership to deliver world-class operations at Dubai’s airports, including Al Maktoum International Airport. Key targets include Emiratisation in leadership and operational roles, providing over 15k job opportunities, more than four thousand training and skills development opportunities, and forging over thirty strategic partnerships with aviation companies as part of the Aviation Talent 33 network

The policy to Expand/Promote Affordable Schools                                                              to support Dubai’s aspirations to rank among the world’s top ten cities for education quality, in line with the Dubai Education Strategy 2033. The policy aims to attract around sixty new affordable schools by 2033, adding approximately 120k new seats. It also includes incentives to reduce government fees to encourage investors to establish new affordable private schools, including reduced land leasing costs

Sports Sector Strategic Plan 2033                                                                               developed by the Dubai Sports Council, which aims to make Dubai the world’s leading sports hub. It focuses on attracting international events, supporting sports clubs, developing talent, and encouraging public participation in sports. The plan comprises nineteen programmes and seventy-five initiatives across seventeen priority sports, serving all of society but especially youth and people of determination

Urban greening and parks                                                                                                      the project also promotes healthy lifestyles, aiming for 80 per cent of Dubai’s residents to live within a five-minute walk of their neighbourhood park and within a ten-minute cycle ride of a district park

The Establishment of the Financial Restructuring and Insolvency Court Project

will specialise in financial reorganisation and bankruptcy applications and cases. The project aims to attract investment, assist traders and companies in settling their debts, avoid asset liquidation, and protect creditor rights through restructuring, debt repayment, and business continuity without compromising fairness. It aims to help make Dubai one of the world’s top three financial centres. This initiative also contributes to the broader vision to double Dubai’s economy, attract US$ 177.11 billion in investment, and add 65k Emiratis to the private sector

Early disease detection                                                                                                       aiming to help place Dubai among the top ten cities for healthy life expectancy, the council approved the project to expand Early Detection Healthcare Services for Emirati citizens. This also aims to reduce chronic diseases that currently account for 52% of deaths. The project seeks to increase early detection for colon cancer by 40%, increase vaccination services by 50%, achieve over 90% patient satisfaction with early detection services, and reduce appointment waiting times for early detection to seven days or under

Last week, the Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Suhail Al Mazrouei, noted that the federal government is examining the construction of a fourth federal highway, stretching 120 km with twelve lanes and capacity for up to 360k daily trips, as part of a US$ 43.62 billion national roads and transport investment programme. It is expected that the package will be implemented within five years. In the case of a favourable Cabinet response, it would become the nation’s fourth pan-emirate highway joining three existing major federal routes – the E11 (Al Ittihad), E311 (Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed) and E611 (Emirates Road) – that together serve more than 850k vehicles in their daily commute commuting between Dubai and the Northern Emirates.

The new highway will sit alongside major upgrades to those three federal highways, which are being widened to ease congestion and support the UAE’s population and economic growth. Al Mazrouei said the federal road network’s efficiency is targeted to rise by 73% over the next five years, with lanes increasing from ninetten to thirty-thee in each direction under the comprehensive expansion plan which will see:

  • Etihad Road                                             six extra lanes      increasing capacity by 60%.
  • Emirates Road                                         ten extra lanes     raising capacity by 65%                                                                                                  reducing travel time by 45%
  • Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Rd   ten extra lanes   raising capacity 45%

Interestingly, last year a study carried out by Federal National Council Member, Dr Adnan Hamad Al Hammadi Traffic, noted that pressure on federal routes connecting Dubai with the Northern Emirates had long been a concern. It found that these highways face “severe traffic jams, especially during peak hours,” saying they “drain twenty hours per week, eighty hours per month, and 1k hours annually from employees’ time”. It is patently evident that the addition of more roads will ease commuter bottlenecks.

The UAE government has conducted its first national transaction using the Digital Dirham, with the transaction performed by the Ministry of Finance and the Dubai Department of Finance, working closely with the Central Bank of the UAE. It is the first step on the road to embed next-generation financial technology across the public and private sectors. The first pilot transaction was executed via the mBridge platform, the multi-central bank digital currency settlement system developed by the central bank. The Digital Dirham project was launched to speed up the adoption of digital payments and to bolster Dubai’s reputation as a global financial innovation hub. The bank’s chairman, Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, said the Digital Dirham is a “strategic pillar” in the country’s aim to establish an integrated digital economy.

Despite all the troubling global economic news, with many G20 counties hampered by sticky inflation, UAE has gone against the trend. According to the International Monetary Fund’s latest Regional Economic Outlook, the UAE’s inflation is projected to average 1.6% this year, slightly down 0.1% on the year; it is expected to move higher to 2.0% in 2026. According to Kamco Invest’s latest GCC Inflation Update, Dubai’s September consumer price index rose 0.1%, on the month, to 2.9%, year-on-year, up from 2.4% in August. The Housing, Water, Electricity, and Gas category – Dubai’s most heavily weighted CPI component – was the primary driver, surging 5.8% year-on-year, with other sectors driving inflation north including Recreation and Culture, which rebounded sharply, and modest increases in Education and Food & Beverages. However, the Transport group continued its downward trend, helping to moderate overall inflation. There could be further reductions in the inflation rate assisted by lower energy prices and tighter fiscal policies but all could be derailed if there were to be a major global economic crisis.

YTD to September, Dubai’s digital economy has seen five hundred and eighty-two start-ups – an indicator that the emirate is fast becoming a global hub for tech-driven entrepreneurship. Dubai Chamber of Digital Economy posts that international companies now dominate the Dubai startup scene, accounting for 70% of the new ventures. Omar Sultan Al Olama, Minister of State for Artificial Intelligence, Digital Economy, and Remote Work Applications, stated “we are building an advanced business environment defined by agility, readiness, and innovation to keep pace with rapid technological change, while enabling digital companies to grow and expand from Dubai into global markets”. AI companies made up 21% of all new digital ventures, ahead of HealthTech, Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), and FinTech, which collectively represented 17%. Dubai further benefits from its connectivity, market access, and pro-business environment.

Under new international tax transparency rules, the UAE will begin sharing financial information on digital assets and central bank digital currencies with other countries from 2028. The Ministry of Finance confirmed the move and that it aligns with global efforts led by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development to strengthen oversight of digital finance and expand tax transparency to new asset classes. Taking effect on 01 January 2027, the Common Reporting Standard 2.0 will result in an upgrade of the global framework for the Automatic Exchange of Information to cover electronic money, central bank digital currencies, and certain crypto asset activities. The Ministry added that the adoption of CRS 2.0 is a demonstration of its ongoing commitment to international cooperation and transparency. Under the revised framework, financial institutions and service providers handling crypto assets will be required to apply enhanced due diligence, auditing, and reporting standards. This ensures that the growth of the digital asset sector and financial innovation does not affect global tax transparency.

The importance of family businesses has been brought home with data from the Ministry of Economy and Tourism affirming that family businesses contribute around 60% of the UAE’s GDP, more than 80% of employment, and represent nearly 90% of all private-sector companies in the country. With figures like that, it is obvious that they will be a huge contributor to supporting the ‘We the UAE 2031’ vision, to double the national GDP to US$ 817.4 billion, (AED3 trillion). There is no doubt that the government has played its part by introducing proactive legislation to support the growth and long-term prosperity of family businesses. Indeed, Federal Decree-Law No. 37 of 2022 on Family Businesses became the world’s first comprehensive legislation dedicated to this vital sector. The Ministry has also issued four ministerial resolutions that established the Unified Family Business Register, introduced the Family Charter framework, set out procedures for share buybacks by family-owned companies, and enabled the issuance of multiple share categories.

In its nine-month financial figures, reflecting strong demand and project momentum, Emaar Properties returned impressive results – all positive,  with revenue, up 39% to US$ 9.0 billion, EBITDA, 32.0% higher at US$ 4.5 billion and net profit before tax, 35% higher at US$ 4.5 billion. The developer witnessed property sales, 22% to the good, at US$ 16.6 billion and had a company revenue backlog of US$ 41.0 billion – almost 50% higher, compared to the same nine-month figure in 2024; its UAE development back log stood at US$ 35.4 billion, with country property sales being 10% higher at US$ 14.4 billion. Its country-wide projects portfolio includes Dubai Hills Estate, The Oasis, Rashid Yachts & Marina, Dubai Creek Harbour, and The Valley. It also announced plans for a US$ 27.8 billion ultra-luxury community adjacent to Dubai Hills Estate, featuring “Dubai Mansions” for high-end buyers. (Further details can be found in last week’s blog ‘One Step Too Far’, 07 November 2025).

There were revenue increases noted in its two subsidiaries. Shopping malls and retail posted US$ 1.3 billion, in revenue, up 12%, and hospitality and leisure, US$ 0.8 billion, up 15%, with hotel occupancy averaging 72%. Recurring revenue portfolio, totalling US$ 2.1 billion, contributed 35% of total EBITDA. Emaar continues to maintain a robust land bank of 660 million sq ft globally, including 370 million sq ft in the UAE, which will generate future revenue streams. During the period, it saw improved credit ratings – BBB+ (S&P Global) and Baa1 (Moody’s) – both with stable outlooks.

There was positive news all over the Dubai Investments’ financials, including a 59% surge in profit before tax, for the nine months to 30 September and profit before tax of US$ 297 million; Q3 profit more than doubled in the year to US$ 150 million, driven by rising rental income across the Group’s property portfolio and continued momentum in the manufacturing segment. Total assets rose 7.1% to US$ 6.42 billion, with equity attributable to shareholders climbing to US$ 3.92 billion.

One of its main units remains real estate, with ongoing construction on Violet Tower in Jumeirah Village Circle, the residential tower and hotel at Danah Bay on Al Marjan Island and Asayel Avenue at Mirdif Hills. When it comes to manufacturing, Emirates Float Glass has begun work on its second float line at KEZAD, that will double production capacity and will introduce Ultra Clear low-iron glass. Al Mal Capital REIT has added a new healthcare investment through the acquisition of Dubai’s NMC Royal Hospital. Away from Dubai, the Group has completed works for Phase 1 of DIP Angola.

The release of Salik Company PJSC’s financial figures, for the nine months to 30 September, was full of impressive and positive returns, with total revenue 38.6% higher at US$ 619 million, pre-tax profit surging 39.0% to US$ 341 million, net profit up 38.7% to US$ 322 million, and EBITDA rising 42.0% to US$ 431 million, (with a 69.6% margin). Dubai’s exclusive toll gate operator attributed its strong results to the introduction of two new toll gates in November 2024, the successful rollout of variable pricing earlier this year, and the continued positive macroeconomic environment in Dubai. Over the nine months, total chargeable trips reached 470.5 million, of which 152.2 million were recorded in Q3 2025. Salik’s chairman, Mattar Al Tayer, noted that “Salik’s performance over the first nine months of 2025 reflects the strong economic momentum in Dubai and the emirate’s attractive investment environment, which has positioned it as a global model for business sustainability and the competitiveness of key sectors”. He emphasised that Salik continues to benefit from Dubai’s solid economic fundamentals, including steady population growth, a strong tourism sector, buoyant real estate activity, and significant, well-planned infrastructure investment. He reaffirmed Salik’s commitment to advancing its digital infrastructure and investing in smart mobility solutions, in line with Dubai’s ambition to become a global leader in smart and sustainable transport.

Dubai Taxi Company posted a 28% Q3 increase in net profit at US$ 21 million, attributable to higher trip volumes, expanding fleet capacity, improved operational efficiency and steady demand across its mobility segments. Quarterly revenue and EBITDA were 15% higher at US$ 159 million and up 23% to US$ 41 million, with its margin 2% higher at 26%.  DTC ended the quarter with US$ 19 million in cash and a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.5 times. It distributed a US$ 44 million H1 dividend in August, equal to US$ 0.0175 per share, in line with its policy of returning at least 85% of annual net profit. An analysis of the different revenue streams sees:

  • taxis                                  up 12%           to US$ 138 million
  • limousines                         up1%              to US$ 8 million
  • buses                                 up 90%           to US$ 8 million
  • delivery bikes                    up 62%           to US$ 5 million

Over the period, DTC completed 13.1 million trips – up 7% driven by fleet additions and stronger visitor inflows; its total operational fleet, rising 19% on the year, stood at 10.5k vehicles, with the operational taxi fleet topping 6.22k, including four hundred and one fully EVs. The company employs approximately 17k taxi drivers and maintains a ratio of 2.5 drivers per vehicle. Its ongoing partnership with Bolt continues to grow, with more than 652k downloads and over 27k registered cars been recorded since its launch. During the quarter, DTC entered a strategic alliance with Kabi, bringing together 6.22k DTC taxis and 3.68k Kabi vehicles into the Bolt and Zed e-hailing platforms. The combined fleet represents 72% of Dubai’s taxi market and supports the city’s target of shifting 80% of taxi trips to e-hailing.

The DFM opened the week, on Monday 10 November, on 6,025 points, and having gained one hundred and thirty points (2.9%), the previous week, shed seventy-five points (1.2%), to close the week on 5,950 points, by 14 November 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.07 higher the previous week, gained US$ 0.05 to close on US$ 3.76 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.76 US$ 7.57, US$ 2.58 and US$ 0.43 and closed on US$ 0.75, US$ 6.98, US$ 2.58 and US$ 0.43. On 14 November, trading was at five hundred and sixty-seven million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and eighty-three million dollars, compared to three hundred and fifty-one million shares, with a value of US$ two hundred and thirty-two million dollars on 14 November.

By mid-afternoon, 14 November 2025, Brent, US$ 1.02 (1.6%) lower the previous week, had gained US$ 0.17, (0.1%), to close on US$ 63.85. Gold, US$ 7 (0.1%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 115 (2.9%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,119 on 14 November. Silver was trading at US$ 51.65 – US$ 3.67 (7.5%) higher on the week.     

Sportico’s latest team valuations place Ferrari in pole position of the ten franchises, (with a total cumulative balance of US$ 34.2 billion) in Formula 1, with US$ 6.4 billion. The latest figures show that the average F1 franchise value, (US$ 3.42 billion) is now higher than the average value of a Major League Baseball club’s US$ 2.82 billion but is still behind the NFL and NBA in average franchise value. After Ferrari, Mercedes came in second with a US$ 5.88 billion valuation, followed by McLaren (US$ 4.73 billion) and Red Bull Racing (US$ 4.32 billion). The least valuable team, Haas, was still worth US$ 1.68 billion, more than Sportico‘s valuation of the Milwaukee Brewers ($1.63 billion).

A Chinese woman Zhimin Qian, was in a London court this week to face charges that she had orchestrated a Ponzi scheme which defrauded around 128k people in China between 2014 and 2017, raising billions of dollars, much of which was converted to Bitcoin. Known as the “goddess of wealth”, she was arrested after UK authorities seized 61k Bitcoins, worth over US$ 6 billion at current rates, believed to be a record in cryptocurrency-related crime. She has pleaded guilty to acquiring and possessing criminal property in September, even though she had evaded UK authorities for the previous six years, having had arouse suspicions in 2018 when trying to buy a London home with Bitcoin.  She has been sentenced to over eleven years.

Following launching ‘Five Guys Europe, in the UK, twelve years ago, reports show that Sir Charles Dunstone is considering acquiring a big stake in the casual dining brand. His investment vehicle, Freston Ventures has retained investment bankers at Goldman Sachs to proceed further, and at a time when sources indicated that a stake of up to 50% in Five Guys Europe was likely to be made available to bidders. It is estimated that the entire burger chain, with a payroll of some 6k and one hundred and eighty stores in the UK, could be valued at US$ 790 million. It is understood that the English knight has already done a deal, to pay a royalty fee to the US brand-owner for its future use, with the 1986 original founders, the Murrell family. ‘Five Guys’ employs 9k people in Europe and has over two thousand stores in twenty-six countries. In the current economic climate, the hospitality and retail industries is under the cosh after the increase in employers’ national insurance payments and the lifting of the minimum wage took effect last April, with probable more bad news in the upcoming Reeves’ budget – and the possibility of mass job cuts and business collapses So far this year, Cote and TGI Fridays have had new owners this year, with a string of casual dining businesses have fallen into administration, including, most recently, ‘Pizza Hut’.

Japan’s NSK is considering leaving the UK – and its factories in County Durham – because it is facing union opposition for plans to close two of its unprofitable units. The factories, which produce bearings for the automotive industry, employ up to four hundred.

Latest data from Yonhap News Agency indicates that the Republic of Korea has shown signs of slight improvement, driven by a rebound in consumer spending; although the contraction in construction investment and a slowdown in export growth, the economy appears to be improving slightly, led by consumption.  Last month, its exports, on the year, were 3.6% higher at US$ 59.57 billion – the fifth successive month of growth. The report highlighted that semiconductor exports, a key driver of the nation’s outbound shipments, remained strong, with a caveat that it could weaken due to the impact of US tariff measures. Although semiconductor exports surged 25.4% to $15.73 billion – the highest figure ever recorded for October – exports of most other goods declined, attributable to fewer working days caused by the extended Chuseok holiday.

Although lower the previous month, China’s October’s consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, compared to 0.1% a month earlier. The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, continued to rise last month – its sixth consecutive monthly increase, and reaching its highest level since March 2024. The main rebound factors were the government’s package of fiscal and monetary stimulus to boost domestic consumption, as well as the seasonal holiday effect during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays in October. Urban prices climbed by 0.3%, year-on-year, while rural prices fell by 0.2%. China’s total goods imports and exports in yuan-denominated terms rose to US$ 5.24 trillion YTD – a 3.6% rise, but 0.4% lower than the September return. In October alone, China’s goods imports and exports edged up 0.1% on the year.

News out later in the week meant more bad reading for the embattled Chancellor, with Q3 growth of just 0.1% – its worst performance over the past two years, and well below market estimates; month on month, growth fell by 0.1% in September. The economy had expanded 0.7% and 0.3% in Q1 and Q2 respectively but has hit the buffers in Q3. There were marginally dominant positive results seen in the service sector, (0.2%) and construction (0.1%); on the flip side, the stand-out was output in production, which includes manufacturing, contracting by 0.5%, not helped by a marked decline in MV production, (made worse by the JLR cyber-attack which cost the carmaker some US$ 2.50 billion in September), and a further decline in the pharmaceutical industry. In the services sector, business rental/leasing, live events and retail performed well, but these positives were offset by falls in R&D and hair and beauty salons. Labour figures showed that unemployment had hit 5.0% for the first time since January 2021 and that measures of employment growth were contracting. – up from 4.8% reported last month. When Labour entered the highest office in July 2024, the rate was 4.1%. More recent figures show that there had been a 32k decline in payrolled employment during October.

Another week, another U-turn for the Starmer administration, having spent weeks laying the groundwork to break their manifesto pledge and raise income tax rates in the 26 November budget. Now it seems that fears that it would further anger disgruntled Labour MPs and voters have made the embattled Prime Minister pull the pin. Earlier in the month, Rachel Reeves had spoken of difficult choices, insisting at the time that she could neither increase borrowing nor cut public spending and warning the electorate that “everyone has to play their part”. The Chancellor will now have to fill an estimated US$ 40 billion black hole with a series of narrower tax-raising measures and is also expected to freeze income tax thresholds for another two years beyond 2028, which should raise about US$ 10.53 billion.  It does seem that the Chancellor lacks the political nouse, experience and expertise to carry out the job and has run the Exchequership onto the rocks. Captain Of A Shipwreck!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

One Step Too Far!

One Step Too Far!                                                                                    07 November 2025

fam’s October report on Dubai’s property market shows that a new record has been set – YTD sales have climbed to reach US$ 152.45 billion, already surpassing the 2024 full year high which had been a record year for the sector; 2024 had posted 180.9k transactions, worth US$ 142.26 billion. In October, there were 19.88k property transactions, (178.24k for the year), valued at US$ 16.19 billion. In the month, apartments sales were 3.4% higher on the year, accounting for 16.24k transactions worth US$ 8.45 billion; villa sales accounted for US$ 4.22 billion and land acquisitions US$ 3.00 billion. The commercial sector saw 0.69k transactions, valued at US$ 518 million – a 61.7% hike from the October 2024 return. On the year, the average property price rose by 6.7% to US$ 461 per sq ft. Off plan sales accounted for 13.93k transactions worth US$ 10.54 billion, with sales in the secondary market seeing 5.95k deals, valued at US$ 5.64 billion.

In October, the most expensive villa and apartment sold were in Jumeirah Second (US$ 60 million) and at Bulgari Lighthouse Dubai on Island 2 (US$ 42 million). A breakdown by price shows the following percentages to the total units sold:

  • Under US$ 272k                                             28%
  • US$ 272k – US$ 525k                                   36%
  • US$ 525k – US$ 1.36 million                        26%
  • Over US$ 1.36 million                                    10%

In the month, the top three locations selling the most in value were Business Bay, Dubai Investment Park Second and Jumeirah Village, with sales of US$ 832 million, (1,177 transactions), US$ 708 million (921 deals) and US$ 681 million (1,685 transactions). The best-selling projects for apartments were DAMAC Riverside, with 656 units sold for US$ 231 million – primary market and Azizi Riviera 107 resales worth US$ 26 million. In the villa primary sector was Grand Polo – Chevalia Estate 2, with 89 transactions valued at US$ 244 million and in the secondary market, Rukan 3 with 27 resales worth US$ 10 million.

With sales of 12k units, in the nine-month period, Binghatti claims that it is Dubai’s top-selling off-plan developer by units sold whilst in the same period, it launched eleven projects with a total gross development value exceeding US$ 3.0 billion, representing over 7k units and six million sq ft of sellable area. By the end of September, the high-profile developer had twenty-seven projects under development, 29% higher since the end of last year encompassing more than 20k units and seventeen million sq ft, with an estimated GDV of US$ 11.99 billion. An additional eleven projects, in planning stages, will add about 18k units and US$ 8.17 billion in GDV.

Late last month, Emaar unveiled its mega US$ 27.75 billion Dubai Mansions project which will comprise 40k residences within Emaar Hills. The development will feature a limited collection of grand homes ranging from 10k to 20k sq ft, with each residence designed with a focus on architectural distinction, world-class interiors, and a lifestyle that blends elegance with comfort. Mohamed Alabbar, Emaar’s founder commented that “every residence, every garden, and every pathway reflects an uncompromising attention to detail, creating a setting that embodies harmony, prestige, and a lifestyle that is unmatched anywhere in the world.” Residents will have access to a championship golf course, premium retail outlets, wellness facilities, and landscaped parks designed to promote well-being and connectivity.

In the first nine months of 2025, Deyaar saw a 39.1% hike in revenue to US$ 395 million, (driven by property development income – 46.4% higher to US$ 324 million) with profit climbing 24% to US$ 110 million and profit before tax, up 22.1%, to US$ 116 million. Other metrics included earnings per share rising 24.2% to US$ 0.025 and total assets 12.5% higher at  US$ 2.07 billion. Recent developments included Downtown Residences and the final phase of the Park Five community in Dubai, alongside AYA Beachfront Residences in Umm Al Quwain. It posted that its biggest project, the 445 mt high Downtown Residences, with more than one hundred and ten storeys, is scheduled for handover by the end of 2030, whilst the final phase of its Park Five development at Dubai Production City, with delivery targeted for the end of 2027. In Umm Al Quwain, the firm launched AYA Beachfront Residences, a luxury and wellness-focused project, comprising four hundred and forty-two homes.

Following the commercial success of ‘Takaya’ Union Properties PJSC has unveiled its second major project ‘Mirdad’. Spanning 356.9k sq ft, the US$ 545 million residential development in Motor City, will feature four towers offering 1.09k units, including a limited number of lofts and a range of studios to three-bedroom apartments. Residents will be able to use more than twenty-six indoor and outdoor amenities, landscaped green zones, and energy-efficient building systems to reduce environmental impact; it will also provide access to EV chargers across 50% of parking spaces, landscaped green zones, and energy-efficient building systems to reduce environmental impact. UP plans to expand its development portfolio to US$ 1.63 billion, targeting the growing demand for mid- to high-end homes in Dubai. Construction is slated for completion by Q4 2028.

H1 news from the Emirates Group show record figures, with US$ 3.3 billion of profits, attributable to strong travel demand “despite geo-political events and economic concerns in some markets”; post tax profits came in at US$ 2.9 billion – 13.0% higher compared to the same period in 2024. Revenue was up 13.0% to US$ 20.6 billion. The Group posted a record cash position of US$ 15.2 billion on 30 September 2025, which had grown 4.9% over the past six months. According to its Chairman, Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed, “Emirates maintains its position as the world’s most profitable airline for this half-year reporting period,” and it marks a “testament to the strength of our business model and the continued momentum of Dubai’s growth as a global hub to live, work, visit, and do business in”. The Group’s employee numbers grew 3.0% to 124.93k

Emirates Airline’s H1 profit before tax was 17.0% higher at US$ 3.1 billion, with revenue, up 6.0%, at US$ 17.9 billion. In H1, to 30 September 2025, the airline received five new A350 aircraft and also added twenty-three aircraft (six A380s and seventeen Boeing 777s) with fully refreshed interiors rolled out of the airline’s US$ 5.0 billion retrofit programme.  Meanwhile, dnata witnessed continued robust growth in H1 by ramping up operations across its cargo and ground handling, catering and retail, and travel services businesses. Its profit before tax was up 17% to US$ 230 million, from a record revenue of US$ 3.2 billion – 13% higher.

Microsoft has agreed to train over 300k in the UAE in AI skills – including 250k students, staff and faculty, along with 55k government employees. The Microsoft Elevate UAE programme will use sustained programmes and partnerships and cutting-edge AI tools and will form part of the company’s existing commitment in the region to skill one million people by the end of 2027. The firm will offer programmes to all education institutions in the UAE including 10k teachers and 150k students in GEMS private schools, embedding AI literacy and hands-on skills across all levels of learning. The tech giant has recently announced a US$ 15.2 billion investment in the country.

On 01 August 2015, the federal government liberalised fuel prices so that they could be aligned with market rates until the onset of the pandemic which saw prices frozen by the Fuel Price Committee, in 2020. The controls were removed in March 2021 to reflect the movement of the market once again. The approved fuel prices, by the Ministry of Energy, are determined every month, according to the average global price of oil, whether up or down, after adding the operating costs of distribution companies. After three months of almost unchanged prices, October saw marginal monthly increases for petrol, (between 2.5% to 3.1%) whilst diesel prices headed 2.9% higher. The breakdown for a litre of fuel prices in November is as follows:

Super 98     US$ 0.684 from US$ 0.755    in Nov      down   3.8% YTD US$ 0.711     

Special 95   US$ 0.717 from US$ 0.725    in Nov      down   5.0% YTD US$ 0.681        

E-plus 91     US$ 0.665 from US$ 0.703    in Nov      up        0.1% YTD US$ 0.662

Diesel           US$ 0.728 from US$ 0.738    in Nov      down    0.1% YTD US$ 0.730

Over the first nine months of the year, Dubai Chamber of Commerce welcomed over 53.8k new member companies – a 4% year-on-year increase. Data released shows that member exports and re-exports were up 16% to reached US$ 70.80 billion, with it issuing more than 627k Certificates of Origin and processed goods worth US$ 1.05 billion through 3.74k ATA Carnets. The chamber was also responsible for supporting the international expansion of ninety local companies, marking a 20% rise on the year. It was also involved in promoting  twenty-five seminars and workshops, attended by over 1.7k participants, while mediation cases grew 11%, to US$ 63 million in value; it also reviewed forty-two draft laws with business groups and held more than two hundred and twenty meetings with councils and groups to strengthen collaboration. The Dubai Chamber of Commerce continues to reinforce its role in driving economic growth and supporting the Dubai Economic Agenda (D33).

Effective from 30 October, the UAE Central Bank decided to cut the base rate on overnight deposit facilities by 25 bp to 4.15%; this was in line with the US Federal Reserve lowering its interest rates by 25 bp, for the second time this year, to 3.90%. The central bank has also decided to maintain the interest rate applicable to borrowing short-term liquidity at 50 bp above the base rate for all standing credit facilities.

Posting record figures, Binghatti Holding Ltd registered a 145% year-on-year increase in net profit to US$ 725 million for the first nine months of 2025, driven by accelerated sales, early project handovers, and the resilience of Dubai’s property market. Revenue was 238% to the good at US$ 2.44 billion, as gross profit and EBITDA climbed 143% to US$ 1.08 billion and by 139% to US$ 894 million.  Total assets grew 73% year-to-date to US$ 5.99 billion, while cash and cash equivalents more than doubled to US$ 2.10 billion, as total equity rose 84% to US$ 1.58 billion; the company’s debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.2x. Margins remained robust with gross, EBITDA and net coming in at 44%, 37% and 30% respectively. In Q3, the returns showed a 67% hike in revenue to US$ 719 million and net profit by 101% to US$ 229 million. The company’s revenue backlog stood at approximately US$ 3.81 billion, supported by strong sales to both local and international buyers, with non-resident investors accounting for about 60% of total sales.

The Dubai Financial Market has announced a net 212% surge in net profit to US$ 253 million, with revenue 138% higher at US$ 300 million. The DFM General Index (DFMGI) rose by 13.2% to close at 5,840 points, with its total market capitalisation topping US$ 271.12 billion – 9.7% higher compared to year-end 2024. Total traded value rose by 82% to US$ 36.24 billion, while the average number of daily trades increased by 48% to 13.6k. Average daily traded value was up 83% to US$ 193 million. Over the year, the bourse welcomed 82.74k new investors this year, of which 84 per cent were foreign, with its total investor base of over 1.2 million. Foreign investors accounted for 51% of total trading value, with foreign ownership estimated at 20% of total market cap; institutional investors represented 70%.

The DFM opened the week, on Monday 03 November, on 5,855 points, and having shed seven points (0.1%), the previous week, gained one hundred and thirty points (2.9%), to close the week on 6,025 points, by 07 November 2025. Emaar Properties, US$ 0.07 lower the previous week, gained US$ 0.07 to close on US$ 3.71 by the end of the week. DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started the previous week on US$ 0.76 US$ 7.66, US$ 2.59 and US$ 0.42 and closed on US$ 0.76, US$ 7.57, US$ 2.58 and US$ 0.43. On 07 November, trading was at three hundred and fifty-one million shares, with a value of US$ two hundred and thirty-two million dollars, compared to one hundred and twenty-four million shares, with a value of US$ one hundred and forty-four million dollars on 07 November.

The bourse had opened the year on 4,063 points and, having closed on 31 October at 5,855, was 1,792 points (44.1%) higher YTD. Emaar had started the year with a 01 January 2025 opening figure of US$ 2.24, and had gained US$ 1.40, to close on 31 October at US$ 3.64. Four other bellwether stocks, DEWA, Emirates NBD, DIB and DFM started 2025 on US$ 0.67, US$ 4.70, US$ 1.56 and US$ 0.38 and closed October 2025 at US$ 0.76, US$ 7.66, US$ 2.59 and US$ 0.42.  

By 07 November 2025, Brent, US$ 0.72 (0.3%) higher the previous week, shed US$ 1.02, (1.6%), to close on US$ 63.68. Gold, US$ 115 (2.8%) lower the previous week, gained US$ 7 (0.1%), to end the week’s trading at US$ 4,004 on 05 November. Silver was trading at US$ 47.98 – US$ 0.76 (1.5%) higher on the week.     

Brent started the year on US$ 74.81 and shed US$ 12.15 (13.6%), to close 31 November 2025 on US$ 64.66. Gold started the year trading at US$ 2,624, and by the end of October, the yellow metal had gained US$ 1,373 (52.3%) and was trading at US$ 3,997. Silver was trading at US$ 48.66 – US$ 19.67 (67.9%) higher YTD from its 01 January price of US$ 28.99.

With over 75% shareholding approval, Elon Musk won his battle to receive the largest corporate pay package in history that could get him as much as US$ 1.0 trillion in stock over the next decade, with investors endorsing his vision of morphing the EV maker into an AI and robotics juggernaut. Part of the deal sees him having to make vehicles that drive themselves, create a robotaxi network across the US and sell humanoid robots. Shareholders voted in favour of Tesla investing in Musk’s artificial intelligence startup, xAI. Musk has several targets to achieve to ensure this mega payout –

  • Tesla to deliver delivering twenty million vehicles
  • have 1 million robotaxis in operation
  • sell 1 million robots  
  • earn as much as US$ 400 billion in core profit
  • Tesla’s stock value has to rise in tandem, first to $2 trillion from the current $1.5 trillion, and all the way to $8.5 trillion

Having already signed major deals in 2025, valued at more than US$ 1.0 trillion, with the likes of  Oracle, Broadcom, AMD and  Nvidia, OpenAI has agreed to a US$ 38.0 billion deal with Amazon; this will enable the ChatGPT maker to reduce its reliance on Microsoft, (by giving the tech giant more operational and financial freedom), and will give it access to Nvidia graphics processors to train its AI models. Its co-founder, Sam Altman, noted that “scaling frontier AI requires massive, reliable compute” and that “our partnership with AWS [Amazon Web Services] strengthens the broad compute ecosystem that will power this next era and bring advanced AI to everyone”. This comes at a time when there are concerns that the AI bubble may soon have a major blowout, with leading AI firms increasingly investing in each other, creating a growing tangled web

Reports indicate that Nvidia, now with a US$ 5 trillion market cap, will supply more than 260k of its most advanced AI chips to various South Korean entities including the government, Samsung, LG, and Hyundai. Its chief executive, Jensen Huang, confirmed that the companies will all deploy the AI chips in factories to make everything from semiconductors and robots to autonomous; he added that it also meant that South Korea can “now produce intelligence as a new export”. No financial details were made available. The chief executive also noted that “we used to have 95% share of the AI business in China. Now we’re at 0% share. And I’m disappointed by that”; indeed, last year it claimed more than 10% of the market share in China. Donald Trump, who met with Xi Ping last week, posted that that Beijing will hold talks with Nvidia to discuss sales of its chips in China. Huang has made it clear that he would like to sell Nvidia’s state-of-the-art Blackwell chips, made by TSMC, to China, although the decision needs to be made by the US President. Samsung makes parts for Nvidia’s H20 chips, a scaled-down processor made for the Chinese market under US export rules. Meanwhile, it seems that both Huawei and Alibaba have unveiled their own chips that they say can rival Nvidia’s products for the Chinese market, whilst Beijing has also reportedly prohibited local firms from buying from Nvidia.

Having announced that it plans to sell 26.7% more Switch 2 consoles, (at nineteen million), than its first forecast, and raise its original net profit forecast by 16.7% to US$ 2.28 billion, Nintendo shares surged more than 10% to US$ 92.85 on Wednesday morning trade before dipping later in the day. 

Primark posted a 3.1% decline in like for like UK sales, for the year ending 30 September, citing weak consumer confidence as the main driver, along with increased competition from even cheaper rivals, such as Shein and Temu; more of the same is expected going into 2026. The entire business saw annual profits fall by 13% to US$ 1.84 billion. Primark’s owner, Associated British Foods, commented that it was exploring splitting off the fast-fashion retailer from its food business, where it owns brands like Twinings, Ovaltine and Ryvita. ABF noted that there was a “working assumption” that a separation of Primark “is where we would like to get to”, although no decision had been made. Many analysts opine that Primark could command a much higher share price as a standalone company, separate from its food business, which ABF said was “less well-understood” by the market. The budget retailer has four hundred and seventy-six stores in eighteen countries and may have reached a size where it requires extra focus to capitalise on its growth prospects. However, the upcoming UK budget could put another nail in Primark’s coffin with tax rises that could have a negative impact on retailers. Primark, like other companies, suffered from the Chancellor’s first budget last October which resulted in higher costs, including more expensive staffing expenses, as a result of the increase in the minimum wage and a 1.2% rise to 15.0% in employers’ national insurance costs. Recent retail names that have had to close stores or enter administration include Bodycare, Claire’s and Pizza Hut which said it will be slashing the number of restaurants it operates.

Embattled Yum! Brands is exploring a possible sale of its Pizza Hut chain. It has seen several quarters of declining sales in the US which accounts for 42% of its global sales, with increased competition from rivals, such as Papa Johns and Domino’s Pizza, (which posted a 6.0% hike in its latest quarterly revenue), impacting sales. The US segment has obviously dragged down total revenue, even though several other markets are posting increased returns. Latest quarterly figures post a 1.0% dip in its existing global outlets, at a time when figures from others in the Yum! Portfolio have been moving higher – Taco Bell and KFC up 7.0% and 3.0%. Pizza Hut, with over 20k outlets, (including 8.5k in the US), accounts for about 11.0% of Yum! Brands business.

Marks & Spencer has released half yearly figures for the period to 30 September which reveals the true cost of the Easter cyberattack which left the retailer reeling and having to close its website and to see manual ordering introduced. Although revenue climbed 22.1% to US$ 10.39 billion, (with food sales up 7.8%), pre-tax profits plunged 99% to US$ 4.4 million – from US$ 512 million in the same period in 2024. Stuart Machin, its chief executive, noted that “we are now getting back on track”.  The retailer commented that about US$ 131 million is being claimed back in insurance for the cyber-attack.

In Australia, Optus has confirmed a vandalised communications tower is responsible for an outage in the Hunter Valley region, affecting mobile voice and data services, and triple-zero connectivity. On Wednesday, the telecommunications company announced that a fibre break in the Port Stephens, Maitland, and surrounding areas had caused disruptions. A spokesman reported that “the ability to connect to Triple Zero may be impacted for some” while Optus technicians “remain onsite working to restore services as quickly as possible”.  This was not the first outage to hit Optus –in September, it suffered two other triple zero outages, one of which was linked to three deaths. Earlier, it was fined US$ 8 million by regulators for failing to provide emergency call services in 2023 and also suffered a cyber-attack in 2022 that affected the data of around 9.5 million Australians. On Monday, the company’s CEO, Stephen Rue, faced the wrath of Australian senators at a hearing about his handling of the crisis. The report will be handed down by the end of the year – and it will be disturbing news for Optus.

SBC Chief Economist Paul Bloxham says the Reserve Bank of Australia has kept the cash rate on hold at 3.6%, following the “surprise” surge in inflation figures last week. He noted that  “inflation is now the primary problem the RBA has rather than growth”.

The Federal Reserve has reduced rates by 25 bp, for the second time this year, to 3.90%.This cut will boost the US economy at a time when businesses are still digesting the finer points of the Trump tariffs and still unsure on the impact of the government shutdown, with Republicans and Democrats still gridlocked almost a month after the start of the shutdown, which has resulted in a suspension of publication of almost all government reports and data.

The main reason for the shutdown, which started on 01 October, seems to be down to the inability of Congress to agree to a new funding deal. The US government shutdown has entered its thirty-eighth day, making it the longest period of time the American government has been closed, surpassing the previous record, set in 2019 during Trump’s first presidency, which lasted thirty-five days. If not soon settled, there could be widespread chaos; for instance, the thirteen thousand US air traffic controllers have not been paid since the start of the shutdown and will not continue to work without pay as will thousands of federal workers. On top of that, there is 12.5% of the population – the low-income Americans who rely on government services – who are dependent on food assistance from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (Snap) but only a portion of that assistance is being paid out this month due to lapsed funding. A proposal for a short-term funding bill to reopen the government was passed by the House of Representatives in September but still has not been passed by the Senate.

A new report shows that in the UK, there were 800k more people out of work now than in pre-pandemic 2019 due to health conditions, costing employers US$ 110.96 billion a year, including lost productivity and sick pay. According to the report, commissioned by the Department for Work and Pensions, if nothing is done, there could well be a further 600k leaving work due to health reasons by the end of the decade, adding to the current figure of 20% of working age people out of work, due to health reasons by the end of the decade. The study also noted that the number of sick and disabled people out of work is putting the UK at risk of an “economic inactivity crisis” that threatens the country’s prosperity. It is estimated that this status quo costs the UK weaker growth, higher welfare spending and greater pressure on the NHS and that illness-related inactivity costs the UK economy US$ 276.75 billion annually or nearly 70% of income tax. The independent Office for Budget Responsibility has forecast that the bill for health and disability benefits for working age people alone will top US$ 94.38 billion over the next five years. The Chancellor has indicated that she is aiming to guarantee paid work to young people who have been out of a job for eighteen months and that those who do not take up the offer could face being stripped of their benefits.

With the Bank of England holding interest rates steady at 4.0% because it has estimated that inflation may have already peaked, the Monetary Committee said borrowing costs were “likely to continue on a gradual downward path”. The Bank’s governor, Andrew Bailey, said rather than cutting interest rates now, he would “prefer to wait and see” if price rises continued to ease this year. It seems that the upcoming budget, with the inevitable tax rises, will result in inflation levels, currently at a sticky 3.8%, moving lower and more in tune with the BoE’s 2.0% target. The question has to be asked is whether the long-standing 2.0% objective is still the right figure? The Bank has also noted that there was “no sign of increasing consumer confidence”, and that “consumers remain cautious, focused on value, and prefer saving to overspending”. In its latest Monetary Policy Report, the Bank said UK economic growth would be 1.5% this year but estimated it would fall to 1.2% in 2026, before rising to 1.6% in 2027 and 1.8% in 2028; it forecast the unemployment rate would hit 5% in the final three months of the year and remain around that level until 2028.

David Aikman, director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, reckons that the Chancellor has to find US$ 65.27 billion in tax rises and spending cuts at this month’s budget. Rachel Reeves will also have to find a further US$ 26.11 billion, as she has to triple the size of her fiscal headroom to US$ 39.16 billion which had been set at US$ 13.05 billion, She will also have to ensure that the UK’s debt pile is steadily falling to retain the confidence of the bond markets – otherwise the market will react as it did in the reign of Liz Truss. For what it is worth, Rachel Reeves has promised to stabilise the public finances and help bring down inflation and interest rates – but she has not got a good track record in this regard. However, the country’s public borrowing costs have slowed, as sterling weakens. She continues to reiterate that she will not revert to “accounting tricks” to meet her fiscal targets, noting that “markets know my commitment to the fiscal rules is iron-clad”; these self-imposed rules constrain her from spending that cannot be met by tax revenues by the end of the decade. However, she is on the way to becoming the first Chancellor, since Dennis Healey in 1975, to initiate tax rises in a budget and the first to hold a major public speech at 8am, as she did last Tuesday, at which she noted that she will make “necessary choices” in the Budget after the “world has thrown more challenges our way”. For the first time in her eighteen-month reign, she did not rule out a U-turn on Labour’s general election manifesto pledge not to hike income tax, VAT or National Insurance. She also promised to come up with a “budget for growth with fairness at its heart” aimed at bringing down NHS waiting lists, the national debt and the cost of living.

Another shot across the bows for Rachel Reeves came from executives of some of the UK’s major tech companies including the likes of Revolut, Funding Circle, OakNorth, Clearscore and Quantexa. It has warned the Chancellor that any tax-raising measures in this month’s budget could force them to cancel plans to list their companies on the LSE. A letter has been sent by them, and seen by Sky News, urging the Chancellor not to impose an exit tax on wealthy individuals or take other decisions “which will result in reduced confidence or hesitant investment in the UK”. It also added that she must consider “how any potential changes to the fiscal environment could stand to make the UK less attractive to existing and potential founders – which will result in reduced investment in UK start-ups and reduced innovation, will hinder efforts at driving growth, and may also delay or result in cancellation of companies’ plans to IPO in the UK”. In recent weeks, industries including banking and gambling have intensified their lobbying efforts in a bid to avoid being hit by punitive tax hikes.

Rachel Reeves became the first ever female Chancellor of the Exchequer when appointed in July 2024 and ever since then she has often said that she had no intention of coming back to the British people with yet more tax rises. Now it is an inevitability that, at this month’s budget, the question has been amended to which taxes are going to be raised, and by how much? She will have to surely break her manifesto pledge not to raise the rates of income tax, national insurance or VAT. She will go to her coffin claiming that the current economic malaise is the result of gross mismanagement by the former Tory administrations and that she bears no responsibility.

Many of her current problems are of her own making. She actually composed the fiscal rules, by which she will be marked by the Office for Budget Responsibility, and left no wiggle room, leaving herself only a wafer-thin margin against those rules. Maybe she should have followed former Prime Minister, Margaret Thatcher, who, in 1980, famously said that “The lady’s not for turning”. However, it seems that she and her leader are in a different class when it comes to U-turns including on welfare reforms, winter fuel, employers’ national insurance contribution and extra giveaways they have yet to provide the funding for, such as reversing the two-child benefit cap. There is no doubt that the upcoming budget may prove that Rachel Reeves has taken One Step Too Far!

Posted in Categorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment